Dark Cloud
Member
I doubt they'll betray them. They were making good relations during the Wii U.
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Switch at 4.7 million | ARMS: 1.18 Million, Zelda: 3.92M, Mario Kart 3.54M
- Thread starter JoeM86
- Start date
I doubt they'll betray them. They were making good relations during the Wii U.
well i remember the psp was hard to find in america for a while - not until july, but i remember working at gamestop and taking preorders for the second and possibly third shipments into april/may because it was a pretty hot-ticket item. 360 is an example of a system that wasn't that hot but was difficult to find during its launch more or less because of the holiday season. nintendo didn't have a problem with 3ds's demand, nor wii u, or even gamecube.
ds was sold out for the holiday in which it launched - especially the week and days before christmas. i think ps4 and xb1 were difficult to find later in december as well, but became easier to find in the new year. it generally seems that unless you have a bomb or a lower-tier seller like xbox or gamecube, systems generally are hard to find near launch thanks to the holidays. if you launch outside of the holidays, then it's up to the popularity of the platform to tell the story. in this case, the switch selling out at this time of the year puts it closer to psp and gba than it would vita or 3ds for example.
I mostly agree with this, but it is important to point out that Switch sells out within hours of a restock, that is a different beast to just being hard to find like other consoles.
Velcro Fly
Member
I was skeptical in March but this looks like it is working. Turns out when you deliver tech people want and can deliver games in short order that you will have success. Now on to the heavy hitters later in the year.
It's like if something is different and or includes motion controls it must suck right? The hardcore needs to chill and try something new.
Don't worry. I bought it and gladly sold it soon after, God bless physical games.
They should increase production by September for fall/winter demand. They should be able to hit at least 16 million.
Except with the multi-platforms and indies there are indeed many things to play on the system? I mean, I don't know about you but I've loved playing Puyo, Thumper, and Neo-Turf Masters on the go. Shovel Knight, Cave Story, and Blaster Master have been great "retro" additions. SnipperClips and now Overcooked are great local multi-player games . Like, honestly, this "no-games" narrative with super arbitrary rules is a little tiring after a while.
playingwithfire
Member
That's not how you write Twintelle
Wtf is that official art? That's horrid if she has actual hands growing out of her hair.
sixteen-bit
Member
Congrats on the success. The tie ratio for Zelda and Mario Kart are immense.
jts
...hate me...
That's not possible if they can't solve the current production issues. But even with those, assuming production stays at least at the current baseline, 15M is reached sometime within 2018.
My point was that sales don't grow fast until they reach 10M and then just fall off a cliff. There's enough data to suggest that critical mass + momentum are decisive for the sales expectancy of a console.
D
Deleted member 1235
Unconfirmed Member
I'm not, there is too many multiplayer games I can't beat all these noobs at everything, there isn't enough hours in the day!
Not with Nintendos manufacturing issues. They are only getting what they ordered, which is far less than the global demand. Japan is especially going nuts for the Switch, they could sell 5m there alone by the end of the year, judging by demand... People are still lining up there to get one like it has launched this very week xD
I think it means people want to play the best game of all time and some Mario Kart. It also means most people didn't buy a WiiU which is understandable.
Maintenance
Member
Not necessarily, no. The generally strong sales of third party games like Bomberman, Disgaea 5, NBA Play ground and others would suggest that the audience here has a broader interest than just Nintendo games.
I dont think it will peak at 10 million a year. That would be desastreus. You will see a growth in sales in second and third year especially. Depending on what new things they come up with, you could see steady shipments of 18 million a year for 3 years straight. Wii numbers is really not out of reach, especially if you consider how the hardware quality is just way above what Nintendo did in the past, and they also have a solid lineup for the upcoming years.
Daphnes Nohansen Hyrule
Member
Just look at those attach rate and software ratio holy shit... All first-party too... It could've been the next Wii but Nintendo fucked up big time with the production.
