Or it's just selling better than expected on Amazon. They've got stock at all the physical locations near me. They've also got stock of LBW on Amazon.com so it's not like Nintendo has a problem stocking big titles on there.You're saying that in a week's time Nintendo of America, which Reggie is in charge of, couldn't have supplied the country's biggest online retailer with more units? If that's true, then Nintendo is much worse off than anyone expected.
That's Wii HD, not Wii U.
Don't bring up trying talk about "sense" when you've been guilty of weird claims.Yes, that has relevance to people treating an estimation from someone who has been continually wrong as fact
I would characterize it as follows:
Under 300k: disastrous
300-400k: bad but not surprising
400-500k: serviceable
Over 500k: encouraging, all things considered
I think it will end up between 350-400.
Or it's just selling better than expected on Amazon. They've got stock at all the physical locations near me. They've also got stock of LBW on Amazon.com so it's not like Nintendo has a problem stocking big titles on there.
They are selling 3DS nowAmazon does not sell Nintendo hardware. They stopped over 1 year ago.
Same concept, different timeframe. He was not against the idea and constantly championed how much success Nintendo could have if they released an HD Wii.
Well, why are people wrong for saying that it needs to be north of 750k, during the busiest shopping time of the year, after the release of their highest profile game and a price cut and renewed marketing? At what point are people allowed to call it like they see it? It's been a year, with countless people saying to wait for Pikmin, price drop, Zelda, and lastly 3D Mario. If it's not turning around now, when do people stop saying to wait until calling it?No, I'm not.
I'm just saying that people are saying that only ridiculously high figures would show it to be on the way to recovery.
1. My prediction is around 429k
2. The Wii U is close to it, but it still has potential
This is extremely disingenuous.
Except that there is. PS3 alone sells more software currently than all Nintendo systems combined. At the end of latest quarter 3DS software sales were still behind even PSP launched aligned.... That is pretty horrible. Then of course the other market is in huge decline because of damage dealt by smartphones and the other one is not. Currently Sony is in way better position than Nintendo.
I think the "different timeframe" undermines the credibility of this argumentation.
If it really sold only 150k with Super Mario 3D World and the Black Friday Deals....wow, this would be horrible.
the portables are bullshit too. I mean the Vita really deserved the sales that the 3DS is enjoying. that OLED man damn I just don't even get that.
I can imagine it not surviving past march 2015, but this is not Nintendo's last home console.
I would characterize it as follows:
Under 300k: disastrous
300-400k: bad but not surprising
400-500k: serviceable
Over 500k: encouraging, all things considered
I think it will end up between 350-400.
I would buy it at 99$Price drop to $199. At least u build a bigger install base to sell software to.
They are selling 3DS now
Well, why are people wrong for saying that it needs to be north of 750k, during the busiest shopping time of the year, after the release of their highest profile game and a price cut and renewed marketing? At what point are people allowed to call it like they see it? It's been a year, with countless people saying to wait for Pikmin, price drop, Zelda, and lastly 3D Mario. If it's not turning around now, when do people stop saying to wait until calling it?
It comes across like "wait for the Vita's first Christmas!"
And what does "potential" even mean in concrete terms? How does it achieve this potential?
Let's not start up this crap again... dropping hardware hasn't worked out for Atari, Hudson, SNK or Sega. It would result in a disaster for Nintendo as well.
And why hasn't Nintendo worked out a deal with the nation's largest online retailer to sell the Wii U?They are selling 3DS now
Think you should maybe look at this list by Aquamarine: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=92052067&postcount=43
Now, perhaps someone can share sales numbers to clarify, but it appears to me that Wii U is practically dead in Japan and Europe. Seeing as NA is now Nintendo's sole remaining source of real income for this console...I think anything less than half a million is disastrous.
I cannot believe this thing sold under 300k in November in any way. The Mario number is a little more reasonable to me.
If Pachter is right, would the Wii have a chance to outsell the U for November? I have not followed Wii sales numbers at all this year.
34K < Wii < 35K
50K < Wii U < 51K
Yeah, not really.
Which goes against him being "always against it"
don't die before X is out.
Which goes against him being "always against it"
Well, we know that Wii U is up against two new and clearly popular next-gen consoles. It also up again old consoles which provide a bigger library of games. Lastly, it is up against a resurgent 3DS which is far more appealing even for people who really like Nintendo. If I could choose between getting a Wii U or a 3DS, hell even a 2DS, I would choose the latter without question. I would prefer it even at the same price as Wii U.
Taking all of the above into consideration, managing to sell half a million units would be an encouraging sign that Wii U is at least still alive.
What kind of logic is thisWell, we know that Wii U is up against two new and clearly popular next-gen consoles. It also up again old consoles which provide a bigger library of games. Lastly, it is up against a resurgent 3DS which is far more appealing even for people who really like Nintendo. If I could choose between getting a Wii U or a 3DS, hell even a 2DS, I would choose the latter without question. I would prefer it even at the same price as Wii U.
Taking all of the above into consideration, managing to sell half a million units would be an encouraging sign that Wii U is at least still alive.
Yeah, not really.
Which goes against him being "always against it"
You're assuming that they have any credibility left, which is definitely something worth questioning when all the third parties jumped ship between launch and now.Killing the Wii U before 2016-2017 in favor of launching a new home console would screw over their credibility with pretty much everybody. Nobody's going to want to make games for your platform or buy your platform if they're not confident that you're going to support it for at least 4-5 years. They killed Virtual Boy quickly, yes, but they didn't ask people to buy a new and improved version right after that, they just decided it was an evolutionary dead-end.
The fact that it would kill credibility with third parties even further is important, as pretty much the only reason why Nintendo would need power parity with PS4/XBone is to be able to take multiplats. Nintendo itself certainly isn't interested in taking advantage of that much power.
They also weren't very rosy for Sony either who had to sell buildings last fiscal year.You are missing fiscal years 12 and 13 that were not so rosy anymore for Nintendo. During FY11 they still had DS and Wii making money.
Obviously that matters and he's stated that he thought it was 18 months late, but the general idea of the console is not something he was always against.I personally think it's unfair to suggest that the notion of him being FOR a Wii HD concept when the Wii was still at it's prime should automatically denote that he automatically must have been for the Wii U once it was finally revealed at E3 2011 with a release date 18 months off.
The alternative is Nintendo manning up and putting those Wii/DS profits towards repairing all the mistakes they made since their decision to go with carts on the N64. Or finding another attractive novelty akin to motion controls for their next console, this time making sure it doesn't eat too much into the manufacturing budget like the Gamepad. Maybe even a combination of both, which would be ideal.that doesn't mean it can't be done well.
also..the alternative seems a portable only nintendo..and it's not a good news either