It is not similar to refunds on pre-orders - Valve gets that money back from the publishers, if it ever even pays them out in the first place (before delivery).
Yes, Valve does pay out pre-orders. Sega sued THQ as it didn't pay to Sega what it'd received from Valve during Company of Heroes 2's pre-order period under the THQ label.
As I said, this would mean that Valve would cancel the Early Access and Kickstarter would cease to exist.
If offering refunds would be so disastrous even if they were offered under only certain conditions, then how is GOG still in business with its 30-day refund guarantee?
I think GOG's policy shows that you can throw your users a lifeline for use in certain scenarios if you plan accordingly.
Except at this point, Early Access money has been spent. Preorder money has not. That's a significant point.
Yes, Valve receives money back from publishers for cancelled pre-orders, but if the window is aligned such that refunds must be actioned before a certain date, then the money would return to the user before it's sent to the developer/publisher.
Edit: I admit that what I propose would take some doing, assuming for the moment that Valve pays developers/publishers at a particular point each month (e.g. I would assume that GOG changed its payment schedule such that payments are sent 31 days after purchase rather than in a lump sum once a month, which in turn offers users a 30-day window in which to receive a refund). I've clarified my original post accordingly.
Edit edit: I'll also clarify that I'm not demanding that Valve should make the necessary changes -- as I said before, I think the Early Access program has been largely successful and, much like Kickstarter, a bit of due diligence can go a long way towards preventing nasty surprises. I just think it would be
ideal if users were offered some protection against fringe cases like this, much like how GOG offers some protection against fringe cases of uncooperative games. I don't think it's unreasonable and I also don't think it'd spell the doom of Early Access or crowdfunding solutions -- the games that hit Early Access but don't make it across the finish line are the exception, not the rule.
Edit edit edit: Uh, I just realise I put "
not only in fringe cases like this" in the OP. I've edited it out and clarified that part a little, and I tweaked my earlier posts to avoid further confusion. Sorry, it was midnight when I made this thread.