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Analyst: Uber loses $2 billion/year, customers only pay 41% of ride costs

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border

Member
Yes, it doesn't make a lot of sense to assume that Uber is going to pay owners of self-driving cars at the same rate they pay their drivers. If they did that, there would be no point in switching to driverless cars.
 

KingV

Member
Yes, it doesn't make a lot of sense to assume that Uber is going to pay owners of self-driving cars at the same rate they pay their drivers. If they did that, there would be no point in switching to driverless cars.

I'd argue that's about what it's going to cost to make it worthwhile.

In a previous post I calculated it at about $10-14/hr to make a couple hundred bucks in profit per month leasing out your car for 8 hours per day, 30 days per month. Maybe I'm off somewhat, but it's not like renting driverless cars is going to be 1/10 of the cost.
 

Nategc20

Banned
I should also add Lyft is about a thousand times more popular in Los Angeles than Uber

I live in an extremely active social area and Uber drivers are uncommon compared to Lyft

I'll see a few local drivers on Uber app yet my Lyft app shows them everywhere
It's uber land in chicago.
 
Wait, why would driverless cars make more money for Uber? How does the math work?

No money going to the driver, everything goes to Uber directly I guess. Not sure myself since driverless cars I think will be insanely expensive the first few years as companies work all the kinks out.
 
Uber is trying to hold it's place until it can actually cut the costs with automated cars. It's a risky strategy but if they pull it off

One amendment to that...renewable energy based automated cars.

They're going to reduce recurring fuel costs, remove recurring driver costs and invest in up front technologies for the long game payoff with low-mid range recurring maintenance costs.
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
Self-driven cars will be drones, all collecting video data neerly 24/7 everywhere they go. That data will be sold to third parties to be analyzed by neural networks for various purposes.

There's huge amounts of money to make, they just need time.
 

Alienfan

Member
What if instead of lending their time to Uber, people who own a self-driving car lease their car to Uber for a cut of the profit.

Fuck did I just make someone else billions of dollars.

That's actually really fucking smart. "While I'm at work, I'm going to make some extra cash using my car as an automated taxi"
 

Opto

Banned
Self-driven cars will be drones, all collecting video data neerly 24/7 everywhere they go. That data will be sold to third parties to be analyzed by neural networks for various purposes.

There's huge amounts of money to make, they just need time.
don't forget the government surveillance
 

midramble

Pizza, Bourbon, and Thanos
The problem is, the actual competition is google/waze.

Though Uber has Otto, ran by ex-Google people, for the automated cars, which you see in San Francisco these days, Google has partnered with Chrysler...

Uber has the edge on the rideshare business model but Google has a massive edge on resources and self driving R&D. It will be easier for Google to catch up. Hopefully Uber will be able to maintain competition so that Google has reason to keep prices lower.

I was really hoping to get a job at Uber too. Next Tech bubble pop isn't going to be kind to me.

https://www.google.com/amp/www.wsj....e-1472584235?client=ms-android-hms-tmobile-us
 
Amazing that a company with virtually zero overhead for 99% of its employees can't break even.

Is the cost per ride simply from running the matchmaking servers and gps?
 
Because most people don't carry cash and want to tip me. So why shouldn't there be a mechanism to do so?
Also .75 a mile is hardly being paid tbh.

There really needs to be. When I found out how little Uber drivers got paid I started keeping some small bills in my pocket for tipping...which is dumb. And obnoxious, as I rarely use cash for anything. It goes against the whole concept of ease of use. There needs to be a tipping option. Doesn't have to be in your face but the option should be there.
 

KingV

Member
Amazing that a company with virtually zero overhead for 99% of its employees can't break even.

Is the cost per ride simply from running the matchmaking servers and gps?

I think this it's weird that most of GAF seems willing to call a business genius that has zero assets and zero COGS but can't make money, based on the money they will one day make off of future technology that doesn't even exist yet.
 
They certainly aren't spending money on rider's account security or technical support. I've had a problem receiving other users email for 5 months and their support has not done anything.

During the week I took over the other users account and have access to their whole trip history, name, payment method. Quite a large privacy breach really, their response is basically ignoring it. Seems to be pretty common, so just know that Uber don't give a shit about their users.

Blogged about it here: http://micmon.com.au/2016/11/uber-account-security-issue-support-wants-to-ignore-it/
 

bobbytkc

ADD New Gen Gamer
The article misses ubers entire long term strategy. They want to be robot taxis in five years with zero driver overhead. They establish the brand with humans until automated cars are ready to take over and bring in the profits.

People care about the brands of their taxis?

I think people just take the cheapest available.
 
