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NPD Sales Results for November 2015 [Up3: Combined Hardware For PS4 + XB1 + Wii U]

maxiell

Member
I can't imagine NFS selling more than 400k, and even that would be a stretch. Surprised to see it above Halo.

Mulcair save us
 

Kyoufu

Member
WiiU was pretty risky, everything looks foolish when it fails, I thought the wii was foolish cause it was barely more powerful when a GC. Still think it's foolish today cause it's made them miss a gen where third-party franchises took over.

There's risk involved with just about anything, but going after the core games market with an underpowered system at the tail end of a long generation thus missing out on 3rd party support once competitors release their new systems is above anything plain foolishness.

We're talking about a company who has a history of lacking 3rd party support on their consoles even with their massively successful Wii product, thinking they'd get multi-platform HD titles with PS4 and Xbox One just around the corner.

If that isn't foolish then I don't know what is.
 

Hoje0308

Banned
Imru’ al-Qays;188790488 said:
It's important not to conflate what "wide market adoption" meant in generation six and what it meant in generation seven. The bestselling games on PS2 for its first years on the market were almost entirely core games. The blue ocean demographic didn't start showing up until the system was in impulse purchase territory - and there's no reason to expect this generation to be any different. This is normal for home consoles: they need to launch at high price points to be attractive to the core, and this renders them unattractive to the non-core until the prices come down.


This was essentially what I said, but I received revisionist history for my efforts.
 

Beefy

Member
I don't think they actually believed XBO would be on top anywhere in the world (maaaybe UK?), but i don't think the anticipated that the gap wouldn't be that huge. And even less that Fallout 4 would release on the same date.

XboxOne sold 5k less then PS4 between 22nd - 28th of November in th UK apparently.

139k PS4
134k XboxOne

I haven't seen stats for the whole month.
 

SlimySnake

Flashless at the Golden Globes
Sucks for Tomb Raider and Crystal Dynamics but maybe SE will learn from this.

Note to Phill, this is not how you go about diversifying your line up. I appreciate the effort to make it more than a shooter box, but I can promise you if this was a new IP, more people would've tried it out.
 

mjp2417

Banned
Brand building isn't effective when things are just one and done. I don't think MS is effective at releasing off brand titles and nurturing them to enough of a success that a sequel can be released and then continue to build.

Instead every generation it feels like they take a shotgun approach and announce a bunch of titles that seem pretty diverse (LO, Blue Dragon, Banjo Nuts & Bolts, D3, etc) but they just kind of release and go nowhere and aren't heard from again. Even with Alan Wake I feel like Remedy did a better job at marketing the PC release than MS did the 360 release and, as result, I feel like a lot of the positive conversation about AW has been largely a result of the PC exposure.

That's definitely a fair criticism. It will be interesting to see if their current trajectory is similar to that of the 360, or if they have fundamentally changed their philosophy. I suspect they are probably going to be forced to spend more effort on their more idiosyncratic games, even if they don't sell well initially (and Scalebound is not going to sell well) simply because Halo, Gears, and Fable are no longer the tentpoles they once were and they do need something, or a combination of somethings, to eventually replace some of that.
 

Cre8

You want a shot at the champ? [NG gif winner July 23]
She needs to be outside that window.

You meant this window?
pmt0HJU.png

Love you, Lara. See you in PS4
 
Is like a recipe for disaster. Japanese game, Exclusive to Xbox One, Platinum Game, the only way it could be worse is if Square Enix was planning the release date and the marketing.
How much did this have to do with Kamiya's personal preference for MS over Sony? As a business decision I just can't make much sense of it from the point of view of Platinum.
 

Game4life

Banned
Amirox is entirely entitled to be happy about TR bombing. I dont see what is wrong with it if he believes ROTR bombing would increase the likelihood of getting an old school TR that he likes. Before people say that is impossible, this generation should tell you that nostalgia is a powerful thing. See the kind of announcements Sony has been making for example.. What was old is new again this gen..

