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WSJ: Nintendo now to manufacture 16 million Switch consoles next FY, up from 8m

Lingitiz

Member
Also, this argument I've never agreed with. Nobody found out the Wii U also supported Wii remotes and walked away from a sale. That's one of the most consumer-friendly things to happen in the industry in recent memory.

Now, Nintendo not initially supporting pro controllers in stuff like New Super Mario Bros. U was inexcusable, that is true.

The point was that a lot of the conversations surrounding the Wii U were really cluttered and confusing. It wasn't a clear pitch.

Compare that to Switch, where the thing you buy on day one does exactly what you're expecting it to do. It's a hybrid system that plays games on your tv or wherever you want to go. It has two controllers for quick coop, and grip and optional pro controller for added comfort.
 

AdropOFvenom

Neo Member
This is a highly fallacious statement. Why do you assume wii u owners didn't also own a 3DS. How many wii u only households do you think their even was. Thinking that the Switch would automatically sell substantially more than 3DS or even more at all based on the hybrid nature never made much sense. One the industry is still undergoing market contraction and just because a device can multipurpose doesn't mean it's even inherently attractive to both audiences.

Honestly, with the evolution of the 3DS (3DS, then 3DS XL, then 2DS, now New 3DS and New 3DS XL), many people own multiple 3DS's, I personally own 2. That 60 million number is misleading anyways.
 

maxcriden

Member
I am hoping they have more games later in they year.

Shit looks sad right about now.

Even on some morning show reggie say's the launch line up is very limited. I forgot what show.

They will definitely have more games later in the year. If you mean unannounced games, I think there is a safe bet for those as well - nearly every E3 in recent years has included an announcement from Nintendo of 1-2 significant games that release by the end of the same year, and usually Nintendo Directs include announcements for games to be released within a relatively short window, as we saw with recent MM3D and Kirby 3DS games for example (and for download-only games, sometimes they are released at the time of the announcement).
 
I am hoping they have more games later in they year.

Shit looks sad right about now.

Even on some morning show reggie say's the launch line up is very limited. I forgot what show.

Huh? They've announced 9 first party games releasing between March and December, that's more than most of their other consoles get in their first year.

Third parties is a different matter.
 
Huh? They've announced 9 first party games releasing between March and December, that's more than most of their other consoles get in their first year.

Third parties is a different matter.

But since theres very few third parties they're forced to have a much higher standard for first parties.
 

Pancake Mix

Copied someone else's pancake recipe
Is this a hint at a price drop in the next FY and/or some aggressive bundling? I wonder how ambitious they'll get on that front.
 

Lingitiz

Member
But since theres very few third parties they're forced to have a much higher standard for first parties.

This is true, but I think the slate of indie titles on the horizon is really solid to help fill that need. Hopefully we start seeing some of the traditionally portable only publishers start jumping on board.

Despite that I think the first party lineup, even of the stuff we only know of right now, is great. I'm sure more will be announced and I wouldn't rule out stuff small Nintendo games like Pushmo or BoxBoy that come out of nowhere too.

People complain
Fixed.
 
Switch is definitely going to outsell WiiU, right? At this point, GCN numbers once all it's said and done would be pretty okay.

So far it's had a good starting launch like the Wii u but with less software. We have nothing else yet. Although people are saying it may fall behind the Wii u in Nintendo's second best selling country.
 

maxcriden

Member
http://venturebeat.com/2017/03/17/nintendo-stock-price-surges-as-company-doubles-switch-production/

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- price of Nintendo shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange jumped 425 yen, or 1.69 percent, to 25,580 yen
- doubling of Switch production has jumped, causing the stock spike
- value is now back above where it was before the January 13 Switch media presentation
Coming from Niko Partners analyst Daniel Ahmad...
“Nintendo has seen strong demand for the Switch at launch with record-breaking sales for the company in both the U.S. and Europe. This has given Nintendo the confidence to increase production of Switch for the upcoming fiscal year. If Nintendo is able to produce and sell the amount claimed then this would be a complete turnaround from the Wii and would position the Switch as a serious competitor to PS4 and put annual sales of the console on a similar trajectory to the Wii.
The record breaking launch [of the Switch], the strong attach rate of Zelda, and the forecasted increase in production is exactly what investors have been looking to hear. It suggests that Nintendo is seeing strong demand for Switch, not just from Wii U owners, and that it is confident in the software lineup for the rest of the year.”

