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Analyst: Xbox "generates" $2 billion in losses for MS. Hides it with patent royalties

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I think Bing and Xbox could realistically be spun-off or sold. They're not strategic sectors anymore and are losing money. I don't believe that 360 lost much in later years. With Live and good sales, it was probably a decent profit maker, but Xbone is going to sink all that when it launches and I don't think that it will have as long term vigorous sales as its predecessor had so it can pay back the intitial investment.
 

Averon

Member
Wouldn't be surprised. They spent $400m on an NFL deal. Boasted about spending $100m on a controller tweak. And those third party exclusives aren't cheap. Who know how much securing TitanFall cost them. The XBO will be a huge money sink for them for the next few years, especially now that MS can't count on having a huge advantage in terms of 3rd party multi-plat sales that they enjoyed this generation.
 
I read somewhere that MS get 5$ for each sold Android device, in patent royalties.

They spend a lot of money on marketing, R&D, RROD, moneyhatting and so on.

And they keep buying companies for crazy money! They bought Skype,next year they are buying Nokias phone division and they recently bought Yammer for 1 billion!
 

Skeff

Member
If they have 20 million Gold subscribers, they're making 1 Billion per 10 months off sub fees.

That's assuming $50 for Microsoft, but it doesn't work like that.

For instance if I go to Amazon I can purchase one for $47, this likely has a profit margin for the seller so we're likely on $40, then there is distribution, maybe down to $39, manufacturing of the cards $38.

I've been generous towards MS there and they're already down to $38 so for 20 million subs it's: 760 million for 12 months for 20 million subs.

After that they need to pay for the infrastructure, they need to pay for the games for gold, they need to pay the XBL customer support.

I'd guess they get between 250 million and 500 million in profit on XBLG, probably closer to 250million?

It's about the whole device division. Not only Xbox.

Check the Bolded in the OP.
 
Is this the new Bioshock Infinite cost 1 trillion dollars to make?

And the "probably" and "can be"s in the op quote don't seem particularly detailed.
 

ekim

Member
Glad someone else made this thread

Thought about it earlier

Not sure where the losses are coming from though, RROD or R&D I wonder at this point?

They built a whole silicon lab for the Kinect sensor and several other chips - I guess these things are expensive.
 

Concept17

Member
4 billion from the first console... how much for 360? kinect? 1 billion from RROD. 2 billion for xbone.

Closing in on 10?
 

mavs

Member
If this is true, then I am shocked there is an xbox one at all.

Assuming they pick up where the 360 left off (2008-2012, 2013 has been a down year) the XB1 is a no-brainer. Without that assumption, yes it looks like a big risk.
 
if Microsoft keeps losing that much money I guess everyone will see a Titan Fall.

Ok, terrible joke, but it isn't a good situation
 
Mildly skeptical, but I wouldn't be surprised.

From a business point of view, the original XB1 design approach ( prior to all the 180s ) had the design focused entirely to 'maximising profit margin.'

My colleagues and I recently had a fun workshop brainstorm session looking at all the avenues of monetisation built inside the XB1... and it was kinda insane how much monetisation potential the thing holds.
 
either there is some serious misreporting going on

because last i knew x360 was super profitable so was xbox live.

unless xboxone r and d took such a toll .... if its true nintendo is well off buying off the xbox division and putting their first party on them .... and that would be a legitimate contender to ps4 ...

honestly tho .... I dont see the xbox division still hemorrhaging this badly ... bing yes ... but not the xbox division. (and we all know how much they still keep trying to win the bing battle)

What. Is this fantasy console wars?
 

ekim

Member
Woah son

Now that's an investment. They're not kidding around

Really interesting article about it:
http://www.engadget.com/2013/05/21/building-xbox-one-an-inside-look/

Though Microsoft's still working with AMD to build out some of its chips this time around, it's also invested millions of dollars in building out verification facilities (among others) on-site in Mountain View and doubling the amount of in-house engineering dedicated to silicon.

"In the consumer space, to control your destiny, you can't just rely on commodity components. You have to be able to make your own silicon. It helps with performance; it helps with the cost; it helps make your product smaller; it helps you create your own IP (always a good thing). I'll argue you're a lot more flexible -- you're not relying on somebody else's schedule; you make your own. So we're obviously heading that way. The stuff we've done over the last 13, 14 years is one example of that within Microsoft. And you're gonna see more and more of that, is my guess, as you go forward."
 
