Crayon
Member
Most of their consoles have had significant and timely price drops. Wii u would be the outlier.
-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
(Gamesindustry) Nintendo Switch to sell 40M units through 2020 - DFC Intel. report
- Thread starter Volotaire
- Start date
Most of their consoles have had significant and timely price drops. Wii u would be the outlier.
Yeah I think you've hit the nail on the head. Treating the Switch as a hybrid not only in the hardware sense but the software sense as well is key. We've already seen that take shape with a mainline Fire Emblem scheduled for the Switch next year, because even though it has a console past, it was clearly a handheld franchise on the 3ds. If Pokémon Stars really does come to Switch as rumored, I think all our questions on this point will be answered.
The wiiu was 2 pieces to do what this is doing in 1.
A price drop would not have helped wiiu.
Wow. I know what your tagline says, but just wow.
'Most parents had a SNES.' - I'm a parent and grew up in the UK so didn't. None of those games really resonate with me.
As a parent who now lives in Australia my kids already use the house iPads & my PS4, so please tell me where my incentive to splash out over $700 on games, extra controllers etc is coming from?
kruis
Exposing the sinister cartel of retailers who allow companies to pay for advertising space.
I expect Nintendo to release a Switch lite in a smaller form factor without the docking station for sub $200, I also expect them to release all of their console and mobile titles for the Switch and it will sell substantially less than 40 million. I think the market for handheld consoles will continue to shrink due to the abundance of cheap and powerful smartphones in the hands of the general public.
They're also using Nvidia's tegra technology and knowing Nvidia I wouldn't hold my breath.
thefatness16
Banned
in 3.8 years, the system might have gotten a price cut, a hardware revision, and a sizable library of Nintendo games, Japanese 3rd party and indies. Slightly outpacing the X1 isn't impossible if things go well for Nintendo.
joecanada
Member
yeah I predicted 50-60 million lifetime, I could see a lot of changes in the coming years which could affect things. I don't think there's anyway they can hold fast onto the price unless it's selling well, even if they did it with WiiU for some reason....
D
Deleted member 752119
Unconfirmed Member
They're not willing to take a loss on hardware and the gamepad is expensive apparently. I'm sure they could have dropped price sometime the past couple of years without taking a loss, but probably just said fuck it as nothing was going to jumpstart it.
Switch they should have room for price drops as there's now way the dock is costing them anywhere near $90, nor the joycons $80 a pair to produce. Much like 3DS given how it dropped from $250 to $170 so quickly and given their philosophy they weren't taking a loss per unit at the new price. I'm guessing Switch is similarly marked up and can be dropped if it does terrible or sales slow in 2018 after most diehards have one.
Toni
Member
There will be price drops.
Crayon
Member
Hated it. Thought PSP would dominate.
orthodoxy1095
Banned
Curious, since you're from the UK, are you more nostalgic for early PC stuff? Or something totally different?
Omnistalgic
Member
Sounds legit, I don't think everything will be so expensive later on...Looks like good fun, I'm just waiting for the day when me, my daughter, and wife can all play something together.
Switch fits nicely next to my PS4, I think it will sell well. All the negatives, in the end, have little bearing on local multi-player gaming sessions focused on family fun. Price is the only big negative.
Switch fits nicely next to my PS4, I think it will sell well. All the negatives, in the end, have little bearing on local multi-player gaming sessions focused on family fun. Price is the only big negative.
PSP: The console that sold 80 million units and nobody could still give a fuck about it
Crayon
Member
Hopefully Switch can get close to it's target.
I believed in DS. I had theory that the body language of using the stylus would make it more inviting. Same for Wii while everyone else was laughing.
The Wii U got a $50 price cut.
lol gaf's reaction is no where near a lot of the interested general public's
Adam_Vania
Banned
3DS alone sold 60 million in roughly that amount of time so yeah that seems entirely realistic
orthodoxy1095
Banned
It's fine to point out that GAF lives in a bubble, but there are bubbles within that bubble. Say the bubble of Nintendo fans and PC fans.
