Hey wassup neogaf.... Reporting that I'm alive and well in St.maarten
Good to hear, we have seen some grim photos and stories coming out of that area.
Hey wassup neogaf.... Reporting that I'm alive and well in St.maarten
Holy mother of.. :/
Let me try to give an accurate report.
I would say roughly 50-70% of roofs are partialy or completely gone. Streets are full with debris, roofs, walls, garbage etc. Marines are guarding all major roundabouts.
wow, incredible.
...damn.
That could have been Florida if it remained a Cat. 5 like they were saying a few days ago
What's Jose look like now
He's not taking the loss of Irma well. Hopefully his bender lasts indefinitely until he spirals into oblivion.He's been hitting the tequila bottle lately. Losing strength and going in circles.
What's Jose look like now
Jose will go through some sheer for the next few days before coming out of its loop. After the loop there are two options for our Spanish friend, out to sea, or the East Coast.
Place your bets!
Tropical systems within 100 nautical miles of Jose's current position were 80% likely to head out to sea. That's my bet based on the latest model solution at 500mb at 174 hours from now. There's a lot of blocking in the Atlantic, but there's nothing to pull the storm back to the East Coast.
Having said that, we'll have to follow this one closely.
We have tornado watch until 10pm in Orangeburg, Bamberg, Barnwell, counties in SC. Had a warning come across at 7:00pm from a system coming towards Barnwell County at 40mph with the rotation indicating a tornado was likely to form. They said until 7:30pm for the warning, but the watch is still in effect until 10pm EST. I was coming from Orangeburg city towards Ulmer, SC and I could see the clouds trying to turn.
Hearing from my uncle and cousin in Orangeburg(they live out by the Husqvarna plant off highway 33, if you know where that is) and they haven't experienced anything too bad yet, they are happy they still have power.
Yep. Been by it MANY times going to I26. It wasn't toooo bad in Orangeburg for the most part, not on their side. Going out on 601, south towards Bamberg had some bad spots with the rain bands. Getting on hwy 70, going east, that was a helluva spot getting to Denmark. Going south from there, you could see shit was going to happen.
Path aside, is this one that should restrengthen or is it likely to continuously weaken over the next week?
It could restrengthen due to barclonic instability should the storm merge with a cold front next week, but the waters beyond Cape Hatteras are too cold to allow for tropical development on its own.
It could restrengthen into a powerful extratropical system or it could weaken because the water is too cold beyond North Carolina.
Having said that, models and forecasters are not good at gauging the strength of a storm beyond 24 hours. There are just too many variables. That's the reason why the track of a system is the most important beyond 24-48 hours. The track tells us what a storm could interact with in the atmosphere (a high or low pressure system) or on the Earth (warm or cold water, land, mountains). If any of the tracks point to an interaction with something in the atmosphere or on the Earth, than it becomes slightly easier to figure out the strength of the system.
Okay, weather people.
I'm in Tennessee. I want to drive back to Florida. Is it safe to set out at like, 4AM this this morning, or will the tropical winds get me? I'll be driving through Chattanooga, Atlanta, down to FL.
Okay, weather people.
I'm in Tennessee. I want to drive back to Florida. Is it safe to set out at like, 4AM this this morning, or will the tropical winds get me? I'll be driving through Chattanooga, Atlanta, down to FL.
Another post for a different storm: GFS/GEFS are predicting the formation of Hurricane Lee (or Nate) coming up from South America and heading up through the Caribbean. 2 weeks+ out to know if is a threat but its location is prime for a SE or GoM storm. This storm may need tracking starting next Friday.
0Z GFS
Haven really been paying much attention to Jose. (I live in nj). Every meteorolist and their mom was saying it's not a threat or anything to worry about but now it's looking like it may be?