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NPD Sales Results For March 2017 [Up2: Year to date charts, platform specific charts]

Wildlands...
giphy.gif
 

Griss

Member
Animal Crossing, 2D Mario, 2D Zelda, Fire Emblem,
Metroid

You're probably right though. I could see Smash launching sometime next year.

Yeah, I immediately thought of Animal Crossing after I pressed post, but still.

Fire Emblem SoV and Fire Emblem Heroes are both this year, have to imagine there'll be a gap until the next entry.

Not convinced we actually see a 2D Zelda on Switch anytime soon. Would just feel like a massive step down from BotW, hard to see how they can sell a Link Between Worlds style game for the same price.

2D Mario will surely come, I just hope it's not a Mario Maker port. And I imagine that we'll see a 2D DK game, whether it's a port of Tropical Freeze or a new one.

I suppose those games could carry 2018, but I've been burned too many times to imagine all these amazing games within 2 years of launch. For the moment I'll just stay happy that the Switch is a huge success and see where they go from here.
 
Lol 4 Out of those 6 are Multiplattform.

Doesn't really matter when your console is considered the "default" platform for the biggest games of the year.

Destiny and RDR are gonna EAT this fall.

I wonder what the budget for RE7 to RE6 was. I could be totally wrong but I assume 7 had a smaller budget but they did create a new engine for the game which probably wasn't cheap so maybe not.

Capcom announced the game made money around the time it shipped 3 million. Still, it's looking like a 30-40% drop in units sold compared to RE6, which is a direction you never want to be moving in as a AAA publisher.
 
Yeah, I immediately thought of Animal Crossing after I pressed post, but still.

Fire Emblem SoV and Fire Emblem Heroes are both this year, have to imagine there'll be a gap until the next entry.

Not convinced we actually see a 2D Zelda on Switch anytime soon. Would just feel like a massive step down from BotW, hard to see how they can sell a Link Between Worlds style game for the same price.

2D Mario will surely come, I just hope it's not a Mario Maker port. And I imagine that we'll see a 2D DK game, whether it's a port of Tropical Freeze or a new one.

I suppose those games could carry 2018, but I've been burned too many times to imagine all these amazing games within 2 years of launch. For the moment I'll just stay happy that the Switch is a huge success and see where they go from here.
In the Fire Emblem direct. They mention Fire Emblem Switch as a planned 2018 title.

Now obviously, things could change, but Fire Emblem games typically don't get delayed and IS seems to developed their games on a timely matter.

I guess we will see tho.
 

addik

Member
OK thank you guys

I will be logging in tomorrow to answer any more questions

I live in the UK and I am going to bed as it is 1:15am my time.

Have a great day and happy gaming !

Hi, Achtung! I hope quoting this would help you see my question when you log in.

I was wondering how Nier: Automata did compared to Nier 1's first week sales? I don't believe we have had any data on that.
 

Bgamer90

Banned
If Pokemon Stars is real and a version of Smash Bros. releases on Switch this fall, those two + Super Mario Odyssey are going to do big numbers and I could see a scenario where Switch takes a couple NPD wins in the fourth quarter. But it's far from a guarantee.

I honestly wouldn't be that surprised by it. Pokémon plus Mario would do very well -- especially if one gets a system bundle.

I think the one prediction I feel pretty safe making is that XB1 / Scorpio will not win a single month in 2017. Now that I've said this, I'm sure to be proven wrong lol

I wouldn't say this. Especially as we don't know what month the Scorpio will release. I have a strong feeling that there will be a pretty significant amount of current Xbox One owners that will upgrade (mainly ones that bought the original Xbox One before Holiday 2014). If the system releases in November then I would agree with you. October though? I think there's a good chance that the bump from original Xbox One owners would help it a lot vs. the other systems during that month.
 

orochi91

Member
Lol 4 Out of those 6 are Multiplattform.
None of which are coming to the Switch; all of them will be heavily marketed for PS4 as well, leaving little room for the XB1 to maneuver.