(summary is via GoNintendo.com)
 

Jacce

Banned
Will they try improving the quality of their accessories as soon as possible?
There is nothing but a handfull of launch units having issues like a normal launch, there really isn't much reason to expect accessory changes anytime soon.
 
But since theres very few third parties they're forced to have a much higher standard for first parties.

Well yes, but considering that's almost always been the case, they're still managing to put out far more software than on previous platforms, especially the Wii U. I think the Wii U had 3 or 4 first party titles in the first (EDIT: 9 not 3) months. The Switch will have 9 or more (I'm sure more will be announced at E3, so likely at least 10).

People complain because they can't get a switch.
Now people are complaining because they can?

Who's complaining about the increase in production in this thread?


Cool, thanks. The US stock (NTDOY) is up 4.5%. I have no idea how the two correlate to each other, but I own some of NTDOY so I'm happy.
 

maxcriden

Member
Well yes, but considering that's almost always been the case, they're still managing to put out far more software than on previous platforms, especially the Wii U. I think the Wii U had 3 first party titles in the first 3 months. The Switch will have 9 or more (I'm sure more will be announced at E3, so likely at least 10).

Just to support your point even further, if we're counting only games at least partially developed by Nintendo, there was NSMBU/NL at launch, then LCU about 4 months later (JP got G&W instead of LCU), and then nothing in May and G&W at the end of June. So, by 6 months into the system's release, there were 3 games on the shelf, and only two were fully developed by Nintendo, and of those two, one was included in the system, and the other had a 3DS entry (NSMB2) release 3 months prior. Definitely a rough launch window, there.

(And, regarding your comment about the stock info, my pleasure!)
 

bomblord1

Banned
Who's saying that?

Nevermind just peeped your post history.

What's up with this seemingly recent trend of "Checked your post history" stuff? Seems a bit disingenuous. Discrediting an argument based on the poster instead of addressing the content.

Not saying the person you posted was right just a weird trend I've noticed recently.
 

Cerium

Member
What's up with this seemingly recent trend of "Checked your post history" stuff? Seems a bit disingenuous. Discrediting an argument based on the poster instead of addressing the content.

Not saying the person you posted was right just a weird trend I've noticed recently.

Because some posters are not arguing in good faith.
 
Just to support your point even further, if we're counting only games at least partially developed by Nintendo, there was NSMBU/NL at launch, then LCU about 4 months later (JP got G&W instead of LCU), and then nothing in May and G&W at the end of June. So, by 6 months into the system's release, there were 3 games on the shelf, and only two were fully developed by Nintendo, and of those two, one was included in the system, and the other had a 3DS entry (NSMB2) release 3 months prior. Definitely a rough launch window, there.

(And, regarding your comment about the stock info, my pleasure!)

I actually meant first 9-10 months, and I was thinking of NSMBU, Nintendo Land, and Pikmin 3. Forgot about G&W, and did NSLU come out in that time period?

The left joy con and the dock problems are more then just a handful.

The dock problem is not at all a widespread problem. Likely far less than 1% of docks were warped, and normal docks don't scratch the screen at all.

The joycon problem is much more of an issue.
 

mlclmtckr

Banned
to summarize my predictions:
straight forward HD port -> yes "exclusive" on switch
exclusive third edition with many changes -> no way in hell.

I kind of agree with this. I mean, it's GameFreak. I don't see them pulling some BOTW style transformative leap where they reinvent the series for a new generation of players. It's going to be Sun/Moon with more resolution and maybe you can like ride a bike or put hats on your Pokemon or something.
 

Shengar

Member
I don't want to target you particularly because you're not saying it in a particularly negative way, but I do always love the 'it was lighting in a bottle' argument to conveniently removing the Wii to 'prove' Nintendo is in perpetual decline.

First up, you can't use the 'lightning' metaphor when they did it more than once.