You guys really think people will buy a car at 40k or so and allow Uber to use it? Who's going to pay for the gas or electricity? And if Uber has these stations to clean and gas them or charge then then what's the point if only having part time use, the costs would be the same as owning? Hell, most of you wouldn't let your roommate drive your car now, let alone some corporation thats paying you peanuts
 

ChouGoku

Member
If its untenable now I wonder how they are going to manage when they have to purchase and upkeep millions of automated vehicles?
Well whats more expensive, upkeep and fuel for a car or a livable human salary. I would think that since people use part of their salary for general upkeep of a car a human salary is more. I would think you would still save money if you hire a few people to handle a lot of cars. This savings increases with self driving eletric vehicles
 

digdug2k

Member
I just don't think the kind of person that buys a $30,000-$50,000 car is really going to like the idea that more than half the miles put on it are going to be put on it by someone else. Why spend that kind of money if you aren't even going to enjoy it half the time?

Nevermind that at the end of a hard day you're potentially going to be cleaning food/soda/vomit off the upholstery or dealing with stains and scents that may or may not ever come out.
I have a feeling the guy who buys a $50,000 car is going to be more upset when he/she puts in a call for it, waits 30 minutes for it to show up only to have it show up filled with vomit, booze, and used condoms (if it shows up at all). Even if, best case scenario, the perps caught, that's still a pretty shitty day.
 

KingV

Member
Well whats more expensive, upkeep and fuel for a car or a livable human salary. I would think that since people use part of their salary for general upkeep of a car a human salary is more. I would think you would still save money if you hire a few people to handle a lot of cars. This savings increases with self driving eletric vehicles

Well the IRS lets you deduct 57 cents per mile for business expenses. So as a rough estimate, that's what it costs to upkeep a car. Currently they pay drivers about 75 cents per mile. It's a savings but not a huge one.
 

Magni

Member
There really needs to be. When I found out how little Uber drivers got paid I started keeping some small bills in my pocket for tipping...which is dumb. And obnoxious, as I rarely use cash for anything. It goes against the whole concept of ease of use. There needs to be a tipping option. Doesn't have to be in your face but the option should be there.

Fuck that. I hate Uber the company, but one of the good things they're doing is getting rid of the idea that you need to tip a driver.

Now of course, they should be paying drivers a livable wage, but that should be part of the price, not a tip.

Tipping is not meant to be a salary replacement FFS.
 

itxaka

Defeatist
I wonder why nobody has created an open platform for car "sharing" similar to uber.

Sure, you wont get any enterprise behind, but you could have a small council to enforce rules and let the community set its prices and fix the issues by themselves.
 

Nikodemos

Member
Fuck that. I hate Uber the company, but one of the good things they're doing is getting rid of the idea that you need to tip a driver.

Now of course, they should be paying drivers a livable wage, but that should be part of the price, not a tip.

Tipping is not meant to be a salary replacement FFS.
Seriously. The price on the meter is the price I pay. Fuck tipping in all service industries. Fuck tipping out of existence.
 

Korey

Member
Yea, the whole "Uber is just waiting for driverless cars to make money" theory makes absolutely zero sense.
 

Rootbeer

Banned
it costs over $33 to get from my job to home using uber (never actually did it, only priced it out). It's about a 20 min car trip.

If that's only 41% then fuck that if they start raising the price.

I may bitch and moan about public transit but damn if it doesn't save me a TON of money.
 

Usobuko

Banned
People care about the brands of their taxis?

I think people just take the cheapest available.

Ecosystem.

I read recently that uber is trying to allow riders to directly go to one of the person in their contact who also probably used uber before.

Once you're entrenched in Uber ecosystem with whatsoever value added service they will provide in addition to their main service, it will be hard to look for alternative.

Convenience is the key, they have much more comprehensive data to facilitate all these unlike traditional taxi companies.
 

Usobuko

Banned
I think being on Gaming Gaf side and witnessing Xbox and PlayStation battle for dominance and supremacy in the current gen shapes my perspective somewhat.

Ultimately, most of us going to be on a platform / ecosystem our friends are at even if the other alternatives are there. Whether it's whatsapp, YouTube etc.
 

ChouGoku

Member
Well the IRS lets you deduct 57 cents per mile for business expenses. So as a rough estimate, that's what it costs to upkeep a car. Currently they pay drivers about 75 cents per mile. It's a savings but not a huge one.

With enough cars on the road doesn't it become a decent savings? And that would be just with a 1:1 switch, I think bigger incentives to switch to autonomous is that you arent limited by people who have a car AND want to use uber. I am sure in many cities you can have more cars than what was available during the willing human participant days
 

Chittagong

Gold Member
Despite their claims to the contray, Uber will inevitably need to IPO. No company in the world will acquire their business at its latest valuation with these metrics, and they have no path to cashflow positive.

Their investors need that liquidity, and the joke will be on joe public picking up the tab.

Uber will thus be a scheme for VCs to legally hoover in dumb retail money.
 

milanbaros

Member?
There really needs to be. When I found out how little Uber drivers got paid I started keeping some small bills in my pocket for tipping...which is dumb. And obnoxious, as I rarely use cash for anything. It goes against the whole concept of ease of use. There needs to be a tipping option. Doesn't have to be in your face but the option should be there.

