Wafflecakes
Member
This going to be another snoozer of a season?
I feel like the last really active one was like a decade or so ago.
I feel like the last really active one was like a decade or so ago.
Tropical Storm Emily just formed out of nowhere on the Florida coast kinda close to Tampa.
September is usually when Houston gets fucked. Wonder if we will win the lottery this year.
Worth keeping an eye on Invest 92L. Looks like it could be taking a dangerous path if it develops.
Invest 92L hasn't developed into much, but Texas really needs to keep an eye on the remains of Harvey now because the latest models are showing it redeveloping once it gets in the the Gulf. The latest GFS run is probably the worst case scenario : a landfalling Cat 4 major hurricane happening this Friday.
It could also be a very slow moving system once it reaches Texas, dumping a lot of rain.
The chatter now seems to be concern over Harvey stalling, either over the gulf (and strengthening) or over Texas (and flooding).
Rainfall up to 40 inches on the 18Z GFS....
Rainfall up to 40 inches on the 18Z GFS....
Surely an outlier...
Damn GFS, calm down.
Another look at that GFS:
KPRC (Houston's NBC affiliate) just showed their latest model run of the system and have it going to northern Mexico, not affecting Houston one bit. Meteorology is just a guessing game
The latest Euro model shows this hanging around Texas for a number of days, dumping a lot rain. Would be 1-2 feet of rain in places.
A big question mark over intensity (always the hardest thing to forecast). Somewhere between a strong tropical storm and a Cat 2 hurricane looks likely at the moment.
praying it dies before making landfall tbh.
IDK if Louisiana is even ready. actually i know New Orleans isnt.
So IF Harvey makes landfall as a cat. 3, it will be the first major hurricane to make landfall on US Soil since Wilma in 2005?
So IF Harvey makes landfall as a cat. 3, it will be the first major hurricane to make landfall on US Soil since Wilma in 2005?
I believe that is the case
So IF Harvey makes landfall as a cat. 3, it will be the first major hurricane to make landfall on US Soil since Wilma in 2005?
The latest GFS run is probably the worst case scenario : a landfalling Cat 4 major hurricane happening this Friday.