ITT, predict for the NPD April 2017 retail period (April 2-29, 2017) for U.S. hardware sales.
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, May 9th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: April 2-29, 2017 (4 weeks, March was 5 weeks)
NPD Physical Release: Thursday, May 11th @ 4 p.m. EDT (public thread with physical+digital posted 1 week later on May 18th ~6:30 p.m. EDT)
Format:
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Potential hardware impacting events in April:
Nintendo Switch stock during the month - 28 days
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe release April 28 - 2 days
Prediction Format: (repeating to emphasize to use this format)
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
(March's results not public)
March's #1 predictor
March 2016 NPD thread
April 2016 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, May 9th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: April 2-29, 2017 (4 weeks, March was 5 weeks)
NPD Physical Release: Thursday, May 11th @ 4 p.m. EDT (public thread with physical+digital posted 1 week later on May 18th ~6:30 p.m. EDT)
Format:
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good Bad
[XB1] 200K [XB1] 200 thousand
[XB1] 200,000 [XB1] 200.000
[XB1] 200000 [XB1] - 200000
Potential hardware impacting events in April:
Nintendo Switch stock during the month - 28 days
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe release April 28 - 2 days
Prediction Format: (repeating to emphasize to use this format)
[NSW]
[PS4]
[XB1]
(March's results not public)
March's #1 predictor
Some figuring:[NSW] 950k
[PS4] 360k
[XB1] 200k
Nintendo said:The Nintendo Switch system sold more than 906,000 units in March, according to the NPD Group, which tracks video game sales in the United States.
I checked these numbers against the other predictions, and PS4 ~ 390k and XB1 > 225k follows logically and doesn't contradict the ranking (i.e., no one overtakes me with these results, for any arbitrary XB1 numbers above 225k). This is the best I can do atm.
March 2016 NPD thread
April 2016 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive