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Official November 2007 NPD Prediction Thread

T

The Innocent X

Banned
Hammer24 said:
Thats probably the reason nearly noone expects them to do last years 360 numbers.
Click to expand...

Well, we've seen so many people who work in retail saying that it's selling decent, but nowhere near 360 or Wii, so I think it`ll be around 400K-450K.
 
H

Hammer24

Banned
The Innocent X said:
Well, we've seen so many people who work in retail saying that it's selling decent, but nowhere near 360 or Wii, so I think it`ll be around 400K-450K.
Click to expand...

I´m refering to the 511k the 360 sold last year in a similar position (same month, competition, time on the market, price point).
 
J

JoshuaJSlone

Member
The long:
Numbers more guessy this month. October-November isn't like a May-June-July period where things stay mostly flat but with slight changes that can be seen historically.

Wii: We "know" two weeks if we trust Nintendo's claims, adding to 650K. If the previous week was something like October average, that would bring things to 780K. I imagine the following week was closer to the 300K weeks than to the 100K weeks, so I'll go with 250K for that one. 1.03 million.

DS: 650K in one week is pretty huge, especially when it wasn't due to $50 deals like GBA in 2005. Last November DS did 918K, but this year seems so much bigger. GBA neared 1.2 million in November a few times; DS seems to be hotter than on those years. 1.3 million.

GBA: Hot November, but declining hardware. Especially with DS picking up. I'll say 220K, a third of what it did last year.

PS3: 300% improvement? Not doubled by X360 Thanksgiving week? *shrug* I'll go with 420K.

PS2: Has always been hotter than PS3, but is also on its way down overall. Based on how down it's been this year and that it hit 664K last year, I'm thinking it'll be pretty close to PS3. For our purposes here I'll make it a tie. 420K.

PSP: Tough one. Slim didn't seem to light the world on fire, but various reports say it's a pretty big seller the last few weeks. Last November it hit 412K... I'll say 50% improvement, so 640K.

X360: Last November was 511K, but the last few months have been stronger than 2006 thanks to Halo 3 and the price drops/SKU shufling. Like PSP I'll say 50% improvement, so 765K. Higher than any previous Xbox/X360 November.
Click to expand...

The short:

[DS] 1300K
[Wii] 1030K
[360] 765K
[PSP] 640K
[PS3] 420K
[PS2] 420K
[GBA] 220K
 
H

Hammer24

Banned
JoshuaJSlone said:
Unless Cheesemeister has made it more strict, it will accept both DS and NDS. GCN/NGC were also both acceptable, when we got those numbers.
Click to expand...

Oh OK, just wanted to make sure your prediction counts. :)
 
S

sinseers

Member
[Wii] 1.2 mil - Easily
[360] 400-600K
[PS3] 300-400K

P.S. Have yall been to Gamestop recently? It's a madhouse in there now. No lie, every 8 out of 10 customers that come in now ask for the Wii. Every phone call that comes in....yep you guessed it....Wii. There is no doubting who this Christmas belongs to anymore.
 
K

Kaako

Felium Defensor
Here we go:

[NDS] 550K
[WII] 480K
[360] 286K
[PSP] 188K
[PS3] 210K
[PS2] 194K
[GBA] 38K

Those #s are full of win.
 
C

Culex

Banned
Kaako said:
Here we go:

[NDS] 550K
[WII] 480K
[360] 286K
[PSP] 188K
[PS3] 210K
[PS2] 194K
[GBA] 38K

Those #s are full of win.
Click to expand...

I understand it's a joke post, but at least make a guess that is actually possible, since the Wii sold at least 650k and the 360 sold at least 310k.
 
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