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Predict the Biggest Box Office Bomb of 2017

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andythinkpad

andythinkpad

Member
Smokey_Run said:
Are we talking world wide or domestic?

Cause if we're talking domestic, The Great Wall isn't making it out alive.

Xander Cage and Valerian are good prospects. King Arthur is another good one if it still releases on the same date as Guardians 2.
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Why would you judge a non-Hollywood movie on its US performance. Great Wall already made its money in its primary market. Is it even opening wide?
 
K

kswiston

Member
andythinkpad said:
Why would you judge a non-Hollywood movie on its US performance. Great Wall already made its money in its primary market. Is it even opening wide?
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The Great Wall was a Hollywood film made in partnership with Chinese production companies.

Either way, it's already made $160M on a $150M budget with almost the entire world left to open in. Worst case scenario is going to be $250M. The bomb of the year won't make its production budget amount worldwide.
 
K

kswiston

Member
Slayven said:
My money is on XXX 3

bonus JLA will under perform
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XXX might be cheap enough to make bombing hard.

Riddick made $98M on a $38M budget, and XXX was originally a bigger franchise than Riddick. If we're looking at a $75-100M budget, it might do alright.


Completely off-topic: I had a college friend who would interrupt people if they were talking about an amazing film they just watched and ask them if they liked XXX. If they answered yes, he'd say "Then your opinion's not worth listening to". It was like film-GAF but in real life.
 
J

jett

D-Member
Damn it, last year I predicted Huntsman would bomb harder than Gods of Egypt, and I lost by $14 million, lol. At least I was right in that Tarzan would not do as poorly as the other two.

Valerian seems like the easy choice.
 
S

SalvaPot

Member
Nutt'd but she keeps sucking.

403991_m1483147583.jpg
 
B

BronsonLee

Member
kswiston said:
Completely off-topic: I had a college friend who would interrupt people if they were talking about an amazing film they just watched and ask them if they liked XXX. If they answered yes, he'd say "Then your opinion's not worth listening to". It was like film-GAF but in real life.
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You could hit him yanno
 
A

Arc

Member
Yeah I hate to say it but Power Rangers has bomb written all over it.

I'm honestly surprised how little buzz has been generated around an IP ripe for nostalgia-milking.
 
UberTag

UberTag

Member
Exterminieren said:
Obviousness be damned, it's Monster Trucks.

It looks like appalling shit, and it's a big-budget family film BEING RELEASED IN JANUARY.
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$125 million US budget? How? How in the world did this get green-lit?
This looks like a cheap, direct-to-video film you would see that cost less than a tenth of that amount.
Where did all the money go?
 
E

Epcott

Member
If Sing can do numbers, Emoji will probably too.

Nut Job 2 will bomb (didn't know the first was popular enough to warrent a sequel) and XXX.

Rings will bomb hard.

Dark Tower will do mediocre "Watchmen" numbers, but go on to be a cult classic and make more money in the home market... probably.
 
P

Prompto

Banned
Just a reminder that Monster Trucks cost 125 million to make and that Viacom has already basically apologized for how much that movie is going to bomb even though it hasn't come out yet.

ob_d8e257_att15839-3.jpg
 
P

PhoncipleBone

Banned
The budget on LEGO Batman can't be too much higher than that on LEGO Movie, which was $60m. Even if it does half the business of LEGO Movie on a similar budget, it will be fine.
 
N

N7 MRP Weasel

Banned
Something something... Justice League will bomb, it won't make up its 2 billion dollar budget

On a serious note, probably Valerian or whatever, I love sci and I will eat it up but America probably won't along with the rest of the world
 
B

border

Member
Sectorseven said:
I'm inclined to agree, however this is also from the guy who brought us The Fifth Element, so it might depend on marketing.
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Kind of sad that he still has to trade on "The man who brought you The Fifth Element" as a tagline. Is that really even a draw to 90% of today's moviegoers? People who were alive at the time it came out probably rate Fifth Element as good-to-great, but its resonance in popular culture seems really low. It's not really the crazy-high watermark that the studio's marketing department pretends it is. If only Luc Besson had directed Taken, he could at least be leaning on the cachet of films that aren't 20 years old.

Without the sex appeal or celebrity casting that Fifth Element and Lucy had, I think Valerien will probably flop.
 
S

Schlorgan

Member
Epcott said:
Rings will bomb hard.
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I thought so too, but it's production budget was only $33m so unless it's catastrophic, it won't be Bomb of the Year material.

I'll probably go see it as that part in the trailer with the airplane looks really dumb in a way I can get behind.
 
S

Slayven

Member
kswiston said:
XXX might be cheap enough to make bombing hard.

Riddick made $98M on a $38M budget, and XXX was originally a bigger franchise than Riddick. If we're looking at a $75-100M budget, it might do alright.


Completely off-topic: I had a college friend who would interrupt people if they were talking about an amazing film they just watched and ask them if they liked XXX. If they answered yes, he'd say "Then your opinion's not worth listening to". It was like film-GAF but in real life.
Click to expand...
I can't with people like that. I would say "yeah but only the one with icecube"
 
O

Oersted

Member
SalvaPot said:
Also the Mummy is going to have Dwayne Johnson, right? It'll do fine.
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Rock was in Frasers Mummy 2 as Scorpion King and was the lead in the spinoff of the same name.

He has nothing to do with the Cruise Mummy, which is a reboot.

andythinkpad said:
After going over the release list, my money are on these losers:


Resident Evil, Final Chapter
Smurfs sequel
Paddington 2
The Dark Tower (it is from Sony, it will bomb hardcore)
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Paddington made almost 300 on 50 mil and was received with widespread acclaim. Don't see how that could bomb.
 
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kswiston

Member
Schlorgan said:
$180m US according to Wikipedia.

So are we counting Bomb as "movie whose WW gross is less than its production budget?"
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I'd say anything less than 1.5x its production budget is a bomb. Look at the Lone Ranger. Technically it made more than its production budget worldwide, but Disney took a $160-190M loss on the film.
 
B

Bluth54

Member
Power Rangers will probably be a Fan4stic level bomb, especially considering it has a $150 million budget for some reason.
 
G

Gordon Shumway

Banned
Bluth54 said:
Power Rangers will probably be a Fan4stic level bomb, especially considering it has a $150 million budget for some reason.
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You think so? So many nostalgic fans out there (not myself)..I kinda find it hard to believe it'll fail as badly as that bucket of shit Fan4stic.
 
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