• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Nintendo 2016 Fiscal Year Earnings Release: Targeting 10 million Switches this f-year

The Hermit

Member
Damn... Zelda.... BTW.. So 10M for FY17 so that means FY16=2.7M+FY17=10 = 12.7M By March 2018? And some says that's conservative...Fuck.. Thats really close to WiiU LTD.

When people said in the sales prediction thread that the Switch would have a hard time surpassing the WiiU in LTD I told them they had no idea of how terrible the WiiU sales were and that the Switch could even beat it in one year.

That thread will be a crow feast next year.
 
When people said in the sales prediction thread that the Switch would have a hard time surpassing the WiiU in LTD I told them they had no idea of how terrible the WiiU sales were and that the Switch could even beat it in one year.

That thread will be a crow feast next year.
By the end of this month the Switch can be close or above 4M, that's​ more than the Wii U first year and that's without Christmas sales....
 

Scrawnton

Member
By the end of this month the Switch can be close or above 4M, that more than the Wii U first year and thats without Christmas sales....
We will have a good idea after this weekend. A lot of US stores are holding Switch stock til tomorrow to release with Mario Kart. If they're sold out next week then April sales will be very strong.
 
Is there a thread or somewhere I can check to see how much revenue Nintendo made from their mobile apps? I'm really curious to know how FE Heroes is doing.
 

borghe

Loves the Greater Toronto Area
Would have been really interesting so see how Switch's first ~13 months compared to PS4's.. well except for PS4 getting two holidays in its time span. Pretty sure PS4 still would beat Switch but with two holidays as well I wonder how close Switch could have gotten?
 
Would have been really interesting so see how Switch's first ~13 months compared to PS4's.. well except for PS4 getting two holidays in its time span. Pretty sure PS4 still would beat Switch but with two holidays as well I wonder how close Switch could have gotten?

The first 9-10 months of both consoles can be compared though giving each of them one holiday season.
 

Trago

Member
"Dead on arrival"

Fantastic start, and it will only get better I think.

Nintendo actually has quality software coming that isn't far off at all. A complete reversal of the Wii U's first year. I'm ready for more release dates and unannounced games being revealed.
 
No but here's some specific numbers:



This is separate from their share of Pokémon Go profits.

Thank you for sharing that! I don't really know if those numbers are supposed to be mind-blowingly great or just as one should expect, but they do look pretty good, seeing as it's all just from FEH, SMR, and Miitomo (lol).
 

Polygonal_Sprite

Gold Member
I expect between 13 and 15m sold (in) by the end of march next year.

Switch is doing great.

Same here, if they can make enough of them and have Pokemon or Smash out this Holiday to go alongside Mario Odyssey they have a chance to outsell Wii U by the Switch first anniversary.

How many times has Fire Emblem mobile been downloaded?
 

Leatherface

Member
I know everyone loves to fight about system specs but I think the Switch is an absolutely fantastic piece of hardware. The new Zelda is arguably the best game they've ever made. Nintendo played their hand right this round. Now we have a steady release of games hitting, seemingly every week. Hopefully some bombs drop at E3 in regards to big 3rd party support. I hope they keep this train rolling. Time to get back on top again. Choo Choo!
 
I know everyone loves to fight about system specs but I think the Switch is an absolutely fantastic piece of hardware. The new Zelda is arguably the best game they've ever made. Nintendo played their hand right this round. Now we have a steady release of games hitting, seemingly every week. Hopefully some bombs drop at E3 in regards to big 3rd party support. I hope they keep this train rolling. Time to get back on top again. Choo Choo!

It actually feels like a new and improved way to play games versus the same box with better internals. I'll never understand the console power chase when consoles will never be able to catch up to PCs in that area.

And like you said, it helps that they've made an actual high end, high quality piece of hardware this time along with one of the best games ever made. That's, unsurprisingly, a recipe for success.
 
BT46T6z.gif

Amazing
 
The discussion was more gered towards people wondering how in the world Zelda could have sold more than 1:1 to consumers (answer: it didn't).

NPD says it did.

Granted, these numbers don't show that, being that these are shipped / sold to retailers (plus digital sales). But it still did.
 