4.7 million seems low compared to software.
4.7 million seems low compared to software.
GuitarGuruu
Member
Very happy for ARMS. Keep on trucking Nintendo!
DriftingSpirit
Member
Those attach rates are quite impressive.
Dude, I love Metroid but its not selling 5 million units. Prime sold 2.78 million, and it's the best-selling Metroid ever.
TannerDemoz
Member
Really impressive. Nice one Nintendo and with Mario still to come!
How does this line up alongside PS4 and XB1 for comparison?
How does this line up alongside PS4 and XB1 for comparison?
IlGialloMondadori
Member
That's good call. It does remind me of Dreamcast, mostly because it feels like a pure, awesome arcade experience.
Well, not quite in 1 in 4 Swicth owners' hands since these numbers are shipped not sold to consumers, and they will have shippe units to provide for demand in July. Could very well be close to every 1 in 5, though.
Polygonal_Sprite
Gold Member
Amazing hardware and software sales despite stock issues.
Well deserved.
Well deserved.
What does this even mean? Those 2 titles are the basically the only major titles on the Switch during the time period. A third party(ies) need to release something if they want sales. Releasing nothing guarantees zero sales.
pretty done
Member
It's nice to see Zelda on top of sw. Bless the NA and EU.
LordOcidax
Member
ARMS already a million seller and the Switch almost at 5 million without a holiday season... Gaf predictions never fail, the Switch is going to be insane. Congrats Ninty.
hipsterpants
Member
Looking at those immediate February (or whenever that presentation was) reactions to the Switch is goddamn embarrassing now.
Also I predict that Skyrim Switch will sell absolutely stupid numbers for a 2011 game.
Also I predict that Skyrim Switch will sell absolutely stupid numbers for a 2011 game.
AkimbO_Arcana
Banned
Nintendo is killing it and well deserved. Zelda, MK8DX, Arms, Splatoon 2 AND Mario during the first 8 months after its release is an insanely good line up. I hope I find the time to give some of the indies my support between those.
My PS4 was collecting dust until MGS5 came out and then again until Bloodbourne. And the platform being as strong as it is in 2017 has nothing to do with Sonys first party effort, which is lacking compared to PS3 imo, and all thanks to the stellar japanese 3rd party output. That's a matter of personal taste though of course.
My PS4 was collecting dust until MGS5 came out and then again until Bloodbourne. And the platform being as strong as it is in 2017 has nothing to do with Sonys first party effort, which is lacking compared to PS3 imo, and all thanks to the stellar japanese 3rd party output. That's a matter of personal taste though of course.
Sammy Samusu
Member
I have faith too, but it's looking like a stealth release and that's going to hurt its performance.
Both of you are wrong... We don't know how well Prime 4 will do since we don't know what kind of game it will be and how strong of a push it will get.
Prime 1 launched over 15 year ago and Prime 3 will be 10 years old this year. You can't compare the Switch to the Cube or Wii because of multiple reasons.
I think the hype for Prime 4 will be higher than for previous games and if... That's a big If they can deliver a game that really pushes the genre and gets great scores it could outsell the Prime. The market has grown quite a bit for these type of games.
5mbis probably a but much though... lol.
HawthorneKitty
Sgt. 2nd Class in the Creep Battalion, Waifu Wars
How stupid are we talking?
What else would anyone buy?
The supply restraint on the other hand might mean that only hardcore fans are picking it up so far since you have to be somewhat vigilant to get one.
Stone Ocean
Member
Wow, I did not expect ARMS to do that well
That presentation was absolutely horrible and cast a very bad light on the future of Switch. Just because Switch has sold well doesn't mean everything Nintendo does is perfect and inspiring. And just because a product legitimately forecasts poorly doesn't mean it can't have a turnaround.
Considering Nintendo's trajectory combined with the depressing conference, predicting mediocre Switch sales was the correct prediction. Sometimes the correct prediction does not turn out to be the actual result.