Here is a way to track the bill:
https://www.billtrack50.com/BillDetail/830479
https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=201720180SB562
It's in Assembly and already read the first time. I don't think constituents need to vote for it...but Brown has been a little wary on it and he could veto it.
27 of 40 senate seats is 68%
55 of 80 assembly seats is 69%
I also think you're wrong about the sales tax. If you spent 3K on stuff each month that get his by sales tax you would pay roughly $60 more for free healthcare.
Nevermind the fact that I think the Amherst analyst is off on their analysis, both the total cost and how much CA gets on medicare/medicaid, but even assuming they are right, I feel lots of people will be against it. Sales tax already reaches 10% in some places in CA. That's pretty damn high. That is undoubtedly something proponents will need to address and win people over.
Also, I don't think Dems will automatically vote for it. It passed with a 23-14 vote in the senate. Steve Glazer (D) voted against it and 3 didn't vote. That would be enough to not get a super majority to change the tax in the state (if 66% supermajority is true) regardless how the other 3 Ds would vote.
For those interested,
Coloradocare failed while just getting 21% of the votes. They were going for a 10% income hike (3.33% for employees, 6.67% for employers) and 10% on all other income, so for most people it would be just over 3% of their income and people voted overwhelmingly against it.
I'd be willing to accept VAT levels of taxation for universal healthcare, but if they can do it for only 2% more then that's even better.
Sadly, I think all states will need to be on board in order for the entire thing to work, which means that the plan would have to be federal. Good luck with that anytime soon.
It could undoubtedly work at the state level if its citizens and businesses are willing to pay higher taxes. The only thing to keep in mind is if you're in a trip to Disney World in Orlando, FL, you won't get your single payer benefits there. Not that different than someone from ON going on a trip to NYC and needing to go to the ER there.
The main kink they would have to work out IMO, besides how to pay for it, is if I live in a neighboring state and get sick, I can just go over and get free care without contributing to the pot. This is a bit different than a tourist getting sick in Vancouver and needing medical care because in the latter case, it's already accounted for by the taxes, in the former case it could be heavily abused.
Is it wrong I don't want it to pass because I want to keep my job?
I feel like we're the bad guys opposing it.
People will say yes, I will say no. CYA is something most people do.