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Potential NE/MA Snow Storm 2.0 Monday - Wednesday
- Thread starter Butts-a-plenty
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plagiarize
Banned
Yep. I brandish my snow shovel with pride. If I didn't get tired of digging out last winter. I'm certainly not going to get tired of it this one.
GregLombardi
Member
That is not what the models are saying. A lot of people that stay snow are getting a foot.
GFS run from earlier today. Three of these maps you need pay attention to. The top right, the top left, and bottom right. Top left shows the upper levels (500mb). Top right shows the surface level pressures and centers. Bottom right shows the precipitation shield of the expected storm.
Top left is the reason why this storm could be a monster. The dark red shows a lot of energy which could be pumped into the storm, making the storm to possibly undergo bombogenesis (a drop of 24+ millibars in 24 hours). That said, the upper levels are still neutral, which would push this storm quickly out to sea after tracking north for a few hours.
Top right is the reason why this storm will likely not produce for NYC and points south (DC, Baltimore, and Philly). The secondary low forms way too far north. It basically forms over New York Harbor. For places like NYC and NNJ to see significant snow, the secondary low needs to form further south. I don't think that'll happen.
Bottom right shows why the storm will bomb out, but not for areas like DC, NJ, Philly, NYC and maybe even Boston. By the time this storm reaches us, I wouldn't be surprised to see it only impact northern Massachusetts and the Gulf of Maine.
Top left is the reason why this storm could be a monster. The dark red shows a lot of energy which could be pumped into the storm, making the storm to possibly undergo bombogenesis (a drop of 24+ millibars in 24 hours). That said, the upper levels are still neutral, which would push this storm quickly out to sea after tracking north for a few hours.
Top right is the reason why this storm will likely not produce for NYC and points south (DC, Baltimore, and Philly). The secondary low forms way too far north. It basically forms over New York Harbor. For places like NYC and NNJ to see significant snow, the secondary low needs to form further south. I don't think that'll happen.
Bottom right shows why the storm will bomb out, but not for areas like DC, NJ, Philly, NYC and maybe even Boston. By the time this storm reaches us, I wouldn't be surprised to see it only impact northern Massachusetts and the Gulf of Maine.
wild wild rice
Member
Really? Damn. Weather.gov says I'm not getting anything in the Hudson Valley, weather.com says less than 1 inch.
Hudson Valley is way too far north for tomorrow's event. NYC and east see snow. Hudson Valley sees flurries.
*snip*
Cool stuff. Out of curiosity do you follow this stuff as a hobby? Field of study? Work-related?
Fascinated by meterology, and bombogenesis is a fucking awesome word.
Ivan Amiibo
Banned
can this shit come to the midwest please, i like snow
JacksUsername
Member
Please no. Driving up to Boston on Wednesday to see Pippin.
teruterubozu
Member
6 inches tomorrow here in Maine. I'm not even thinking about the storm in this thread.
Hobby and field of study. As I kid, I would tune into the Weather Channel like a normal kid would watch Nickelodeon.
In other news the short term models are now showing a big surprise for some people in the Northeast tomorrow morning. Some areas along coast could see thundersnow and 3 inches/hour before this wave moves out to sea.
Butts-a-plenty
Banned
Hobby and field of study. As I kid, I would tune into the Weather Channel like a normal kid would watch Nickelodeon.
In other news the short term models are now showing a big surprise for some people in the Northeast tomorrow morning. Some areas along coast could see thundersnow and 3 inches/hour before this wave moves out to sea.
DC rush hour is gonna blow. Glad I take the metro.
BronsonLee
Member
It's time.
Butts-a-plenty
Banned
There is tonights storm and the potentially bigger one early next week.
It's time.
Cold snap and a long commute for me please.
Yeah I know, I was talking about tonight and tomorrow's storm. Usually the news can't wait to broadcast potential storms 5-7 days out but this seems to have snuck up.
Bourbon is the only snowstorm booze you need.
Butts-a-plenty
Banned
Bourbon is good until it goes on forever...Only Yuengling can sustain then.
Hobby and field of study. As I kid, I would tune into the Weather Channel like a normal kid would watch Nickelodeon.
In other news the short term models are now showing a big surprise for some people in the Northeast tomorrow morning. Some areas along coast could see thundersnow and 3 inches/hour before this wave moves out to sea.
Yep, locally (Nashua, NH) is real close to that "Eh, not much/OH SHIT" line, guess it's case of we'll see what lands when it lands...
BronsonLee
Member
Where the hell did this come from?!
Lord_Byron28
Member
I'm in the 12-18 inch range. Im just going to hope we don't get more than 6 inches.GGEM
Really, over a foot? I've done my typical pre-storm routine of getting pretty drunk in anticipation of a snow day. Backfires quite often.
nooo
Lionheart1827
Member
some people hit the stores to fight over bread and milk and toilet paper with no idea if they'll need it. Other people hit the liquor store to stock up on beer, whiskey, and then order a couple pizzas, with full intention to use all of it.
ph1l0z0ph3r
Member
Only saw 1-3 inches in Western Mass. Hopefully we get double that atleast. Some sledding and snowboarding this weekend would be fun.
It's been there for about a day. Meteorologists were certain the system would get stronger and snowier on model runs as the system got closer because of how warm the water is for this time of year. The major models have a difficult time picking up that type of strengthening up.
Slayer-33
Liverpool-2
Still has a chance to be crazier by the time it starts? Here in nyc?
No. The 4-10 from NYC to Boston seems about right. NYC will likely be 3-6. More snow as you head east of there.
The 6z GFS was slightly more south this run, but I'm still not sold on this thing producing for areas south and west of Cape Cod. Until other OP models are on board, I'm still out. That said, there were some interesting developments on the ensemble runs of the GFS and EURO yesterday. A number of them show a bombing out low just north of the Outer Banks. If that begins to show up consistently on the models, and the upper trough agrees with that, we're in business in NYC to possibly Philly.
Below is the surface level pressure of the storm as it redevelops near the coast on the 6z GFS.
Below is the surface level pressure of the storm as it redevelops near the coast on the 6z GFS.
The Albatross
Member
Well I'm headed into Boston for mini-storm 2016. Wish me luck.
Nabs
Member
Be safe. It's starting to turn nasty with a rain/snow mix.
ActStriker
Member
Around 7:15 when I left for work from Boston it was snowing but still pretty wet.
Four_Chamber
Member
Ugh, stay safe
Icefire1424
Member
Not storm related, but walked out the door this morning in Syracuse to a pretty intense snow squall that lasted all of three minutes.
Glad we're not expecting anything major. Mother in law coming up this weekend and I'd rather not be stuck in the house with everybody for a few days.
Also, I think we need a new brew for this storm.
Glad we're not expecting anything major. Mother in law coming up this weekend and I'd rather not be stuck in the house with everybody for a few days.
Also, I think we need a new brew for this storm.
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