Or really? Ha, never mind then, will barely dent the NPD.
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April 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes May 12th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Or really? Ha, never mind then, will barely dent the NPD.
Nightengale
Member
If we're talking about any average game, sure.
But it's GTA. I don't know about charting second, but I'm somewhat confident it'll be top 5.
Microsoft Chad
Banned
Yeah but GTA V is going to be one of those few PC games in NA where the retail version actually sells a bit. It won't win the month, but it may take number 3 after MK and Hardline. (Combined with the XB and PS sku's of course.)
Oh yeah for sure I was just saying that the PC release will likely have very little effect on total NPD sales. Of course it will chart highly anyway.
Nightengale
Member
Oh yeah, my brain went STUPID for a second and forgot NPD combines all SKUs together. -_-
perfectchaos007
Member
[3DS] 225K
[PS4] 370K
[WIU] 105K
[XB1] 310K
[PS4] 370K
[WIU] 105K
[XB1] 310K
I doubt that PS4 and Xbone versions will have impact how GTA V will chart. Well, will see.
Microsoft Chad
Banned
Combined with the PC version as well? Because that's what I was thinking, all 3 of them combined will probably chart in the top 4, probably at #4.
For those that are thinking that the Batman Arkham Knight PS4 bundle won't significantly boost PS4 sales in June:
The bundle has already charted on Amazon monthly rankings, twice:
500GB PlayStation 4 Batman Arkham Knight Bundle Limited Edition
March 2015: #69
April 2015: #96
June sales will reflect three months of pre-orders, plus whatever people buy in June. I don't think the effect will be as high as the Destiny effect was, but 350k sales in a 5-week month doesn't seem unreasonable.
The bundle has already charted on Amazon monthly rankings, twice:
500GB PlayStation 4 Batman Arkham Knight Bundle Limited Edition
March 2015: #69
April 2015: #96
June sales will reflect three months of pre-orders, plus whatever people buy in June. I don't think the effect will be as high as the Destiny effect was, but 350k sales in a 5-week month doesn't seem unreasonable.
anexanhume
Member
Keep in mind it was not available for pre-order a good part of April. It seems to have been back in stock over the past week or so according to Wario64.
Looks like it went out of stock April 10th as it steadily fell in the rankings, since other things were passing up its constant value.
The Mad Draklor
Member
To me, it largely depends on the availability of the limited edition bundle. If it's as readily available as the Destiny white PS4 bundle, then there is a very good chance for the PS4 to eclipse 350K sales in June.
Sangetsu-II
Member
Don't forget even if the limited edition bundle runs out, there is still the black batman bundle that gives you the game for free.
So yeah, June might pull Destiny numbers considering the batman bundles and summer games for PS4 start releasing.
P.S: Batman Silver Bundle just ran out on Amazon again, people really must want it.
Microsoft Chad
Banned
Batman isn't even close to big enough to reach similar numbers to September.
Sangetsu-II
Member
The game doesn't matter it's the color of the console.
The rest of us are merely making conjectures based on the available data we have at this point, but it sounds like you already have all of the facts.
spatenfloot
Member
Did Microsoft tweet this too?
Welfare
Member
Oh so it's all about the color eh?
Sangetsu-II
Member
Nightengale
Member
At 1.5 mil, Batman : Arkham City sales were about 70% of Destiny's. (aka the game that made September 2014)
Considering the hype for Arkham Knight, and that it's the finale of the Arkham Trilogy, the expectations are that Knight will do better than City.
Let's be pessimistic, and say Arkham Knight sells 1.8 million in June. That's 86% of Destiny's sales.
With a hypothetical difference of only 15% in sales, I wouldn't call Batman 'isn't even big enough.'
hehe, I'm assuming...that or everybody enjoyed Destiny?
The Destiny hype was pretty strong before people realized what they were getting into.
I loved it, I assume most didn't
A better example would be the White MCC bundle for Xbox One in Japan.hehe, I'm assuming...that or everybody enjoyed Destiny?
