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Microsoft FY2015 Q2: 6.6M 360+XBO Shipped

Welfare

Member
How is 2.2 million unreasonable for the 360 across 9 months? We don't see Europe sales but the US numbers completely collapsed when the new hardware came out. And as I said, this number is around the ceiling, it's the highest realistic estimate you can make Given the numbers we've seen, can you really say the 260 shipped anywhere near 3 million units for those 9 months? That would average out to 1 million shipments a quarter.....

I think you are forgetting that he is talking about April - December. Not January - September.

360 did ~2 million alone this Q.
 

Lionheart

Member
Yes. AMD said almost 30 million sold through.

The 11.5m you used is an estimated sell in number. The actual amount of Xbox One's sold through will be much less than that. Probably around 10.5m sold through.
Did AMD really specify sold through from the perspective of the end products or from their own perspective? Because from their own perspective, any chip that is delivered to Sony or MS is 'sold through'.
 
damn is that a chubby Kaz?

tumblr_mihkztVDCW1s5o3aso1_400.gif


MS has to do something in Europe ...

US has a healthy X1 vs. PS4 ratio now but Europe not so much ...

Well they are competitive in the UK
 

ZhugeEX

Banned
How is 2.2 million unreasonable for the 360 across 9 months? We don't see Europe sales but the US numbers completely collapsed when the new hardware came out. And as I said, this number is around the ceiling, it's the highest realistic estimate you can make Given the numbers we've seen, can you really say the 260 shipped anywhere near 3 million units for those 9 months? That would average out to 1 million shipments a quarter.....

Seriously.... just stop. What you're saying is impossible.
 
Cost of Sales wouldn't be affected by a price drop. I thought you were talking about vis-a-vis Xbox 360-dominated quarters (i.e. product mix).

If it costs you $5 to make something, selling it for $10 or for $8 shouldn't affect your cost of sales. Microsoft might take charges against retailer promotions in SG&A though.

Am I misunderstanding?
not in this case (edit// you're not misunderstanding, i mean). it would if they were holding inventory, perhaps; they'd be factoring a small writedown into cogs (or a separate expense if the writedown was large enough). but with how MS ships product, cogs would likely remain the same and so yeah it'll just result in lower rev.

quarter to quarter, the division did have higher cost of rev though... q1 to q2 rev increase from 2500m to almost 4000m and yet their gross margin was actually 19m lower. techncially it did improve YOY which the report highlights, but q1 was one of their best margin performances and it changed a lot in q2.

not really sure why though because with quarterly reports they never put much effort into segments, and you'd need a pretty comprehensive segment income statement to better understand where it came from.
 

Raist

Banned
How is 2.2 million unreasonable for the 360 across 9 months? We don't see Europe sales but the US numbers completely collapsed when the new hardware came out. And as I said, this number is around the ceiling, it's the highest realistic estimate you can make Given the numbers we've seen, can you really say the 260 shipped anywhere near 3 million units for those 9 months? That would average out to 1 million shipments a quarter.....

Because half of that potential WW shipped figure is 360 actual sales in the US only over that period of time.
 

ZhugeEX

Banned
Did AMD really specify sold through from the perspective of the end products or from their own perspective? Because from their own perspective, any chip that is delivered to Sony or MS is 'sold through'.

They said their customers (referring to MS & Sony) have sold nearly 30 million to end users. (referring to you and me)
 

Elios83

Member
The numbers suggest a 10m sold-through against the 18.5m PS4 figure. It's pretty much expected.
It will be interesting to see how shipments are going to fall during the next quarter,looking at yearly reports MS always tends to overship during the holidays quarter and pays for that in the next quarter.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
The numbers suggest a 10m sold-through against the 18.5m PS4 figure. It's pretty much expected.
It will be interesting to see how shipments are going to fall during the next quarter,looking at yearly reports MS always tends to overship during the holidays quarter and pays for that in the next quarter.

I think they are attempting to correct for that with the price drop.
 

Death2494

Member
The numbers suggest a 10m sold-through against the 18.5m PS4 figure. It's pretty much expected.
It will be interesting to see how shipments are going to fall during the next quarter,looking at yearly reports MS always tends to overship during the holidays quarter and pays for that in the next quarter.
still too high
 

JaggedSac

Member
Revenue - Cost of Revenue = Gross Margin, so you can back it out that way.

JICRnDP.png


I don't know what "other" is. The margin for the division overall fell 10% (aka cost of revenues grew faster than revenues). Or is Computer and Gaming Hardware its own subdivision now? Microsoft's reporting is like my least favorite. Confusing as all hell.

It is its own subdivision now. Hardware is in there and the other Xbox stuff like software and Live revenue is in Devices and Consumer Other I believe.

I don't see that table you posted anywhere in the report.
 

GameSeeker

Member
So Microsoft combined unit sales declined 10% year over year.

Oct-Dec 2013 7.4 million units (X360+X1)

Oct-Dec 2014 6.6 million units (X360+X1)

And the price cut on the Xbox One contributed to a 20% decline in revenue year over year. Large declines in both units and revenue doesn't sound like a healthy business.

The Q1 numbers will let us see how much channel stuffing Microsoft did.
 