The captured lighting in a bottle argument is valid but only under this specific where we see it from Nintendo's output from last and this generation. Three latest Nintendo hardware are build, marketed, and sold with their gimmicks upfront. Out of that three, only Wii really managed to capture the attention of a whole new audience that is first into gaming. Meanwhile the other two weren't so fortunate. The 3DS 3D feature is basically useless as it barely have any effect on gameplay or changed your perception to play. Pokemon XY barely used it, and later Pokemon SM doesn't have it altogether for better graphical fidelity and stability. Nintendo even released 2DS down the line with massive cheaper price. The last one is Wii U, which we already know how the console's asymmetric and off-TV gimmick does to its success, or to be exact, failure.

One can argue that DS is like Wii where it is part of "gimmick" hardware line. However, the dual screen and touch screen capability that the DS had wasn't new. It just the DS managed to capitalize it with the right software and gain tremendous success out of it. Also due to Brain-Age, people view DS more than just a gaming handheld. It have a value for non-gamer to buy. Despite that, even without Brain-Age the DS would still able to sell 100 million units easily.

When you put it into a bigger picture, Nintendo actually do their best with gaming hardware that have straight focus. The NES, and SNES were very successful. N64 had a rough start but it still managed to hold itself against the PlayStation. Then of course their handhelds, which always dominate the market until PSP come (and goes away). The Switch is part of this trend and it success shows that the Wii was really just lightning captured in a bottle, albeit a deserved one.
It'll remain one of the main gimmicks for the primary hardware, but the 2DS didn't replace the 3DS.
I don't they'll ever make Joycon-less Switch. Multiplayer on the get go is Switch main appeal, and taking that away you only got a powerful handheld like the Vita was (of course with better software).
I'd say the fact that Game Freak has already made very high quality HD models of all of the Pokemon should be telling that they're ready to make an HD installment.

I always said this and I will repeated it again: Pokemon SM texture looks like they are downres'd, as if meant for stronger system. I wouldn't be surprised if there's Pokemon Star version that almost look the same, but with overall better texture and stable 60fps.
 
Your jacket may be safer, right? I think I read some of the screen protectors have been melting, or at least the glue applying them has been. So I've been sticking with just carefully taking it in and out. Initially I was using the soft bag the grip came in, but this post swayed me away from sticking anything in the dock:

Oh yeah I heard of them but tempered-glass protectors are supposed to be fine aslong as you leave the glue to dry for a few hours before using the Switch with it. And your quoted-post makes sense I guess, I'll then just keep using the dock normally.
 
The dock problem is not at all a widespread problem. Likely far less than 1% of docks were warped, and normal docks don't scratch the screen at all.

The joycon problem is much more of an issue.

I dunno, at the moment I think it's the other way around. The dock issue is pretty common. And it's not really surprising since it's just plain plastic and with no extra protection just in case someone has a warped dock or more of them warp over time and repeated use. Not even any kind of protective padding or anything. That's a clear oversight and could get worse with time as many, especially younger owners, aren't likely to be ultra cautious when they dock and undock the system a hundred times.

Got a tempered glass protector on order to be as safe as possible against it.

And then ofcourse yeah, there's the joycon issue.
 
You post on the subject quite a bit. Most of it in this vein.

OK. For the sake of those of us that don't want to check his post history, don't do this. Honestly, I don't know the person you're responding to at all. Just try and stick to why an argument is bad, preferably without going detective by snooping through post histories. Even a recent post is directly related to this thread, I don't necessarily think it's out-of-bounds to reference, but make your case in an unambiguous fashion. What post(s) are you talking about that might shed light on his intentions in this thread? What do they tell us?

But really, just stick with current posts and not ad hominems.
 

Shengar

Member
They will definitely have more games later in the year. If you mean unannounced games, I think there is a safe bet for those as well - nearly every E3 in recent years has included an announcement from Nintendo of 1-2 significant games that release by the end of the same year, and usually Nintendo Directs include announcements for games to be released within a relatively short window, as we saw with recent MM3D and Kirby 3DS games for example (and for download-only games, sometimes they are released at the time of the announcement).
FE Echoes: Shadow of Valentia was announced back in late January and slated for April release in Japan and rest of the world in May. That's 4 months gap between announcement and release, so yes I think it's very possible for Nintendo to announce something new via Direct and E3 and have it released in this very year. I suspect Nintendo don't want all of their game revealed yet besides the big title so the smaller one will got their chance to capture public attention.
You post on the subject quite a bit. Most of it in this vein.

