I'm hoping this game does well and that it goes on to continued success. Nintendo is treating it well with proper advertising and marketing as if it were already one of their "major" IP. The testfires certainly convinced me on the game after being on the ropes about it. That being said, newer IPs lack the nostalgia feel for Nintendo that Mario or Zelda have. I think it will do better than Pikmin and will go on to be a somewhat staple in their lineup. The universe and gamestyle fit perfectly with Nintendo.
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Do we expect Splatoon to be the next major Nintendo I.P.?
- Thread starter Majestad
- Start date
Most likely includes bundled copies. It was bundled heavily, at least in Japan and EU.
It very much depends on how much it sells out of the gate. If it has a strong initial showing, it can have legs. If it doesn't, the community will die, and it will tank.
The legs this game has will determine whether or not it will succeed, and all that depends on a strong launch. There's kinda no middle ground as far as I can tell. I'm viewing this from a competitive angle. Games that don't have a strong community don't last.
Except one game was made by Masahiro Sakurai... and the other isn't.
Air Zombie Meat
Member
After playing the demo I now understand why Nintendo has enough confidence in it to bust out the marketing but I still don't think it will do very well.
Yes, Nintendo EAD truly the shithouse of this industry.
OrbitalBeard
Member
For a new IP like Splatoon, I don't think an amazing launch is needed for success. Word of mouth is going to be more important than anything for this game (the marketing obviously helps a great deal as well). Like many of Nintendo's most popular IPs, it has the potential to be an evergreen title and if the free DLC is substantial enough, the game can easily have legs, even if the launch isn't stellar, though I think it will do well during its opening month for a Wii U game.
Again, we're talking one million copies here. If the game is great that really shouldn't be too hard to achieve at some point. Splatoon is an incredibly accessible game that can be played by just about anyone.
And? It's not like the general public pays attention to that. If the box for Kid Icarus Uprising said "A Masahiro Sakurai Game" like
Konami used to do
I disagree, but you're not wrong, all opinions and guesswork. I just think that no one's going to care if there's a million free DLC packs if their friends aren't playing it.
Guess we'll just have to wait and see.
Splatoon will have modest success and those who have been anticipating the title (like myself) will create communities and stick with the game. Splatoon won't post CSGO/Black Ops concurrent users numbers. It'll cap at maybe 2k users peak time, which is enough to find matches happily.
Hibiki Kurosawa
Member
I don't think you realize how little an effect that had. Pitt being in Brawl and Uprising on the larger install base of 3DS are better arguments.
Make a new KI with Palutena and it will sell gangbusters after her rise to fame from Sm4sh.
twothunder
Member
Was kinda hoping Tropical Freeza and Pikmin passed that million
Still. They might have and the wiki just hasn't updated / has a source.
Anyway. Sales wise. I hope for the best.
I'm not expecting Splatoon to sell a million but I think it will do good numbers for a new IP on the Wii-U. Hope it exceeds my expectations of course.
SuperLeviathan
Member
To be fair, I was looking at how other Wii U games had done in Japan relative to America and Europe.
Splatoon will likely do well for itself, in terms of software. The real question is: what will it do for hardware? Especially since, unlike Mario Kart, the Wii U Splatoon bundle won't be available everywhere.
I honestly think it is going to be underwhelming. At Christmas this year, for kids who already have a PS4/X1, Wii Us may sell (especially if Zelda is on the horizon). But the problem is there is too much out there to pick up with it (MK8, Tropical Freeze, NSMBU, SM3DW, Smash), so it is likely to get grazed over on the shelf for other games by new console purchasers. I just don't see it taking off. I'm not a fan of these type of things, either, so I know I'm out on it. I imagine many others won't drop the cash for it, either. Especially with Witcher recently and Batman coming in a couple weeks.
If you believe that Comgnet is generally a decent indicator of things..you could see a debut close to 200K in Japan (*could*)
That would be excellent numbers.
A lot of people in this thread are gonna end up looking like idiots.