Barring some wildcard or last minute shocker at E3 coming from Nintendo/MS, this holiday season is Sony's to lose.
 
RE7 has no legs. Flat on it's face. Not surprising. It was too short. No reason to keep it. Too many scenes that play exactly the same each time. Great VR game(maybe the best out right now), I'm sure, not such a good game overall.
 

Busaiku

Member
1. Pokémon Sun
2. Pokémon Moon
3. Super Mario Maker
4. Poochy and Yoshi's Woolly World
5. Mario Sports Superstars
6. Story of Seasons: Trio of Towns (XSEED)
7. Super Smash Bros
8. Mario Kart 7
9. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 3D
10. New Super Mario Bros 2
Does anyone have any further context for this?
Since this was the full year, could Story of Seasons have done over 200k? That'd be pretty crazy, though I imagine it's closer to 100k.


12 Months Ending March 2017
1. COD IW
2. BF1
3. NBA 2K17
4. Madden 17
5. GTA V
6. Overwatch
7. FIFA 17
8. FF XV
9. Wildlands
10. Dark Souls 3
This list also doesn't make sense.
The top 20 NPD released a few days ago had both Pokémon Sun and Pokémon Moon (separately) above Final Fantasy XV, yet they're below Dark Souls 3, which was 8 spots below Pokémon Moon?
 

ggx2ac

Member
I could see the Switch winning NPD comfortably through August.

August 2017. PS4 will easily top the charts in September assuming there is a mass produced Destiny 2 bundle.

August 2017. PS4 will easily top the charts in September assuming there is a mass produced Destiny 2 bundle.

This doesn't make sense. If Switch is winning comfortably through to August, then it will do even better during the holiday period.

I can't see how PS4 will suddenly top the charts "easily" at the end of the year if the Switch will "comfortably" win NPDs through to August unless Switch sales suddenly collapse before the holiday period, it would continue to keep growing through to the holidays.
 

Bgamer90

Banned
Gran Turismo has not been an NPD monster in over a decade. I do expect the PS4's popularity to help a bit, but I really doubt it's one of the holidays top sellers in the US.

I agree. I think Gran Turismo will be overshadowed in North America if it releases after August.
 
Sam, your pineapple on pizza take is horrible. Pineapple on pizza is great.

This list also doesn't make sense.
The top 20 NPD released a few days ago had both Pokémon Sun and Pokémon Moon (separately) above Final Fantasy XV, yet they're below Dark Souls 3, which was 8 spots below Pokémon Moon?

If you're referring to the list in the ESA release you must note that the ESA list is ranked on units while the list in the NPD release for March is ranked on dollars.
 
This doesn't make sense. If Switch is winning comfortably through to August, then it will do even better during the holiday period.

I can't see how PS4 will suddenly top the charts "easily" at the end of the year if the Switch will "comfortably" win NPDs through to August unless Switch sales suddenly collapse before the holiday period, it would continue to keep growing through to the holidays.

When I say Switch will win comfortably I'm talking like 50 to 75k or 100k at the most. The Destiny 2 bump will be MUCH higher than that so it does make sense.
 
This doesn't make sense. If Switch is winning comfortably through to August, then it will do even better during the holiday period.

I can't see how PS4 will suddenly top the charts "easily" at the end of the year if the Switch will "comfortably" win NPDs through to August unless Switch sales suddenly collapse before the holiday period, it would continue to keep growing through to the holidays.
A system with more consoles and games
Vs
A system still building out it's units and not as many games
 
You're claiming that a system that would be in growth winning NPDs would suddenly fall to another system that has probably already hit peak growth YoY for hardware.

Yes. Just wait and see. With the release calendar as it currently stands now it is a lock. Also you don't know that PS4 has peaked just yet. This holiday could easily be better than the last one.


People gonna buy a second ps4 to celebrate destiny 2?

slight hyperbole

So you are saying the market for PS4 is almost exhausted? I disagree. It still has the price and games advantage going forward.
 

