Starfish Hero
Member
If Kid Icarus could do over a million, Splatoon can. Splatoon's reviews will probably end up just as polarizing, and it's considerably larger marketing push should make up for the smaller install base.
It's funny you said that, Testfire 2 happened since your post and there was tons of Japanese players, and it was super early for them (7 AM I think).Getting to one million will be really tough. We all know that Japan isn't going to touch this game, so America and Europe are really going to have to buy it in droves.
I'm guessing it'll work like it did for Mario Kart 8. If it sold like hotcakes, Nintendo will report on it as soon as possible. Though most of us aren't expecting MK8 or Smash numbers for this game, so we'll likely have to wait until sometime in June for a more accurate representation of how it sold.How will the NPD stuff for Splatoon work? Since it releases so late in the month will the sales be accurately represented by it or will we need to wait for June's?
I'm sticking with my original prediction. It'll be a modest success by Wii U standards that will justify a sequel on the next console, where it'll grow even bigger. Nintendo's playing the long-term game with Splatoon, & I strongly think that it'll pay off (though it'll probably pay off bigger with the sequel on the next console).
With the amount of advertising this game is getting & the Amiibos that are coming for this game, Nintendo's not gonna let Splatoon bomb.
Or if they add the Inklings as DLC for Smash 4. Honestly, that last slot for Smash 4 DLC (since Wolf probably has the first mystery slot on lock) is either going to a ballot character that's within reason, the Chorus Kids, or the Inklings (who could also count as a ballot character since they've been pretty popular amongst voters).It will sell 80% of its first two months haul on launch day and then disappear and you likely won't see it in June. Unless it's a leggy monster!
I'm not expecting impressive sales from Splatoon. Most of the sales will be from North America, so maybe 250k is probably a safe guess. Likely 40-50k in Japan. I don't even know what to guess for Europe's sales except it won't be good. I just pray Nintendo gives the IP another chance in the future like it has with Xenoblade.
I think pre-order estimates in Japan are around twice that. Someone correct me if I'm wrong.
Also 40-50k lifetime would be absolutely terrible. Or did you mean first week or something?
I honestly expect it to do about as well as the W101, inside the Nintendo bubble it may seem like the next big thing though...
I honestly expect it to do about as well as the W101, inside the Nintendo bubble it may seem like the next big thing though...
I honestly expect it to do about as well as the W101, inside the Nintendo bubble it may seem like the next big thing though...
Let's try and think rationally for a bit here. The Wonderful 101 probably didn't even sell 100k worldwide. Splatoon is tracking around that number in Japanese pre-orders alone.
I know it's fun for a lot of users to predict instant doom for every single Nintendo game released in this day and age but try to be at least somewhat realistic in your predictions.
I honestly expect it to do about as well as the W101, inside the Nintendo bubble it may seem like the next big thing though...
And Splatoon matched that with Japanese pre-orders alone. Splatoon's gonna be fine.hey now let's not exaggerate
W101 sold 100k in the US alone
hey now let's not exaggerate
W101 sold 100k in the US alone
Seeing as how i'm not Japanese nor "in the know" of said market, i was unaware of this...It's been in #1 spot on Amazon Japan for weeks now. I think you guys will be surprised
Advertising can only get you that far when the game that you're advertising doesn't cater to the general masses.
Clearly someone hasn't seen all the promotion Nintendo's giving the game (something W101 lacked). That & the sheer fact that the game is getting its own line of Amiibos means that it'll outsell W101 by miles.
Put it this way, Nintendo would have had to just give the game its own Direct & intentionally ignore the game otherwise for it to bomb like W101 did (;_. Either that or the game has to suck horribly, but clearly that's not the case, either.
Let's try and think rationally for a bit here. The Wonderful 101 probably didn't sell more than a couple hundred thousand units worldwide. Splatoon is tracking around 100k in Japanese pre-orders alone.
I know it's fun for a lot of users to predict instant doom for every single Nintendo game released in this day and age but try to be at least somewhat realistic in your predictions.
Yep this summarizes my thoughts as well.I'm sticking with my original prediction. It'll be a modest success by Wii U standards that will justify a sequel on the next console, where it'll grow even bigger. Nintendo's playing the long-term game with Splatoon, & I strongly think that it'll pay off (though it'll probably pay off bigger with the sequel on the next console).
With the amount of advertising this game is getting & the Amiibos that are coming for this game, Nintendo's not gonna let Splatoon bomb.
I honestly wouldn't worry about that given all the praise given to the Testfire & other demos at events. Put it this way, Nintendo's not gonna give Amiibos to a franchise they think will bomb. Here's what will likely happen...Seeing as how i'm not Japanese nor "in the know" of said market, i was unaware of this...
Advertising can only get you that far when the game that you're advertising doesn't cater to the general masses.
I'm not "having fun" here, i'm only answering to the question in the OP... i don't see it becoming Nintendo's next big franchise at all, maybe it's next Pikmin perhaps?...
I'm not "having fun" here, i'm only answering to the question in the OP... i don't see it becoming Nintendo's next big franchise at all, maybe it's next Pikmin perhaps?...
I wonder if some people realize that:
* 1 million units equals less than 20% of the current sales of MK8
* "Similar sales to TW101" would mean around 6% of the current sales of MK8
Only three games that aren't Mario or Zelda related have sold more than a million on Wii U: Nintedo Land, Smash and Wii U Party. I think some of the expectations for this game are way too high.
Only three games that aren't Mario or Zelda related have sold more than a million on Wii U: Nintedo Land, Smash and Wii U Party. I think some of the expectations for this game are way too high.
Only three games that aren't Mario or Zelda related have sold more than a million on Wii U: [Nintendo Land, Smash and Wii U party.](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_Wii_U_video_games) I think some of the expectations for this game are way too high.
You think 1 million is way too high of an expectation? It may not reach that number but that's a pretty realistic expectation, given how much Nintnendo is supporting the game with marketing and Amiibos.
Exactly, and even then Nintendo Land and I believe Wii U Party were also bundled games for a time which contributed to their sales. 1 million for this game would be a gigantic victory.
Nintendo Land was bundled with the Wii U, yes. But Wii Party U only came with an extra Wii Remote Plus (which Nintendo Land did when it was later sold separately). Wii Party U was also included in the Mario Kart 8 deal, which I got because I already had the other games offered.This game is also bundled.
This game is also bundled.
Only three games that aren't Mario or Zelda related have sold more than a million on Wii U: Nintedo Land, Smash and Wii U Party. And I wouldn't even count Smash as non Mario or Zelda related. I think some of the expectations for this game are way too high.
I think it's high because this is a multiplayer focused game. Sure, it has a single player component that a lot of outlets say is quite good, but Nintendo games as a whole have legs which really help their sales numbers. I don't think this will have legs. It might get a little boost from word of mouth, but sales are going to plummet after 3-4 weeks.