The release is not happening in this financial year imo, but the reveal could still drive people to buy a Switch.

Next year could have Retro, Animal Crossing, Smash, Super Mario Maker 2 and more, should be great!

I don't see why Retro's game wouldn't be out this year. They average 3 years per game, not counting side projects like Trilogy and assisting on Mario Kart and TF's 3DS port. They're due. February 2018 would be 4 years. That would be 9 months longer between game releases than they've ever had.
 

Inuhanyou

Believes Dragon Quest is a franchise managed by Sony
On the one hand, if you were buying a switch for anything, Zelda had to be the purchase since there was hardly anything else marketed at launch, so it kinda is expected...but...1:1??

Nintendo fans and Zelda combined are monstrous, along with Pokemon and such. Nintendo is sure to be tap dancing now.

*EDIT*

They were also correct to keep it a multiplat with Wii U it seems
 
I don't see why Retro's game wouldn't be out this year. They average 3 years per game, not counting side projects like Trilogy and assisting on Mario Kart and TF's 3DS port. They're due. February 2018 would be 4 years. That would be 9 months longer between game releases than they've ever had.
They can probably finish their game this year, we might even see it at e3, but their holiday line up is seeming fairly crowded. May be best to save it till 2018
 

Fiendcode

Member
How does BOTW Q1 compare to other Zelda games historically? It seems like the open world genre shift is really doing wonders for it but some more context would help. TP probably makes for a good comparison.
 
That's a pretty fair estimate. Wonder if they can reach 3 mill by may 3rd

It should be well over 3 million by now already. 2.74 for March, and it's been constantly selling out in April. Actually I think we know for a fact it's over 3 million already just based on Japan's weekly sales.


What time is their briefing and Q&A?
 

jonno394

Member
I don't see why Retro's game wouldn't be out this year. They average 3 years per game, not counting side projects like Trilogy and assisting on Mario Kart and TF's 3DS port. They're due. February 2018 would be 4 years. That would be 9 months longer between game releases than they've ever had.


I said it more because Nintendo potentially have enough software to drive sales this financial year, if Pokémon happens, and retro title could be used to drive sales in 2018.
 
I don't see why Retro's game wouldn't be out this year. They average 3 years per game, not counting side projects like Trilogy and assisting on Mario Kart and TF's 3DS port. They're due. February 2018 would be 4 years. That would be 9 months longer between game releases than they've ever had.

Games take longer to make now.
 

Instro

Member
They can probably finish their game this year, we might even see it at e3, but their holiday line up is seeming fairly crowded. May be best to save it till 2018

I think I would agree if there was more meaningful 3rd party support announced for that time period, but as it stands you are currently looking at three Nintendo games releasing in the months after Splatoon 2. With nothing else around them it's kind of light.
 
I don't see why Retro's game wouldn't be out this year. They average 3 years per game, not counting side projects like Trilogy and assisting on Mario Kart and TF's 3DS port. They're due. February 2018 would be 4 years. That would be 9 months longer between game releases than they've ever had.

Nintendo's release schedule is pretty crowded for 2017. I can see Retro's game getting bumped to 2018, especially if they have another big title ready for 2017 (Pokemon or Smash). Even if they don't have another big game, they may not have a big open window for another major 2017 title.
 

conpfreak

Member
Nintendo's release schedule is pretty crowded for 2017. I can see Retro's game getting bumped to 2018, especially if they have another big title ready for 2017 (Pokemon or Smash). Even if they don't have another big game, they may not have a big open window for another major 2017 title.

Yeah, the streamlined development pipeline by having to support only one system is working out great from Nintendo. They have so many games in the pipeline, they have to hold finished games back for months. Super Mario Odyssey was finished and ready for launch, but they held it back because of Zelda. When you add Splatoon 2, ARMS, Xeno 2, Super Mario Odyssey, and the third party ports, where is the room for anymore big releases first party wise? Maybe one more title between September-October and Pokemon alongside Mario in November, but that's all. This is even without E3 announcements.
 

NOLA_Gaffer

Banned
Why is it relevant? Personally, i cant remember the last time i've seen someone saying that Nintendo is doomed and truly ment it. I only see people using it sarcastically.