For example I was kind of happy the Order bombed because I was concerned that its success will mean
a. Sony's focus with respect to first party content will be on story at the cost of gameplay
b. Would encourage a AAA trend towards these sort of games

Now a and b could be someone else's cup of tea but it is not mine and therefore I was hoping the market does not respond to the Order - which is in my opinion an utterly mediocre game. It turned out to be the case and we will prob not get any more cinematic completely devoid of player agency tps games for a long time from any publisher.

Maybe Amirox feels that way about TR.
 
Inefficiency in going out of one's way to spend mind and time on something they dislike.

The mind boggles.

I'm sure folks are doing nothing but sitting around plotting and planning for the demise of franchises they don't care for. It certainly isn't possible for someone to be dismissive of something without obsessing over it, aye?

Come on now... It doesn't take a whole lot of effort to say that you don't care for something and that you don't feel bad if it doesn't do well. Seriously, give me a break.
 
I really don't know what Nintendo going to do in the home consoles market .
Next year for PS4 should be big and if NX don't start off good it can end up being a dead system rather fast .

Amiibo sales will help their support their finances, and there are still just enough software releases across Wii U and 3DS that will allow Nintendo to survive.

Early 2016 is actually healthy for 3DS, and it will probably be a decent year overall.
Nintendo will definitely have a few big releases for the holiday. Pokemon Z seems like a given.

Wii U's 2016 lineup is somewhat barren. It is on the level of 2006 Gamecube, and people here are assuming that the same events from 2006 will repeat themselves because Nintendo has supposedly ceased software development for Wii U.

My personal prediction, though, is that new Nintendo hardware will not launch in 2016. The new Zelda will not immediately be a cross-platform even if the new console came out.

I have a hard time believing that the system is ready, and an even harder time believing that Nintendo will have games ready for the new system. Third party support is essential for the console to survive, and anyone who disagrees is just in denial. Nintendo can't keep a steady stream of games on their own.

Nintendo may need a little more time to execute their NX plans, so 2017 will likely be the year they release the system. Some of you are acting as if Nintendo's going to die or something without the new console.
 
This was essentially what I said, but I received revisionist history for my efforts.

Yeah, I think there's just a segment of people who learned the Wii's blue ocean lesson way too well, to the extent that they retroactively project that business model onto every successful console. The PS2 wasn't some sort of Wii avant la lettre, it was what the Wii was explicitly setting out not to be.

The Wii was a fad. It looked brilliant while it was selling well, but now that we have a little bit of perspective it should be apparent to everyone that the PS2 business model is a much better strategy for the home console market.
 

heidern

Junior Member
Imru’ al-Qays;188790488 said:
The bestselling games on PS2 for its first years on the market were almost entirely core games. The blue ocean demographic didn't start showing up until the system was in impulse purchase territory - and there's no reason to expect this generation to be any different.

This generation won't get into impulse purchase territory. It might get to $199 if we're lucky. Development costs have also gone up which has suffocated the software library.

The problem for this gen was that Nintendo and MS tried to appeal to both core and casual with high price hardware. The strategy worked last gen because they offered something exciting in Wiimote and Kinect(and Wii was a more affordable price too) but it failed this gen because Kinect and touchscreen are not fresh anymore. Sony on the other hand changed their strategy from $600 down to a more affordable $400 and are the ones that succeeded. Remains to be seen how Nintendo and MS learn from their mistakes and alter their strategy to succeed. Increasing development costs are a problem for everyone though.
 

Mikey Jr.

Member
Ps4 in 2016 is fucking beast mode. Sf5, uc4, Persona 5, horizon, last guardian, ratchet, no man's, plus a whole bunch I'm probably missing.
 
How much did this have to do with Kamiya's personal preference for MS over Sony? As a business decision I just can't make much sense of it from the point of view of Platinum.