I don't think we'll ever see a smaller switch because I doubt they would make the joy-cons any smaller.
Subtervotion
Member
3DS/2DS is also roughly anywhere between 1/3 and 2/3 the price ($80-$200) of the Switch and it has Pokémon.
So I think Switch has to have the same appeal as a handheld if you want the handheld sales numbers too.
Parapraxis
Member
I'm a WiiU owner, i'm in no rush to buy a Switch that's for sure. I am pretty pissed @ Nintendo and their treatment of WiiU owners.
You should have a look at the "Who is buying Zelda on WiiU thread", there's a lot of us actually.
Switch will have Pokemon
Dark Cloud
Member
I guess this company making this 40 million prediction are Nintendo fanboys?
DeuceGamer
Member
This is what I expect as well. A version that is handheld only with no dock. During year 2 or 3 that will help the platform continue to sell well as it hits a lower price point.
PeterOliver
Member
I'm looking forward to the cheaper, lighter, and more powerful version of the Switch that will also be called the Switch and will drive huge sales in about 2 years after Nintendo has built up a huge catalog of 1st party games and Virtual Console titles while also fleshing out the ecosystem with apps and other accessories.
Switch is a platform, not a single device. 40 million units will be no problem.
Switch is a platform, not a single device. 40 million units will be no problem.
-COOLIO-
The Everyman
nah, everyone has their limit. i bought almost every nintendo system up until the wii. never bought the wii u.
Subtervotion
Member
I really hope it does. I think the chances are good too given the evidence we have.
Kremzeek
Member
it will be lucky if it sells HALF that number.
once the initial rush of the preorders sell and all the diehards get one, sales are going to dive like a rock, just like the Wii U did.
that said, i bought a Wii U after that first price drop happened, and was totally happy with it because it wasn't my primary console.
if it had been my primary i would have been supremely disappointed.
once the initial rush of the preorders sell and all the diehards get one, sales are going to dive like a rock, just like the Wii U did.
that said, i bought a Wii U after that first price drop happened, and was totally happy with it because it wasn't my primary console.
if it had been my primary i would have been supremely disappointed.
Judging by their PS4/XB1 estimates (100MM each,) they seem to just be optimistic regarding dedicated gaming hardware.
lmao
I would regard 40 million in 4 years as in line with my expectations and it is still a bit low.
But that's probably because I view the Switch as a portable first and foremost, unlike Nintendo PR and most people here (I assume in the US too?).
People on GAF has a very much skewed opinion on the industry.
Portables in Asia and Japan (and part of Europe maybe?) is still big and can go big.
But that's probably because I view the Switch as a portable first and foremost, unlike Nintendo PR and most people here (I assume in the US too?).
People on GAF has a very much skewed opinion on the industry.
Portables in Asia and Japan (and part of Europe maybe?) is still big and can go big.
orthodoxy1095
Banned
I think analysts are hardly infallible, especially given their Xbox One predictions.
LordRaptor
Member
UK Nintendo vs Sega is C64 vs Spectrum
glorious speccy colour clash master race
Two Words
Lol Wut
potatohead
Member
Depends on how fast it gets out of th the gate I can see 40 million if they are aggressive with price and advertising I would be happy if they sold so much actually
I think 30 million would be a good number by 2020. But I don't know what their SKU/pricing schedule is like going forward. They said it and its' accessories are supposed to be profitable with price cuts, so I assume we'll see a $60 Joy-Con set, a $50 Pro Controller, etc. in the future at some point.
It will be interesting to see if they afford themselves of the opportunities that using an SoC presents. Down the line, they could have a Chromebox-esque unit that comes with a pro controller and just works on a TV. And a more portable 5.2 to 5.5 inch model that still docks and outputs to a TV. Since you do not use the tablet screen in tandem with the TV, it cannot really be a necessity that would ruin compatibility with a TV only unit.
Similar threads
- Poll