Hello everyone. Just finished reading 18 pages. I don't usually post here, and I may be a bit off-topic but please bear with me.
Sony has a base of around 40 million users and let's say Microsoft is around 25-30ish.
Their revised consoles will not alienate those users. They are not about to start a new console generation. It would be foolish, the backslash would be huge, and they know they cannot do that. Honestly, what do you expect the PS4k and XB1.5 to be? They'll be something akin to 3DS / New 3DS. How many games are compatible ONLY with the New 3DS? What percentage? See where I'm going?
The PS4k currently struggles with 1080p60 with intensive/complex games. They will just bump it up a little to maintain 1080p60 performance while also utilizing some aspects of the 4k standard, namely HDR, expanded colorspace and stuff. The games will be able to run on both hardware revisions, with the PS4k offering better (hopefully 60fps locked) framerates and a bit more visual candy. But not enough to mark the start of new generation. Also, I highly doubt the PS4k to have the extra components of the PS VR built-in. More likely another revision later on will pack them in.
Let's move on to the XB1.5 now. It struggles way more than the PS4. Most games are 900p30/60. They'll just bump this too to 1080p60. Mayyybe even include some 4k protocol capabilities (HDR again, the expanded colorspace, etc). But that's it. Nothing more. Nada.
NX. Now, I'm as good as anyone at guessing. No, I am not a dev and have no connections whatsoever. However, most here seem to not see the bigger problem here. Nintendo's mistake was in the Wii era. It was an SD console amidst HD consoles. That's the starting point of their missteps IMHO. They came late to the HD graphics "game". The WiiU should have been the WiiHD we never got. There shouldn't have been a Wii SD.
Why did Nintendo stick with PowerPC tech from IBM for so long? Am I the only one that remembers that the deal with IBM involved a long-term partnership extending beyond the GC? Don't you remember the announcement saying Nintendo would be able to utilize IBM tech until after 2012? The announcement was even posted on IGN (best source, back then).
Personally, I would love to have a Nintendo console with all their 1st/2nd -party games AND the next let's say Elder Scrolls. Do I see that really happening? Of course, in a parallel universe it's already happening. Because, you see, we are talking about a Japanese company that seems cut-off from the rest of the world market. When you have a legend like Miyamoto saying he "doesn't get the Internet thing", well what more do you expect? Achievements? Solid online infrastructure? Skype-like technologies? BluRay/UHD playback? For Nintendo to REALLY have a chance creating a beefy (even if that also means generic) console, NoA should design it.
So, what do I expect? A console that's about the vanilla PS4. The tech inside NX was locked in place at least a year ago, then they started optimizing before heading to Foxconn. No, I don't expect big thing from Nintendo. I wish I did. But I can't, because..history.