Jigorath

Banned
You're claiming that a system that would be in growth winning NPDs would suddenly fall to another system that has probably already hit peak growth YoY for hardware.

Has it peaked?

PS4 hitting that fabled $199 during the holidays with all the big 3rd party titles (and maybe Spider-Man) should be a pretty massive seller.
 

SlimySnake

Flashless at the Golden Globes
This Sam Nagini guy is going to get fired by the time he wakes up tomorrow. I bet Sony and MS are calling his bosses right now. lol

I mean it's a great surprise but that came out of nowhere. And i bet Sony doesnt like people questioning their worldwide sales figures of 2.6 million when it sold only 600k in NA. i dont think Sony would lie about this but man it doesnt look good.

Wildlands outselling Horizon is fucking bizarre too. people love their shooters. i just dont know how you can pick drug cartels over mother fucking Dinobots.

Faith in Humanity: -1
 
You're claiming that a system that would be in growth winning NPDs would suddenly fall to another system that has probably already hit peak growth YoY for hardware.
In 2017, PS4 is only down about 20k units YoY. One slightly bigger release than last year could easily put them up.

And i bet Sony doesnt like people questioning their worldwide sales figures of 2.6 million when it sold only 600k in NA. i dont think Sony would lie about this but man it doesnt look good.
Horizon probably sold well over 800k in the U.S. (not North America) in March.
 

Kill3r7

Member
Does anyone have any further context for this?
Since this was the full year, could Story of Seasons have done over 200k? That'd be pretty crazy, though I imagine it's closer to 100k.



This list also doesn't make sense.
The top 20 NPD released a few days ago had both Pokémon Sun and Pokémon Moon (separately) above Final Fantasy XV, yet they're below Dark Souls 3, which was 8 spots below Pokémon Moon?

That list is all sorts of wrong since The Division should be above many of those games as well as Pokémon.
 
RE7 has no legs. Flat on it's face. Not surprising. It was too short. No reason to keep it. Too many scenes that play exactly the same each time. Great VR game(maybe the best out right now), I'm sure, not such a good game overall.

Uh....what? RE7 has shown great legs, especially for its genre
 

AHA-Lambda

Member
Man that's a good month all around sales wise.

One thing that stood out to me is it would seem Andromeda is doing better in US than UK at least
 

Mory Dunz

Member
I just find it hard to imagine that Nintendo would fire all of its big guns at once like that in one holiday. Pokemon, Smash AND Mario?

What could they possibly have for the first half of the next year? And at that point, their biggest franchises (Zelda, Mario Kart, Mario, Pokemon, Smash, Splatoon) would have already hit the console within 12 months... hard to follow that up in the next year. Where do they go from there?
Metroid? lol
Of course, I personally believe than Xenoblade 2 will be a March 2018 title (makes most sense imo) but if that stays in 2017 then it's even more crowded.

At least one of Pokemon or Smash is for 2018, that would be my prediction.

If 2017 ends up being that stacked, why does everyone think 2018 has to be better?
It's literally impossible for 2018 to be better.
All those games are the opposite of frontloaded so they'd keep selling for years. 2018 would only need to supplement it, not outdo it.

It's not like 2018 has to compete against 2017 or something.
 

kyser73

Member
This Sam Nagini guy is going to get fired by the time he wakes up tomorrow. I bet Sony and MS are calling his bosses right now. lol

I mean it's a great surprise but that came out of nowhere. And i bet Sony doesnt like people questioning their worldwide sales figures of 2.6 million when it sold only 600k in NA. i dont think Sony would lie about this but man it doesnt look good.

Wildlands outselling Horizon is fucking bizarre too. people love their shooters. i just dont know how you can pick drug cartels over mother fucking Dinobots.

Faith in Humanity: -1

You know that he and MatP are officially sanctioned by NPD to post this stuff and engage in discussion, right?

Your posts on this thread have been pretty bizarre.
 
If 2017 ends up being that stacked, why does everyone think 2018 has to be better?
It's literally impossible for 2018 to be better.
All those games are the opposite of frontloaded so they'd keep selling for years. 2018 would only need to supplement it, not outdo it.