Console color definitely has an impact.
Sangetsu-II
Member
That's true. MCC White bundle sold extremely well in Japan considering Xbox One is dead there.
Welfare
Member
There was a deal if you pre ordered it. I think it was the equivalent of $50 off.
Microsoft Chad
Banned
I'm saying big enough specifically to break trends for June and do Destiny September number, in June.
Don't forget June is also E3, that and Destiny was right next to the holiday season. Batman will be in a slow month and will also be sold during E3, which people will buy or pre-order certain things based on what's announced there as well.
Huh, I thought that was the default Sku there?
The Mad Draklor
Member
Wasn't there also a white XB1 Sunset Overdrive bundle last holiday season? I remember people saying that it was very limited, but it sold out pretty quickly.
Good point.
Sangetsu-II
Member
It will do one of those two, It's a given.
This is also true.
Welfare
Member
September NPD
slavesnyder
Member
Looking forward to batman gifs.
I agree it will be huge. This gen only is a good point. Maybe for many fans this is the moment to make the step.
I agree it will be huge. This gen only is a good point. Maybe for many fans this is the moment to make the step.
The Mad Draklor
Member
Microsoft Chad
Banned
Didn't the Old Blood come out in April as well?
That was May 5th.
Chobel
Member
May 5th. Besides, it's download only in US, the physical version is only available for Europe.
Microsoft Chad
Banned
So really just MKX then alright.
Well, it's a given that the PS4 will be the Battest console.
Bahahaha yes! I just saw this commercial on TV in Japan the other day. It had me rolling with laughter.
But yeah we can state fairly confidently Batman is going to push some solid numbers with bundles. No idea if it will be Destiny big though: feasible but unlikely in a slower summer month. The determining factor will be bundle availability IMHO
The domination of Batman will be epic.
Pack in bundles don't count towards NPD software numbers, do they? We'll have to hope for a separate announcement of how many Batman bundles were sold and then add that to Batman's numbers to get a full picture of how well it sells.
Microsoft Chad
Banned
The hardware Sku's count though.
Cream usually gives major bundle numbers or atleast clues.
The domination of Batman will be epic.
Pack in bundles don't count towards NPD software numbers, do they? We'll have to hope for a separate announcement of how many Batman bundles were sold and then add that to Batman's numbers to get a full picture of how well it sells.
The hardware sales count toward the hardware numbers, but doesn't tell us how many Batman bundles are sold, so we have to wait for insider info to get a full picture of Batman software sold.
That's good to know!
Final Verdict
Member
Yeah, I have to admit that I am having to resist getting it myself. The design looks awesome!
Trust me. I'm a PhD
Member
*Sigh* Do you think it will do at least a 1/3 of Destiny's bundle numbers? That is all it needs to do to push the PS4 into the 350K range for June. The Destiny bundle did OVER 300K by itself, but the PS4 number was 530K. How? Because the other 230K were just regular PS4s. People are not predicting the Batman bundle will do 350K by itself; it only needs to do a third of that to give PS4 a 350K June. That is not only possible, but the word from our retailers (guys and gals with actual information on this info) say that it is likely. Do you kind of understand us now?
Sangetsu-II
Member
I am resisting myself, I have the White Destiny Bundle (Sold Destiny in a month) and want the Silver one so badly.
Again you're making your assumptions seem like facts. And the worse thing is your assumptions aren't in line with what is going on in retail. We already had info from fellow Gaffers who actually work in retail that the limited Batman Arkham Knight bundle is getting a ton of pre orders. And let's not forget that there is a standard bundle coming out in June as well which literally gives away the game for free. The PS4 should have no problems selling at least 350K in June. I don't mean to be pointing fingers, but your posts in this thread and username lead me to believe that you're slightly slanted towards the XBox One. Please prove me wrong.
slavesnyder
Member
Exactly. Always keep in mind that every single pre-order, no matter how soon it is made, will be counted on the release date.