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BO 0909-1116 - Hanks & Eastwood still got it as Bough bows second

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Anth0ny

Member
If this year has taught me anything, it's that the 90s kids and Hot Topic mainstays run things now when it comes to superhero movies.

Deadpool and Harley Quinn >>>>>>>>> Superman, Wolverine and most of these other so called A-listers

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Sulik2

Member
lol, 60 million is nothing.

Clint Eastwood doesn't work on 250 million dollar movies.

Compared to blockbusters sure, but 60 million for a character drama with one effects sequence? Could have made it for 20 - 30 million without the big names and probably gotten a much better ROI. I mean Sully got a bigger budget then Deadpool.
 

kswiston

Member
Sully without Hanks and Eastwood would have made as much as those random Joseph Gordon Levitt films that no one goes to see.
 

X05

Upside, inside out he's livin la vida loca, He'll push and pull you down, livin la vida loca
Glad to see Don't Breathe is doing nicely.

How did I get involved in this?


Boxoffice.com is going all in with their Doctor Dtrange forecast. $88M opening weekend and $255M domestic total.
Eh, seems a bit high to me. I can see it breaking past $200M but not by much (basically having a somewhat larger OW than Ant-Man but weaker legs)

Gotta save that $6.50 for the next Lionsgate film :p
Is that how much VOD costs in Canada?
 

kswiston

Member
The Secret Life of Pets in on the verge of passing Deadpool and The Jungle Book for the #3 of 2016 (domestic). It's still tracking ahead of Despicable Me 2, and will probably end up being Illumination's biggest domestic film to date, somewhere in the $375M range.


That final $1M will be too much for Civil War, so it will have to settle for fourth place in the MCU.


Suicide Squad went up slightly in the actuals, and ended up with the best hold in the top 25 this weekend.
 

vinnygambini

Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
So Star Trek Beyond will end up grossing the equivalent to NYSM2 WW, and about $100M less than Terminator: Genisys (last year's equivalent to Paramount's line-up), and yet we are getting a sequel to Trek with Chris Hemsworth to boot?

giphy.gif


Arnold got robbed
 

kswiston

Member
Are you posting gifs of the same woman, or am I on par with South Koreans at telling white people apart (despite being one)?
 

vinnygambini

Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
I posted gifs of two different women on the last page, one being Oprah too! RACIST!

Yes, her name is Cheryl Cole :)
 

kswiston

Member
We wanted BvS legs. We got Man of Steel legs. Big second weekend drop, then stable legs after that with good weekdays.

Late legs for Suicide Squad have been much better than Man of Steel. Man of Steel was down to $1.8M by its 6th weekend and fell another 59% the next weekend.

That second weekend drop killed any chances Suicide Squad had for actual good legs, but the last three weekends have been solid. I was pretty sure of $300M just before the third weekend, but I thought it would be more of a crawl. Suicide Squad has a good shot at $325M. I was one of the people who thought that $700M worldwide was dead after that first couple of weekends, but the final tally will be closer to $750M than it will $700M.
 

Schlorgan

Member
Star Trek's run is basically done in the US and (I assume) foreign outside of China, but the total China gross to even get the production budget back would have to hit over $200 million (using the 25% rule), and that won't happen. Hopefully it does well on the video release.

I also hope Pegg and Lin get to come back someday, even if it's not for this incarnation of Star Trek. Paramount messed up this movie's release right proper and I'd hate to see those two thrown under the bus for it.
 

Penguin

Member
Late legs for Suicide Squad have been much better than Man of Steel. Man of Steel was down to $1.8M by its 6th weekend and fell another 59% the next weekend.

That second weekend drop killed any chances Suicide Squad had for actual good legs, but the last three weekends have been solid. I was pretty sure of $300M just before the third weekend, but I thought it would be more of a crawl. Suicide Squad has a good shot at $325M. I was one of the people who thought that $700M worldwide was dead after that first couple of weekends, but the final tally will be closer to $750M than it will $700M.