It's not like 2018 has to compete against 2017 or something.

Yeah that's one thing people forget is that titles like 3D Mario, Mario Kart, Zelda, Pokemon, and Smash are evergreen titles that will keep on selling throughout Switch's life.
 
Yeah that's one thing people forget is that titles like 3D Mario, Mario Kart, Zelda, Pokemon, and Smash are evergreen titles that will keep on selling throughout Switch's life.
Well this particular Zelda is evergreen.

Not all Zelda games are technically evergreen. Wind Waker and Skyward Swords didn't do that.

I'm guessing Nintendo is planning a 2D Mario and animal crossing. Those seem to be the other big sellers they have
 

Memento

Member
This Sam Nagini guy is going to get fired by the time he wakes up tomorrow. I bet Sony and MS are calling his bosses right now. lol

I mean it's a great surprise but that came out of nowhere. And i bet Sony doesnt like people questioning their worldwide sales figures of 2.6 million when it sold only 600k in NA. i dont think Sony would lie about this but man it doesnt look good.

Wildlands outselling Horizon is fucking bizarre too. people love their shooters. i just dont know how you can pick drug cartels over mother fucking Dinobots.

Faith in Humanity: -1


What?...
 

Mory Dunz

Member
Well this particular Zelda is evergreen.

Not all Zelda games are technically evergreen. Wind Waker and Skyward Swords didn't do that.

I'm guessing Nintendo is planning a 2D Mario and animal crossing. Those seem to be the other big sellers they have

- For 2018 AC is a definite imo. 2D mario seems likely, but with Mario Maker I wonder.
- FE is probably considered a big seller now
- Retro's game
- New Mario and Luigi could be ready by fall. If not, 2019.
- MK8D DLC (imo)
- Maybe a same engine smaller budget game like Captain Toad was?
- I thought a new Kirby would be ready but that "2017 3DS Action Kirby game" has me on hold...

after that, I'm not sure about the lineup. It'll be nice to be surprised, since leaks have taken somewhat from this year.
 
So, literally the biggest (hype) opening quarter in industry history and it's down YoY?
Yes? You seem to think this indicates something is terribly wrong; if so, I can only suggest that you continue to read sales-age GAF (or other resources) until you have a better understanding. No single number ever sums an entire situation--especially in cases like this, where there's other data that points toward a different conclusion.
 
Yes? You seem to think this indicates something is terribly wrong; if so, I can only suggest that you continue to read sales-age GAF (or other resources) until you have a better understanding. No single number ever sums an entire situation--especially in cases like this, where there's other data that points toward a different conclusion.

Which data is that? PS4 had one of its biggest quarters ever software wise. And yet is still down YoY. What other data suggest this is not something to take notice on?
 

Welfare

Member
I'm pretty sure it is safe to assume PS4 is going to be down YoY until at least September. The system has been down YoY since June 2016 and nothing out in April would cause sales to hold better compared to April 2016, May 2016 was UC4 month and nothing like that is out this May. June to August are standard fare so again, nothing to spike sales over 2016. September to November are the most likely months to be up YoY just because of higher profile releases and December is a wildcard.
 
I just find it hard to imagine that Nintendo would fire all of its big guns at once like that in one holiday. Pokemon, Smash AND Mario?

What could they possibly have for the first half of the next year? And at that point, their biggest franchises (Zelda, Mario Kart, Mario, Pokemon, Smash, Splatoon) would have already hit the console within 12 months... hard to follow that up in the next year. Where do they go from there?
Metroid? lol
Of course, I personally believe than Xenoblade 2 will be a March 2018 title (makes most sense imo) but if that stays in 2017 then it's even more crowded.

At least one of Pokemon or Smash is for 2018, that would be my prediction.

Why even worry about this? The gap can be filled by Nintendo and their partners. I think it's really good that there will actually be games to play on Switch during the holiday.

Nintendo has to hit the ground running. Worked well for NES, SNES, and Wii.
 
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