Lynn616

Member
Revenue - Cost of Revenue = Gross Margin, so you can back it out that way.

JICRnDP.png


I don't know what "other" is. The margin for the division overall fell 10% (aka cost of revenues grew faster than revenues). Or is Computer and Gaming Hardware its own subdivision now? Microsoft's reporting is like my least favorite. Confusing as all hell.

Computing and Gaming Hardware a Division on its own.
 
MS has to do something in Europe ...

US has a healthy X1 vs. PS4 ratio now but Europe not so much ...

They can't do fuck all in EU, the only country in Europe where they have equal footing is the UK. Germany, France and Spain have gaps that are at least 2:1 and there is nothing I see releasing on X1 that could change that.

That is not the case in UK and NA though where there is plenty that can be done by MS to close the gap, by the time this gen is over I see a 1:1 ratio of consoles sales for PS4 and X1 in UK and NA. The other regions will obviously open the gap considerably so again numbers straight from my arse, I think the gen will finish with PS4 outselling X1 1.5:1 WW.

Did any part of Microsoft do poorly? Seriously they fucking killed it this quarter.

Business wise they did well, would be nice for their shares to reflect that. Thankfully I bought shares over a year ago and they went up considerably quite quickly but the last 5 months have been painful. Tesco has been such a good time though this last month or so.
 

Lynn616

Member
Hmmm. Not so much better when you compare 2013 to 2014 sales.

It's only a very slight increase YOY. Maybe Windows 10 can help but tbh I really don't see it doing well in the consumer space.

10.5 million Lumia devices in the latest quarter, compared to the 8.2 million during the same period last year.
 

hawk2025

Member
The unit sales decrease is obviously Xbox 360.
Right, but I believe his point is that it highlights the substitution pattern towards the competition.

So it's not just that the PS4 is killing it, but that some 360 customers are indeed actively substituting out of the Xbox ecosystem.

On an unrelated note, it's nice to see the Surface line finally, finally gaining some traction in the market. Hopefully it keeps iterating into better products.
 

Flappy

Banned
It's refreshing to see a company actually doing well these days, with such doom and gloom in the electronics industry. MS are looking pretty healthy.

On a related note. The 360 is still the biggest software platform in the UK. MS need to convert those people to the XBO as soon as they can.
 
Right, but I believe his point is that it highlights the substitution pattern towards the competition.

So it's not just that the PS4 is killing it, but that some 360 customers are indeed actively substituting out of the Xbox ecosystem.

Or they just haven't upgraded.

Obviously there have been 360 gamers that have jumped ship but you can't make a conclusion at all at what rate from these numbers. What it tells you is the 360 is on its deathbed
 

benny_a

extra source of jiggaflops
I'm just here to say that in 3 months the Microsoft FY2015 Q3 results are going to be "interesting."

Someone always has to do it, so I might as well!
 

Miles X

Member
Hmmm. Not so much better when you compare 2013 to 2014 sales.

It's only a very slight increase YOY. Maybe Windows 10 can help but tbh I really don't see it doing well in the consumer space.

Not bad when you consider their "flasgship" all last year was 930.
 

Welfare

Member
Isn't the Xbox One the 4th fastest shipped console with launches aligned, and is only beat by the PS2, PS4, and Wii? The Xbox One is still doing good numbers, it just isn't doing as much as the PS4.
 
For those who want to see how this gen is doing to last gen-

NEXT GEN:

PS4 CY2013- 4.50m
PS4 CY2014- ~15.00m - 15.50m (estimate based on sell through figures)
Total: 19.50m-20.00m

XOne CY 2013- 3.90m
XOne CY 2014- ~7.60m - 8.10m
Total: 11.50m-12.00m

WiiU CY2012- 3.05m
WiiU CY2013- 2.80m
Total: 5.85m

Cumulative total: 36.85m - 37.85m

LAST GEN

PS3 CY2006- 1.86m
PS3 CY2007- 8.85m
Total: 10.71m

X360 CY2005- 1.50m
X360 CY2006- 8.90m
Total: 10.40m

Wii CY2006- 3.20m
Wii CY2007- 16.95m
Total: 20.15m

Cumulative total: 41.26m


At the moment the Xbox One is doing slightly better than the PS3 and Xbox 360 were at the same point, don't expect that to continue. The Xbox 360 sales continued to rise sharply, I expect Xbox One to do the opposite overall.
PS4 at the moment is doing as good as the Wii.... yes as good as the Wii. It won't continue doing as well as the Wii but it's going to do really amazing over the next few years.

It's great having a powerful console back on top, we don't have to put up with the shovelware shit we got last gen because the Wii was such a hit.
 

Elios83

Member
I think they are attempting to correct for that with the price drop.

It might be a possibility although there aren't signs of strong sales outside of the holiday period even with the price cut.

still too high

We can only guess considering how MS is putting 360 and XB1 figures together...
Still I think that the sold through figure is closer to 10m than 9m and it better be :D
 

Ape

Banned
Isn't the Xbox One the 4th fastest shipped console with launches aligned, and is only beat by the PS2, PS4, and Wii? The Xbox One is still doing good numbers, it just isn't doing as much as the PS4.

But it can't keep it up™
 
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