Objectively, why lynch Timeflux or Team Zippador first and not Team BLAWL?
In pure quantitative terms, you gain more information from lynching Timeflux first than from lynching Team BLAWL first, with Team Zippador being the next best choice for lynching.
By lynching Timeflux first (5 separate pieces of information gained)
- By flipping Timeflux's alignment, you learn whether or not Karkador x Zippedpinhead are colluding scum who pulled off this gambit to save Timeflux for another Day (besides the inherent scumminess that I find should be a reason for lynching him over us). Kark keeps saying it has to be us, Team BLAWL, or themselves, who must be lynched Today, yet pushes and pushes us with accusatory theories and yet has never been seriously placed on the defensive himself. Timeflux has recently begun to push for our lynching, in the end accepting Kark's claim as "real and only Town Tracker" to be genuine despite nothing confirming his alignment claim whatsoever, and agreeing with Kark's accusations of us in order to save their own skins Today.
- By flipping Timeflux's alignment, you learn whether or not Splinter x Cabot are scum in collusion, since after Timeflux's D2 "confession", they are the biggest proponents and defenders of Timeflux's innocence, saying that they are just naive Townies who failed in their alleged D1 pro-Town gambit and that their D2 backdown was relatively harmless. They and Kark have been extremely chummy together, as Splint x Cabot has never attempted to really put Kark on the defensive despite being one of the most active pairs in the game, and they both support Timeflux's innocence and avoidance of a policy-lynching despite Timeflux's blatant confessed lie of being a Name Cop and their strange WIFOM requests surrounding their now-retracted claim.
- By flipping Timeflux's alignment, you learn whether or not Blargonaut x Kawl_USC are scum in collusion with Timeflux with the whole D1 double-claim fiasco as part of some ridiculously far-fetched scum dual open Role-claim mega-gambit of unknown intent and conclusion.
- By flipping Timeflux's alignment, you remove a WIFOM problem that will have to eventually be confronted anyway. Like us, they are a topic of debate that will not go away unless you lynch them, or, since they have not claimed to be Millers like us, if they are Investigated later (which, if the x-shot mechanic is true for any Investigator out there, is what I consider to be a waste of a non-renewable resource when a well-deserved policy lynch of unlimited use can achieve the same flip). Remember that Timeflux 'apparently ex-Role Name Cop' on D1 explicitly warned away Doctors and other power roles from visiting them at Night. They have gunned for maximum WIFOM in both their lie and in their apparent D2 confession, much moreso than anything Team BLAWL has done. Why?
- There is greater pro-Town reward to be had by allowing both potentially Town-aligned, confirmed Trackers to collect one more round of Tracking info each this N2 and present it to you all D3. As both mutually-confirmed Trackers, this goes for both Karkador x Zippedpinhead and Blargonaut x Kawl_USC. You need tangible information and we can both provide.
COMPARED TO
By lynching Team BLAWL first (2 separate pieces of information gained)
- By flipping Team BLAWL first, you get rid of your inescapable Miller problem early. However, we are a confirmed Tracker power role of unknowable alignment at the very least, while you still don't know what Timeflux really is nor their own alignment at the most.
- By flipping Team BLAWL first, you do NOT directly find out whether Karkador x Zippedpinhead and *Splinter x Cabot were in scum collusion in redirecting attention and defending Timeflux from lynching Today, respectively. You lose two leads. We have no allies in public here, and the majority votes show it. Therefore, if you lynch us first, our alignment flip will have been in a vacuum of no attachments nor any possible #scumtell or #TownConfirm leads to anyone except Team Zippador alone, who was our mutual N1 power-confirmer.
By lynching Team Zippador first (3 separate pieces of information gained)
- By flipping Team Zippador first, you get rid of your potential secondary Town-aligned Tracker early. However, they are a confirmed Tracker power role of discoverable-by-Investigator alignment at the very least, while you still don't know what Timeflux really is nor their own alignment at the most.
- By flipping Team Zippador first, you find out whether or not *Splinter x Cabot are scum in collusion with them over defending Timeflux from policy-lynching for another two phases.
- By flipping Team Zippador first, you find out whether or not Timeflux are scum in collusion with them, as they along with *Splinter x Cabot have been defenders of Timeflux's innocence after their backdown from their 'Name Cop' gambit.
There have been more colluding rapport links and support conversations between FluxWaveZ x Timeaisis, Splinter x Cabot and Karkador x Zippedpinhead all in favour of lynching us, than there have been between Team BLAWL and them. While this is understandable given our relative absence Today in preparing this megapost for you all, the majority of their talk has been largely pushing for our lynch with attacks straight from Kark's POV, with very little in support of our own, even outside their circle. After all this, there has been no love lost between them.
Some of you questioned why I voted for Timeflux earlier Today. Why? It was a redirection to a litmus test. And, this is how:
I propose you use the lynching of Timeflux as a gauge of alignment for Team Zippador, Team BLAWL and *Cater (*Splinter x Cabot).
Timeflux lied to you all about being a Cop, claiming it was a pro-Town gambit. Timeflux, after their apparent confession, have largely lain low Today, refraining from having any serious opinion on any of Today's matters (fake edit: but recently, it seems like Flux has come out to comment on us and Kark a bit more seriously, despite asking everyone to
TURBO us like Kark was requesting). Team Zippador is saving them from a policy lynching Today through us.
If Timeflux is lynched and flips as Loveless scum, then you all know Team Zippador had likely acted in gambit against us to save them, and thus would likely be the scum-aligned Tracker they claim us to be. *Cater appears guilty by their associative support of post-D2-"confession" Timeflux, as well.
If Timeflux is lynched and flips as Town-aligned, then it proves Team Zippador AND *Cater weren't acting in Timeflux's defense as a scummy six-some, and so gain their relative rightful Town-aligned kudos. You'll have removed the time-absorbing controversy that Timeflux is from your list of Daily topics, and we Team BLAWL, are open for policy-lynching D3 provided we survive N2 and don't turn up anything useful for you with our final Tracking meal, blasting off as the unconfirmable-alignment Millers we are.
