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Atlantic Hurricane season 2017 |OT|
- Thread starter perfectchaos007
- Start date
JHoNNy1OoO
Member
I was about to take my down today and checked NHC right before. Yeah.... They're staying up awhile longer.
Irma didn't have Jose to the north, getting swept up by the same steering currents that will drag Maria's ass up there as well.
The Euro model which was so stunningly accurate for Irma has this one coming right at us for the next 5 days and then turning north at the last second. Let's hope that's true. Irma's eye missed us 35 miles to the south ("missed" - it was basically a direct hit) so let's hope this one misses by even more. Passing to the north is a lot better than passing to the south as we avoid the dirty part of the storm, which we took full on with Irma when she was a 170mph beast.
I hope it misses PR to the north, both for their sakes and because that would probably leave it well north of us. If it hits PR that would weaken it significantly right before hitting us. So getting hit by a major hurricane doesn't seem in play, but a direct Cat 1 or 2 hit on Friday is definitely a possibility. With staff still staying at temporary accommodation people are going to freak out once they realise this is coming by the end of the week. A third week in a row where basically no work gets done lol.
EDIT: Wow, the GFS has Maria's eye passing right over where I am - like directly over my house - at 11pm on Friday. I know that the GFS isn't as accurate, but fuck my life right now.
EDIT 2: Would genuinely considering taking a break to Miami to ride this one out, don't fancy all this shit again.
I hope it misses PR to the north, both for their sakes and because that would probably leave it well north of us. If it hits PR that would weaken it significantly right before hitting us. So getting hit by a major hurricane doesn't seem in play, but a direct Cat 1 or 2 hit on Friday is definitely a possibility. With staff still staying at temporary accommodation people are going to freak out once they realise this is coming by the end of the week. A third week in a row where basically no work gets done lol.
EDIT: Wow, the GFS has Maria's eye passing right over where I am - like directly over my house - at 11pm on Friday. I know that the GFS isn't as accurate, but fuck my life right now.
EDIT 2: Would genuinely considering taking a break to Miami to ride this one out, don't fancy all this shit again.
17 Seconds
Banned
lol calm down
Randolph Freelander
Member
Well, the cool thing, at least, is that the Atlantic basin right now is a pretty good Federico Aubele song.
C'mon man
It took me a week to come back down from the stress of Irma
I don't need this shit again this soon
It will probably be canceled.
Also Griss, PRs mountains aren't that tall. The system will probably weaken 5 mile at best. Hell, Irene in 2011 actually intensified over us haha. The system wrecker here is Hispaniola, and it doesn't seem to be hitting them for the time being.
If sea temperatures keep going up, it may not get any better in future years. Former Barbuda inhabitants may already take years to go back there since it's completely destroyed, and unfortunately it wouldn't be surprising if this happened to other islands eventually - especially ones without hurricane-proof buildings.
TarpitCarnivore
Member
I think people like Griss have every right to act the way they are. It's not like they're up in Delaware freaking out.
So the Euro model is on an absolutely terrifying path as if it has a bone to pick with the entire Caribbean. It has the dirty side hitting PR, then gutting the Eastern end of DR, then hooking West into the Turks, hitting the Bahamas with the clean side. Landfall in USA would be sometime around the 26th as the eye makes a direct hit on Myrtle Beach. Obligatory mention that there's no way to know what path it takes and where it ends up, but the route right now definitely seems like the worst case scenario for everyone involved.
No idea on the strength of this thing, but it's crazy just how massive in size these storms are getting. Harvey, Irma, Jose and now maybe Maria. Usually you get one storm of that size every couple of years, but four storms that massive is just terrifying.
No idea on the strength of this thing, but it's crazy just how massive in size these storms are getting. Harvey, Irma, Jose and now maybe Maria. Usually you get one storm of that size every couple of years, but four storms that massive is just terrifying.
FrySquinting.gif
Vestal
Gold Member
Path will really depend on Jose and how hard it weakens the ridge.
I was very surprised at the size comparison between Hurricane Andrew and Hurricane Irma. I had no idea that Andrew was such a small storm in comparison.
BattleMonkey
Member
Euro is still not certain, they have a spaghetti monster going themselves
TheDrizzlerJ11
Member
Size and travel speed are what determines how long you get hit. Not the best metric considering Andrew was tiny and fast.
Question if it actually hits Myrtle Beach that day...
I'm flying out of Philly the very next day, to Miami. Does the airline just swerve around the storm? Could that delay a flight? Is it not even in the flight plan at all?
TarpitCarnivore
Member
What's not to get? Griss is in th path of the storm and was in it for Irma. No reason to tell them to clam down. If you're in the mid Atlantic and frantic the yes, chill right now.
Hope you stay safe, Griss.
I'll be fine, if my place escaped Irma's wrath without a scratch then I genuinely have nothing to worry about. In fact I reckon the property I'm staying in has probably appreciated in value now that we know it's hurricane proof and is on the priority electrical grid because it's next to the desal plant. Hopefully rent doesn't go up, lol.
It's all the people without roofs on their houses and in temporary housing that I'm worried about. It can't be stressed enough that many people are on their 11th day without power and with limited water here. That'll be 15-16 days when the storm hits, then for how long after? People are tired.
When people start to learn about this storm tomorrow morning there will be some serious unhappiness.
Nah, not that, just wondering why Delaware got mentioned when as far as I know I'm the only active poster in here from there and I'm super relaxed =p
To be clear it was meant as a joke.
Rebel Leader
THE POWER OF BUTTERSCOTCH BOTTOMS
perfectchaos007
Member
Still no Hurricane watch issued for PR. I would get prepared now if I were there.
those are issued within 48 hours of the ETA of the storm, so it is too early yet, but it is coming.
We're fucked
JacksUsername
Member
Parts of the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts are now in Tropical Storm watches for Jose.
https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/909526405452582917
https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/909526405452582917
mingoguaya
Member
It will be issued tonight at 8:00pm most likely. People are getting prepared already and water is getting scarce already in some places. The thing is that we weren't able to restock supplies fast enough from Irma. There are hardly enough portable generators already left anywhere around the west side of Puerto Rico.
TarpitCarnivore
Member
S'all good. I picked Delaware b/c it's so unusual for one to make landfall there
If the cone is beyond the coast is the warning because of that hard turn?
perfectchaos007
Member
It may be worth a drive to San Juan. There's a lot of Home Depots there so surely there are some generators left on the island
Vestal
Gold Member
Master Yoshi
Member
This hurricane season, so far. Best of luck to everyone. I need a fucking generator.
mingoguaya
Member
There are some left up there but the lines are 8 hour+ long and the markups are freaking astronomical already.
My apartment complex has a generator so I am good for now. They turn it on 8 hours per day, but the sleep time is powerless so humidity and heat. I am considering temporarily moving to Orlando if it gets too bad. I can work virtually, so can my girlfriend, so no issue there. Let's see how it turns out.
Dead Prince
Banned
is hurricane season over yet.
perfectchaos007
Member
Price gauging is illegal in the US but not US territories?
VanMardigan
has calmed down a bit.
Checking in from St. Croix here...... Gonna be a long week. Looking like a direct hit or slightly South. And we are a staffing area for our sister island St Thomas and the British Virgin islands. My wife is from Chicago and this is her first major hurricane so she is freaking out.