Why do you want to bring tipping into the service? That would be the end of any hope of Uber upping their driver fees (which would increase supply and mean fewer rides for drivers but that is besides the point). If anything, introducing a tip option would eventually do away from Uber paying them anything at all.
 

A Fish Aficionado

I am going to make it through this year if it kills me
As a lyft driver I get usually $20+ an hour, but that's about 15℅ or so less than last year. And they allow tipping. Min ride used to $5 now it's $3.50.

They are taking an advantage, but I'd be worse working retail.
 

Kamaji

Member
I wonder how their foreign investments are going. Basically in the Nordic market they did 0 research about the legality before starting massive campaign and launching their operation here.

The consequence of which was UberPOP shutting down almost instantaneously because it was obvious from the start that what they did was against Swedish law. They had to pay all legal fees for the poor immigrant drivers who were tricked into driving from them.

Essentially the exact same process is happening in Denmark now since UberPOP is a clear violation of Danish law as well. Costly legal procedures are on their way in Finland and Norway as well.

From what I gather costly legal procedures are everywhere in continental Europe as well (Germany, France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium etc. etc).

Must be tons of costs associated with basically failing in all these markets, which could in most cases be prevented by standard research before entering said market.
 

milanbaros

Member?
I wonder how their foreign investments are going. Basically in the Nordic market they did 0 research about the legality before starting massive campaign and launching their operation here.

The consequence of which was UberPOP shutting down almost instantaneously because it was obvious from the start that what they did was against Swedish law. They had to pay all legal fees for the poor immigrant drivers who were tricked into driving from them.

Essentially the exact same process is happening in Denmark now since UberPOP is a clear violation of Danish law as well. Costly legal procedures are on their way in Finland and Norway as well.

From what I gather costly legal procedures are everywhere in continental Europe as well (Germany, France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium etc. etc).

Must be tons of costs associated with basically failing in all these markets, which could in most cases be prevented by standard research before entering said market.

I think they do research before entering a market and gamble that lobbying for law change and then entering the market is more risky than just starting and then having the legal battles later. If they don't start a competitor will. Sometimes it backfires but for the most part it has worked.
 

poppabk

Cheeks Spread for Digital Only Future
While I do think Uber is trying to go for a fully automated taxi fleet. That must means they have to own those cars. That seems rather counter to their core philosophy of being a platform of ride sharing, therefore avoiding a plethora of additional costs and responsibilities of ownership. It means they will need an entire supply chain of automated car manufacturing to car maintenance. I wonder if ultimately it might just be cheaper for them to operate with real drivers?
Yeah, they are losing billions a year just maintaining an app, I don't see how maintaining massive fleets of automated cars helps them become profitable.
 

KingV

Member
With enough cars on the road doesn't it become a decent savings? And that would be just with a 1:1 switch, I think bigger incentives to switch to autonomous is that you arent limited by people who have a car AND want to use uber. I am sure in many cities you can have more cars than what was available during the willing human participant days

Looking at their p&l they'd need to at least double that just to break even.

And there are other costs that are not included in the 57 cents, like either cleaning up and detailing the cars daily/weekly or paying some amount of margin to the actual owners of the cars.

One of the reasons internet companies are popular with investors is that they rarely own much physical property or equipment, so their return on assets is huge. If Uber starts buying a worldwide fleet of cars they will have a terrible ROA, even if they manage to eke out some tiny profit.

I think the moral of the story is that the taxi business is the taxi business, no matter how you slice it. The same externalities that apply to taxis apply to Uber, and just because you have a fancy app doesn't make them go away.
 

Hari Seldon

Member
They are dumping a lot of money into tech which is great. However like someone else said, the big auto companies are also dumping money into tech and they have the factories to actually make the cars. All they need is an app and they can throttle Uber.
 
This should be a big red flag to all of the Web 3.0 (or whatever the fuck you want to call it) companies and investors.

If Uber is this overvalued... what about Snapchat, or any other web company with tons of users and no real profit? We are seeing the warning signs of a huge bubble.

Technology is outpacing capitalism. Is breaking it.

Does snapchat and services alike deserve not to exist because they can't make a profit? Are people to be deprived of the experiences such apps offer just because they don't produce circulation of capital? Is a really interesting situation.

And driver less cars are frankly a generation away from becoming widespread accepted by people, and that's without considering all the legal and investing issues having their own cars would create for Uber. If that's uber's strategy, they are fucked.
 
I could see Uber going under, but a taxi service or other investment firm snatching the brand and tech up for cheap, rolling it out to standard taxi services as an alternative cash flow for those services, and then when automated cars are readily available partnering with a manufacturer to sell Uber branded ride sharing cars.
 
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