-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
Nevada Poll: GOP-Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17% DEM-Clinton 48% Sanders 47% (CNN/ORC)
- Thread starter Geist-
- Start date
- Status
The primary calendar puts the establishment candidates' supposed best states in the middle of March, and those states are winner-take-all. Ohio and Florida.
SoRuffShoNuff
Member
Jeb won't leave since he is convinced he can make a comeback once the winner take all states start voting. Same thing with Rubio and Kasich.
Sir_Crocodile
Member
bush is a true b+ player
Comb over, it's a comb over.
Everyone votes at the same time. If you don't make it to your caucus site at 7 PM (Iowa) or 11 AM (Nevada), you aren't voting.
In a primary, you usually have 12-14 hours to cast your vote.
torta_smasher
Member
Maybe people are tired of this rigged system that Hillary herself benefits from. Remember the media still has a black out on Bernie. A lot of my fellow Latinos are just barely learning about him.
Neck and neck for the Dems is terrible for Clinton; even if she wins the Nom shes likely to be very disliked by Whites and likewarm amongst minorities. Clinton's minority strategy cannot be based on polling so low with Whites; her supposed advantage is now looking like her consolation prize.
The fact shes purely on the defence of her minorities and in no way trying to gain traction around the White working class especially is a pretty bad sign for her campaign.
The fact shes purely on the defence of her minorities and in no way trying to gain traction around the White working class especially is a pretty bad sign for her campaign.
boiled goose
good with gravy
Exactly...
She is a terrible campaigner. Why is she running for President again?? You need a vision and a message.
"More pragmatic than Bernie" is a terrible message.
It's the same reason Republicans can't poke trump. "Less racist than Trump"doesn't quite appeal to the gop
Barajas_201
Member
Bernie will win.
XiaNaphryz
LATIN, MATRIPEDICABUS, DO YOU SPEAK IT
Never mind that Trump has been trying to disassociate himself from the NJ casinos that used his name due to the whole casinos going bankrupt thing!
boiled goose
good with gravy
And Bernie s record with minorities is almost indisputably better.. it's only a matter of time.
RustyNails
Member
What are the crosstabs for minority voters in the poll?
Dreams-Visions
Member
Crush them, Donald.
tearsintherain
Member
I live in Vegas and I wouldn't trust the democratic polls too much, its a shit show. Everyone with a land line is getting phone calls up the ass by pollsters and political ads, to the point where many people just aren't answering the phone or even disconnecting it anymore. They don't poll mobile numbers and just about everyone under 30 now only has mobile phones and no land lines. I'm pretty sure you will see Hillary win the caucus with around 70% end of the day, and Trump win the republican side with around 40-45%.
And as mentioned above, who the hell knows what turnout is going to be like. You can only vote in the Republican caucus if you registered as a R in the last election. The democratic caucus is open to all eligible voters, but its on Saturday at 11am.
There is a completely seperate Primary in June to select party candidates for everything else, the caucus this saturday is JUST for the presidential candidate. There's a big push to change the system to hold the full primaries in Feb with all candidates selected, and doing a regular primary ballot that gives everyone all day and presumably vote by mail as well / early voting.
And as mentioned above, who the hell knows what turnout is going to be like. You can only vote in the Republican caucus if you registered as a R in the last election. The democratic caucus is open to all eligible voters, but its on Saturday at 11am.
There is a completely seperate Primary in June to select party candidates for everything else, the caucus this saturday is JUST for the presidential candidate. There's a big push to change the system to hold the full primaries in Feb with all candidates selected, and doing a regular primary ballot that gives everyone all day and presumably vote by mail as well / early voting.
I'm borrowing Dan Carlin's idea but maybe we should have two presidents - one that is the face of the country and more of the cheerleader type and one that is the behind the scenes person / policy wonk type. The presidency is a big part popularity contest and saying you're more pragmatic and better at policy isn't going to get people excited. The guy that crunches the numbers is never getting elected.
diablos991
Can’t stump the diablos
Trump is snowballing.
This presidential election will be so damn good!
This presidential election will be so damn good!
balladofwindfishes
Member
Minorities are how you win the white house. That's why she's focusing on them. And why the GOP has such a hard time with the presidency.
thecouncil
Banned
Why does Trump hate Jeb so much? He's not even relative competition.
Veritigo_X
Member
Can't wait to see all the minorities turning up at the polls to vote against him. Gonna be so damn good!
bullys go for the weakling in class
Princess Carl
Member
I disagree.
I think spoiler culture
and societal patriarchy
boiled goose
good with gravy
Hhonestly, people see him as a Joke but in a world where the options are Jeb, rubio, cruz i dont think he is the worst.
Nevada is a tricky place to poll but I love the trend of populism > establishment. Love that Trump is embarrassing the Bush family on the national stage over and over again. Everyone underestimated Sanders (and continues to do so), meanwhile Hillary and Co. is scrambling to raise money from big donors. Exciting times.
Bullies pick on people that can't fight back.
Seconding this
teruterubozu
Member
Yeah but on economy Bernie is just 1 point behind. And for "most important issue" economy is #1 at 42% and in far distant 2nd place is healthcare at 19% and other issues barely breaking double digits. It always comes down to the economy for Democrats.
JetBlackPanda
Member
its too scary to talk about.
dapperbandit
Banned
Slow and steady wins the race guys.
This message massively overpaid for by Jeb%
This message massively overpaid for by Jeb%
Veritigo_X
Member
AstroZombie
Banned
Can't stump the Trump.
That would fit in with the polling we've seen from other states, they're basically splitting the white vote across the country (outside of New England).
valkillmore
Member
Please let it be Trump vs Sanders. A modern-day epic showdown. Will be incredible.
They basically tied regarding the economy, and a majority of voters said that issue was most important.
I suspect you'll find other issues such as candidate trustworthiness and honesty that weren't asked would explain the swing to Sanders despite Hillary polling better in other traditional issues.
Firstly, this poll includes a sizeable chunk of mobile sample. Secondly, are you saying more mobile sample would be better for Clinton??
QuicheFontaine
Member
Lol, even Florida isn't looking good for poor ol' Jeb!
SlimySnake
Flashless at the Golden Globes
Wow. the big shock here is Sanders surging. I thought Hilary was a lock in outside of Iowa. but Sanders can pull off an upset here Hilary might become suicidal lol.
Veritigo_X
Member
It would fit but that's usually info you get from the crosstabs, not from the poll itself. Weird.
In that case it would by Trump vs Bloomberg vs Sanders. It would be an epic showdown indeed.
RustyNails
Member
This poll is only of white people? Wut?
the-pi-guy
Member
Sanders did better in the "Would do the most to help the middle class" question.
- Status
Similar threads
- Locked
- Locked
- Locked