His Vita post was ill-informed (didn't know that there's supply constraint), and the second one....he isn't wrong in that regard (probably not larger but it isn't significantly smaller either).
 

maxcriden

Member
Oh yeah I heard of them but tempered-glass protectors are supposed to be fine aslong as you leave the glue to dry for a few hours before using the Switch with it. And your quoted-post makes sense I guess, I'll then just keep using the dock normally.

Ok cool, just wanted to make sure. I had heard about a melting issue with the tempered-glass ones related I think to the glue, but as long as it will be permanently intact once you do the few hour dry I hope that will be good to go. The dock gets pretty warm so I will be hoping it goes well for you, if you happen to think of it please let me know how it does end up going as I have one of the same protectors but am waiting to apply it till I get more sourced info on the melting issue. Thanks man.

FE Echoes: Shadow of Valentia was announced back in late January and slated for April release in Japan and rest of the world in May. That's 4 months gap between announcement and release, so yes I think it's very possible for Nintendo to announce something new via Direct and E3 and have it released in this very year. I suspect Nintendo don't want all of their game revealed yet besides the big title so the smaller one will got their chance to capture public attention.

Ah, that's right - I forgot about that. Thank you for the further example. I do think that in addition to spotlighting smaller titles they like to do this for major titles to get their first bit of buzz not long before release - stuff like MM 3DS and Super Mario 3D World are major titles announced 3-6 months before release. But, in general I agree it is a wise strategy for them, whichever the reason, and certainly as you said they do often leverage it to push smaller games.
 
Honestly, with the evolution of the 3DS (3DS, then 3DS XL, then 2DS, now New 3DS and New 3DS XL), many people own multiple 3DS's, I personally own 2. That 60 million number is misleading anyways.

People owning multiple console revisions is widespread, like PS4, Slim, Pro or XOnes, that is normal, especially for early adapters/gaf user.

So the number is not "misleading" because everyone (should) know that 50 million sold PS4 or 3DS are not equal to 50 mio different user.

Regarding WiiU & 3DS... the lineup is quite similar, so I don't think that every WiiU owner or even 1/4 of them has a 3DS too.
 

Cerium

Member
Even a recent post is directly related to this thread, I don't necessarily think it's out-of-bounds to reference, but make your case in an unambiguous fashion. What post(s) are you talking about that might shed light on his intentions in this thread?

Arguing that Switch falling behind Vita is a matter of "concern" when other posters quite clearly laid out that the Vita failed to sell through its initial shipment while Switch remains supply constrained. After being corrected he still maintains that position on this very page.

In this thread he makes the exact same out of context argument about Switch falling behind WiiU which is directly relevant and ignores that the subject has already been covered in the Media Create thread that he cites.

A simple misunderstanding is one thing, but persistently clinging to a disingenuous argument after being corrected multiple times suggests that he's deliberately trying to push a narrative that he knows is misleading. And since previous attempts to engage him have failed, it seems unlikely that engaging him again will produce a different result.
 
Arguing that Switch falling behind Vita is a matter of "concern" when other posters quite clearly laid out that the Vita failed to sell through its initial shipment while Switch remains supply constrained. After being corrected he still maintains that position on this very page.

In this thread he makes the exact same out of context argument about Switch falling behind WiiU which is directly relevant and ignores that the subject has already been covered in the Media Create thread that he cites.

A simple misunderstanding is one thing, but persistently clinging to a disingenuous argument after being corrected multiple times suggests that he's deliberately trying to push a narrative that he knows is misleading.

Sure. I'm just saying lead with that and not ambiguous character attacks right out of the gate.
 
Uh that post was literally based on the switch falling behind the Vita? Seems like a logical concern.

You were explained why your concern is wrong. If such concern still holds, like you are holding it in this thread, that means you are concern trolling.
 
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