Was gonna say surprised no thread about it hitting 700 million WW

Was gonna do it myself, but I know the shitstorm that would ensue.
 

kswiston

Member
Boxoffice.com has $20.5M for Blair Witch, $14M for Bridget Jones, $6M for Snowden, and $2.5M for Hillsong this weekend. They think that Sully will repeat at #1 with $24M.


Deadline is saying $20M for Sully, $15-20M for Blair Witch, mid teens for Bridget Jones, $8-10M for Snowden, and $4M for Hillsong.
 

Busty

Banned
Deadline is saying $20M for Sully, $15-20M for Blair Witch, mid teens for Bridget Jones, $8-10M for Snowden, and $4M for Hillsong.

*sharp intake of breath*

That seems very high for Blair Witch.

I know that horror is all about the walk ups but I'm not sure that the shaky cam found footage angle is going to play with the modern teen audience the way it did in the 90's.

I'd have thought $15m was the very high end for the film's opening.

We shall see.
 

gamz

Member
*sharp intake of breath*

That seems very high for Blair Witch.

I know that horror is all about the walk ups but I'm not sure that the shaky cam found footage angle is going to play with the modern teen audience the way it did in the 90's.

I'd have thought $15m was the high end for the film's opening.

We shall see.

Huh? Paranormal Activity is a huge series.
 

gamz

Member
Huge series?

The last one opened at $8m and made $18m total in the US.

That doesn't sound like a 'huge series' to me.

LOL!

The series has grossed 887M dollars. It's basically a billion dollar series with low budgets. Come on!
 

Busty

Banned
LOL!

The series has grossed 887M dollars. It's basically a billion dollar series with low budgets. Come on!

True but the air has been leaking out of that franchise for years. If it was still popular with audiences it would be able to get a double digit opening.

Just because Paranormal Activity was profitable doesn't mean that it's still considered a viable franchise and something that audiences want today.
 

gamz

Member
True but the air has been leaking out of that franchise for years. If it was still popular with audiences it would be able to get a double digit opening.

Just because Paranormal Activity was profitable doesn't mean that it's still considered a viable franchise and something that audiences want today.

Every series eventually because less profitable and what not. We all get that. I was commenting on:

*sharp intake of breath*

That seems very high for Blair Witch.

I know that horror is all about the walk ups but I'm not sure that the shaky cam found footage angle is going to play with the modern teen audience the way it did in the 90's.

In which I said that's not true is all.
 

Busty

Banned
In which I said that's not true is all.

So the shaky cam audience was briefly popular and now isn't anymore.

As such the new Blair Witch film can look forward to attracting the same (diminishing) Paranormal Activity audience and grossing $8m in it's first three days like the last Paranormal Activity film?
 
I know that horror is all about the walk ups but I'm not sure that the shaky cam found footage angle is going to play with the modern teen audience the way it did in the 90's.

The found footage did find some new life with the Paranormal Activity series...but that was back when the series was good some five-seven years ago. Once that franchise ran itself into the ground with the fourth film, and the notorious The Devil Inside proved itself to be no better, they both took the mainstream appeal of the genre along with it. The last two PA films were underperformers, as were Devil's Due and As Above, So Below; later films like V/H/S and Willow's Creek are now more low-profile releases.

My assumption is that Blair Witch might be a case of showing up too late to the party, and its box-office intake will reflect that painfully. Maybe it could had been averted if the film turned out to be great, but common consensus from reviews according to RT seem to paint it as largely an inferior retread of the original film.
 

kswiston

Member
I'm not really a horror guy, so my opinion isn't worth much in this case, but I never liked the found footage films. Even Blair Witch, which released back when I was smack dab in the middle of the target demographic (I was 17 back in 1999). I went to see it as did most people my age, but I wasn't a fan. Even stuff like Cloverfield would have been more enjoyable to me as a regular film. One of those movie trends that I never got.