Because even when Nintendo was making cash by the boatloads in the Wii and DS generation you'd occasionally have folks popping up saying how Nintendo is fucked for whatever reason. If they're fucked when they're successful, when are they not fucked?
 
Yeah, the streamlined development pipeline by having to support only one system is working out great from Nintendo. They have so many games in the pipeline, they have to hold finished games back for months. Super Mario Odyssey was finished and ready for launch, but they held it back because of Zelda. When you add Splatoon 2, ARMS, Xeno 2, Super Mario Odyssey, and the third party ports, where is the room for anymore big releases first party wise? Maybe one more title between September-October and Pokemon alongside Mario in November, but that's all. This is even without E3 announcements.

I suppose I forgot to add the quite-possible scenario where they actually need Retro's title for their 2018 lineup because they released so much of their heavy-hitter stuff in 2017.
 

LordofPwn

Member
nearly 3mil units sold in a non holiday launch month seems pretty impressive. It was global for that full month though. will be interesting to get numbers next quarter.
 
I think I would agree if there was more meaningful 3rd party support announced for that time period, but as it stands you are currently looking at three Nintendo games releasing in the months after Splatoon 2. With nothing else around them it's kind of light.
Emily Rogers has been discussing it on Twitter. She's pretty confident in the Rabbids game being August or September.
We're pretty close to e3 which should confirm it among other rumors like Smash and Pokemon Stars as well as any 3rd party support.
 
Thank you for sharing that! I don't really know if those numbers are supposed to be mind-blowingly great or just as one should expect, but they do look pretty good, seeing as it's all just from FEH, SMR, and Miitomo (lol).

It amounts to just under 200 million USD from just those two regions, which is a good result considering how late into the year these apps released.
 

Hcoregamer00

The 'H' stands for hentai.
I mean if it didn't do that it would have been disappointing? This is a device that's replacing two different systems. I expected it to sell about what the 3ds sold

I see this bandied about and it's about high time someone addresses it. First off, the handheld market is collapsing. The big factor is the introduction and saturation of smartphones and tablets. They went from 150 million to 65 million, that's a huge collapse.

Now, in the face of a changing reality would selling 65 million hypothetical portable consoles be a success? Yes it would, because reality is that sales would have continued its slide.

Same with the switch, in the changing reality of the market, would selling more than the Wii U + 3DS be a huge success? Yes it would. It is also not realistic since the portable market is still in collapse.

The bar I would put is the 3DS for success since Wii U + Collapsing Portable market is roughly 3DS. A hypothetical 3DS successor isn't going to hit 40 million, forget 65 million.

-If it sells above 3DS, it is a gigantic hit
-if it sells 3DS numbers, it is a natural evolution of market realities today
-If if sells below 3DS, it missed the bar
 
I guess I'm glad I got my switch early even though I haven't really played anything on it since BotW. Looking forward to Mario Odyssy later in the year and who knows what the stock situation will be like
 
R

Rösti

Unconfirmed Member
Does Nintnedo have a day and time set for E3 Direct/presentation?/
Nintendo has yet to announce time and date of its E3 2017 Nintendo Direct/Digital Event/Press conference. They will likely share some details on E3 2017 during the earnings release briefing on April 28.
 
Rösti;234914023 said:
Nintendo has yet to announce time and date of its E3 2017 Nintendo Direct/Digital Event/Press conference. They will likely share some details on E3 2017 during the earnings release briefing on April 28.

And what time should we be expecting that? 12 hours-ish?
 
R

Rösti

Unconfirmed Member
And what time should we be expecting that? 12 hours-ish?
Nintendo's financial results briefings are usually held 10:00 AM JST the day after the earnings release. April 28, 2017, 10:00 AM JST converts to the below.

t1493341200z4.png


I think they have had it 09:00 AM JST some time. But around these times anyway.
 

AdanVC

Member
I dislike congratulating big ass companies that doesn't give a damn about us but damn, if there's one company that desserve big props, it's Nintendo. They are slowing coming back on track after the disaster that was Wii U.
 
Top Bottom