Wouldn't be surprised. They spent $400m on an NFL deal. Boasted about spending $100m on a controller tweak. And those third party exclusives aren't cheap. Who know how much securing TitanFall cost them. The XBO will be a huge money sink for them for the next few years, especially now that MS can't count on having a huge advantage in terms of 3rd party multi-plat sales that they enjoyed this generation.

I totally agree. Microsoft's solution has been to throw money at every single problem and hope for the best and that strategy may play a part in their exit. It's simply not sustainable.
 
I thought Live generates upwards to a Billion or more a year in revenue, servers and maintenance can't be that expensive. Hardware should make a good profit per unit.

Even with ridiculous RNDon controllers that cost 100 millions and APUs for billions, how does that posdibly come to a yearly multi billion loss?

It does.

According to Janney Capital Markets:

July 1st, 2012 - June 30th, 2013

Xbox revenue: $2.391 billion
Xbox LIVE revenue: $1.346 billion
Xbox Royalty + Accessories + Software revenue: $3.346 billion

Total Xbox Revenue: $7.083 billion
Non-Xbox ED&D revenue (Windows Phone + Royalties + Skype): $3.081 billion
Total ED&D division revenue: $10.164 billion
% of ED&D revenue attributed to Xbox: 70%


Historical % of ED&D revenue attributed to Xbox:
FY 2006 - 48%
FY 2007 - 67%
FY 2008 - 69%
FY 2009 - 68%
FY 2010 - 89%
FY 2011 - 92%
FY 2012 - 84%
FY 2013 - 70%
 

Acheteedo

Member
asfd3221125511352.jpg

Is it possible that he's referring to the running total of the Xbox gaming devision as per this graph? It's plausible that this is now at negative 2 billion. It is completely implausible that it's losing 2bn per year.
 

VeeP

Member
They can afford it.

They can afford it enough that along with Apple and a few others they just spent 4.5 billion funding a patent troll company to go after Google and other Android manufacturers.

http://www.wired.com/wiredenterprise/2013/11/rockstar-2/

And this is why the sale of vast patent portfolios, and software patents, are a bad thing. Nobody will win but the lawyers, it's such a waste of time.

Google was asked to join the group, they didn't.
 

Seanspeed

Banned
They built a whole silicon lab for the Kinect sensor and several other chips - I guess these things are expensive.
They've done a LOT of investing in all kinds of areas with the Xbox One. Securing partnerships, exclusives, funding of all 1st party game, R&D for the hardware, marketing and media events, manufacturing for the hardware, etc etc.

All of this is loss until they can actually sell the damn thing.
 

Foxix Von

Member
I don't buy this. I don't see any way the Xbox division is generating those kinds of losses. We'd be looking at some absolutely insane levels of mismanagement here.
 

Ashes

Banned
I presume he has worked out that they are making $10 per android device from Samsung and HTC via patent licenses - they sell millions and millions. That makes a billion, so taking that out of the division's profits, leaves them a miserly amount for xbox.
They make more money on Android than they do on windows phones. Huh! Funny old world. MS sure knows how to make money. :)
 
Why this nonsense

Microsofts financials are availble for every investor to see. They are not losing 2 billion a year on EAS full stop.


However. There seems to be increasingly loud rumblings that if the Xbox one is as big a success as the 360, if not bigger, the division may be trouble.


I dont think Microsoft is content with beating Sony, they want that Apple money.


I honestly think even if the Xbox one is tracking even with the PS4 world wide it will be seen as a failure (unless both are selling insane numbers)
 

Skeff

Member
Is it possible that he's referring to the running total of the Xbox gaming devision as per this graph? It's plausible that this is now at negative 2 billion. It is completely implausible that it's losing 2bn per year.

Well is that the E+D division? if so he's saying that chart is better reflected if you take 2 billion off every year to account for the Android patents.
 

DBT85

Member
With the profits we assume they make on the 360 and obviously on Gold, I can't wrap my head around them not making money.
 

Acheteedo

Member
Well is that the E+D division? if so he's saying that chart is better reflected if you take 2 billion off every year to account for the Android patents.

No that's the gaming division. Didn't the gaming division only get bundled with the E+D division recently?
 
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