Milly Osworth
Member
This game could be huge for the younger crowd, but I dont see them or their parents getting a Wii U for it. Since the Wii U is still expensive and confusing as hell. Maybe Splatwoon on NX.
Starfish Hero
Member
Why would that matter
Kabuki Waq
Member
I expect this to bomb and bomb hard.
no 4 player split screen killed it for me.
no 4 player split screen killed it for me.
Shikamaru Ninja
任天å ã® å¿è
Comparing Sakurai to arguably the most elite and prolific developer in the video game industry?
Not at all. YSO predicted a little less than 150k for its launch week, yeah?
Joeshabadoo
Member
I feel like it has greater appeal to a younger demo than something like a Pikmin or Tropical Freeze. i think it'll outsell both of those, outside chance of approaching 1/2 of kart's attach rate
Cheat Code
Member
Of all the things that Nintendo could do to get back in the game, a third person shooter isn't it, no matter how creative it is.
Wowfunhappy
Member
I'm NOT saying you're wrong, but isn't it funny how you're essentially saying that the Wii U has too many strong releases?
Big change in sentiment from even just a year ago.
visiblemode
Member
They are pushing hard on it. They put this massive sign for it on the *outside* of a Best Buy near my house. Don't think I've ever seen that for any game before.
Will it succeed. I really don't know. It's a huge question mark right now.
The unfortunate part is with their install numbers it's really hard to define an absolute success...in absense of absolutely fajita-plate-hot sales.
Will it succeed. I really don't know. It's a huge question mark right now.
The unfortunate part is with their install numbers it's really hard to define an absolute success...in absense of absolutely fajita-plate-hot sales.
Robert at Zeboyd Games
Banned
That's kind of an odd way to look at things.
Splatoon is set to be THE Wii U shooter. Regardless of Splatoon's quality (and judging from the testfire, it's very high quality), there really isn't any other serious competition on the platform. The existence of high quality platformers, racing games, and fighting games on the platform doesn't really affect whether or not somebody wants to play a shooter. And the Witcher & Batman aren't really competitors to Splatoon at all - different platforms, different genres, and different target audiences.
I don't think Splatoon is going to be Wii Sports and convince a ton of people to buy the Wii U. I do think it's going to sell very well on the Wii U compared to other games. I expect it will be in the Top 5 Best Selling Wii U games by the end of the system's lifespan and be the best selling Wii U game that wasn't already part of an existing franchise.
predicted (I think it was in this thread) that the market just simply isn't there for Splatoon however.....the more I see of the game and watch on twitch and see how Nintendo are promoting the game I hope it does very well. It's something different and unique from the usual shooters we get every year and most important of all it just looks like pure fun to play.
Nintendojitsu
Banned
I honestly don't know how this made it to so many pages. The game is being made EAD. Their first new game since the creation of Pikmin. Of course it's a big deal for Nintendo.
You have heard wrong by a little over a factor of 2.
Do you have any source on that KI number?
ShockingAlberto
Member
Unless this does something absurd like sub-100k worldwide, I am guessing they're viewing this as an investment more than a windfall.
Robert at Zeboyd Games
Banned
I'm going to go out on a limb and say over 1 million sales worldwide in 2015. I don't think it'll drastically boost hardware sales, but I think it'll sell extremely well to the existing Wii U base (and give a tiny hardware boost).
Zombegoast
Member
I expect it to sell at most 1 million. Here in Central Florida, Best Buy don't really seem to do much advertisement to showcase Splatoon and the Wii U. The one I went only had a small section for Nintendo and had nothing even the Wii U SKU with just a sign of splatoon pointing to the section. Maybe it's just Florida or if all Best Buys has Nintendo's section tucked into a corner.
Captain Smoker
Member
TheGreatMightyPoo
Banned
There will be a sequel.
It's too good a concept to let above average sales(which I think it will get relative to the userbase) end such a good thing.
It's too good a concept to let above average sales(which I think it will get relative to the userbase) end such a good thing.
Gaiaknight
Member
in the mediac create thread a couple weeks back pre-orders in japan are over 100k so its already better than wondeful 101.
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