Subtracting Chinese grosses, Suicide Squad is going to finish its run as the 12th biggest superhero film of all time worldwide. The other 11 are the two Avengers films, the two Dark Knights, Civil War, Iron Man 3, the Raimi Spider-Man trilogy, Batman v Superman, and Deadpool.

So basically 4 Iron Man, 3 Batman, 3 Spider-man, and a Deadpool film.


Domestic is largely the same with the addition of Guardians of the Galaxy bumping SS down to #13. Suicide Squad will pass Iron Man 1's $318M.
 

gamz

Member
So the shaky cam audience was briefly popular and now isn't anymore.

As such the new Blair Witch film can look forward to attracting the same (diminishing) Paranormal Activity audience and grossing $8m in it's first three days like the last Paranormal Activity film?

It depends on the movie and if it's good. Last year's The Visit did 100M on a 5M dollar budget. Anyway, I was commented on the 90's reference and these types of movies still do well. Creep did very well on the home market for a micro budget movie that is getting a sequel.

All I'm saying is a good movie is a good movie.
 
I love horror films, but I never understood the widespread acclaim for The Blair Witch Project and the first Paranormal Activity. Both were total borefests with non-endings. I don't think it was a found footage thing though, because I dug the hell out of Cloverfield and the Spanish film [Rec].

Late legs for Suicide Squad have been much better than Man of Steel. Man of Steel was down to $1.8M by its 6th weekend and fell another 59% the next weekend.

That second weekend drop killed any chances Suicide Squad had for actual good legs, but the last three weekends have been solid. I was pretty sure of $300M just before the third weekend, but I thought it would be more of a crawl. Suicide Squad has a good shot at $325M. I was one of the people who thought that $700M worldwide was dead after that first couple of weekends, but the final tally will be closer to $750M than it will $700M.

Yeah, I probably have to eat crow on that one. August is always kind for legs, but after the reception and 2nd weekend, I was expecting an exception. Its performance was far more typical of August than I predicted.
 
I noticed that the Eddie Murphy movie Mr. Church opened today. The only theater showing it nearby is the $2.50 second run theater. Wonder if it's like that anywhere else.
 

kswiston

Member
Deadline is saying $7M for Blair Witch, $6.5M for Sully, $4.7M for Bridget Jones, and $2.7M for Snowden on Friday based on matinee numbers. Sully will easily repeat at #1. JGL has another film that no one is bothering to see.
 

vinnygambini

Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
1). Sully (WB), 3,525 theaters / $6.3M Fri. (-48%) / 3-day cume: $21.5M (-39%)/Total cume: $70M/Wk 2

2). Blair Witch (LG), 3,121 theaters / $3.8M Fri. (includes $765K previews) / 3-day cume: $9.3M /Wk 1

3). Bridget Jones’s Baby (UNI), 2,927 theaters / $3M Fri. (includes $364K previews) / 3-day cume: $8.5M / Wk 1

4). Snowden (OR), 2,443 theaters / $2.6M Fri. (includes $390K) / 3-day cume: $7.6M /Wk 1

Blair Witch ded

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/t...-snowden-26m-db-14m-wtbb-14m-squad-1m/?page=9
 
Deadline is saying $7M for Blair Witch, $6.5M for Sully, $4.7M for Bridget Jones, and $2.7M for Snowden on Friday based on matinee numbers. Sully will easily repeat at #1. JGL has another film that no one is bothering to see.

I would say that dude needs to get into a comic book movie, but then again he was already in Dark Knight Rises. I actually like most of the movies he's done, but man he needs a hit.
 

DeathyBoy

Banned
We did stop seeing those Suicide Squad box office threads when the movie actually began to show decent legs. People wanted a shit show.

The hilarity is that DC flops curbstomp most Marvel films. Even with dat Avengers bump, Thor 2 got punked out by SS.

And before anyone says Will Smith, it's been a long time since he was a draw.
 
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