They would never do that they're making so much money off of the HD remasters. I would expect them to continue making PS2 HD remasters well into next gen.
As I posed a few pages back. They might well be making some money on the HD remasters (I don't know that we know how much). However, they can't hope to remaster 1% of the top PS2 games ever released (AFAIK 2000+).
On the other hand, if they could in some way get PS2/PS3 BC working on the PS4, they have a decades worth of games that people WILL keep buying digitally, even when they own a damned disk that works. How many people that love FFVII bought the PSN version so that their precious disk can sit on a shelf and never get ruined.
If the choices are a) take a risk that a dev will do a good remaster and that people will buy it, or b) just pop the game up on the PSN for download, the latter is the better option in my armchair analyst eyes. They lose no money to retail, there is no risk, they can add key classics to PS+ as incentives. Plus they aren't restricted to only releasing a few key select titles, they can drop on the oddball games that maybe didn't sell as well but still were critically acclaimed. Plus you get the Steam effect, people buying shit because its on sale and because its a few clicks and they own it.
That is of course all dependant on them getting BC with either the PS2 or PS3 running on the PS4. On one hand, they don't bother (perhaps due to costs of integration) and just release 5 remasters every year for the next 5 years. On the other hand, they do get BC working for PS2/PS3 games. The hardware costs more up front but they can now just dump games onto the PSN whenever there is a slow week of PS4 releases.
Nothing to stop them still doing remasters on titles that they feel deserve them.
I've said before that I don't really mind either way for BC. I don't tend to go back and play old games. I don't have the time to play all the new games that I want to play. I'd pay the extra for it if it was needed, but I wouldn't boycot a system that doesn't have it (as some have vehemently claimed across the boards).
To put it in perspective, if the PS4 comes out with PS2/PS3 BC but it costs me £50-£80 more than I was expecting, I'll buy it and be happy that I can still play my PS3 backlog on it and move my PS3 upstairs. If the PS4 is released with an addon to do PS3 BC (as patented) then I wouldn't buy it (the addon) day 1. I may never buy it.
I am not getting any hopes up, I'm not expecting it and that way I won't be surprised if it doesn't happen.
Yep. The do have full software emulation for about 40 PS2 titles now on the PSN Store though.
I think it's interesting that none of those titles (that I know of) are games that stretched the PS2 that much. The PS3 seems capable of some PS2 emulation but not on the games that made the PS2 sweat.