I mean, it's entirely possible that Sony simply didn't feel like bankrolling Kamiya - they swooped in and secured the "fans of hardcore action games by legendary Japanese developers" demographic with Bloodborne a year in advance.
 

im_dany

Member
Is people serious when they hope every MS exclusive to bomb and say things like "Sony does art MS just wants money"?

They're all businesses, relax. If you don't like any of the three, they're not going to force you to buy their console (only pcmr do that! /s), just avoid it.
Their purpose is to make money, and they both do the same things to sell more hardware, software and subscriptions.

About TR, let's not forget they sold like 5 mln of the reboot but they earned almost nothing. Going exclusive was bad for the users, but was 99% good for their finances, they have market analysts for this. The deal will probably help making a third game, releasing on every console at the same time.

If you don't like this go with Nintendo, they barely do any 3rd party deal and they release a lot of damn good games anyway. Hopefully they cut the price of WiiU once they announce NX, but the Gamepad costs a lot to make afaik.

That said, launching in the same month with the annual COD, DICE FPS and, most of all, the long awaited Fallout 4 was a bad idea, but they probably planned it before Uncharted 4 was delayed.
 
Is people serious when they hope every MS exclusive to bomb and say things like "Sony does art MS just wants money"?

They're all businesses, relax. If you don't like any of the three, they're not going to force you to buy their console (only pcmr do that! /s), just avoid it.
Their purpose is to make money, and they both do the same things to sell more hardware, software and subscriptions.

About TR, let's not forget they sold like 5 mln of the reboot but they earned almost nothing. Going exclusive was bad for the users, but was 99% good for their finances, they have market analysts for this. The deal will probably help making a third game, releasing on every console at the same time.

If you don't like this go with Nintendo, they barely do any 3rd party deal and they release a lot of damn good games anyway. Hopefully they cut the price of WiiU once they announce NX, but the Gamepad costs a lot to make afaik.

That said, launching in the same month with the annual COD, DICE FPS and, most of all, the long awaited Fallout 4 was a bad idea, but they probably planned it before Uncharted 4 was delayed.

Someone actually said this?

Absolutely none. Sony was offered it and they rejected it. Same goes for Bayonetta 2.

They need to cut that shit out. Did the same with sunset and maybe titanfall? I'm not sure what they're looking for from these companies.
 

kswiston

Member
Amiibo sales are nice, but they aren't nearly high enough to make much of a difference to Nintendo's larger business.

Let's say Amiibo continue to bring in $250-300M a year in revenue. That takes the place of one (post Wii) big first party game.
 
What was old is new again this gen..

I think is the "Jurassic World" effect. People that grew up during the mid 90's with a PS1 are now over 25, with families and the like. I think it would be in the best interest of a lot publisher with old IPs in their hands to make new use of them the best possible way, nostalgia is a hell of a drug.
 
Amiibo sales are nice, but they aren't nearly high enough to make much of a difference to Nintendo's larger business.

Let's say Amiibo continue to bring in $250-300M a year in revenue. That takes the place of one (post Wii) big first party game.

Amiibo is definitely no enough. It's just the start of Nintendo's upcoming focus on more than just video games.
 
There's risk involved with just about anything, but going after the core games market with an underpowered system at the tail end of a long generation thus missing out on 3rd party support once competitors release their new systems is above anything plain foolishness.

We're talking about a company who has a history of lacking 3rd party support on their consoles even with their massively successful Wii product, thinking they'd get multi-platform HD titles with PS4 and Xbox One just around the corner.

If that isn't foolish then I don't know what is.

Did they really try to go after the core market? I think the wiiu tablet was more in line with trying to attract there handheld market with the console market. It really wouldn't make sense for them to release a console with similar specs to last gen if they wanted to attract the core market, Nintendo isn't that stupid, they were banking on the tablet.
 

Shenmue

Banned
I'm very curious to see what SE says about TR's performance this time. They were very honest last time when they were not happy with the performance of the title, so I have no reason to believe they won't again. If they are positive it'll mean they likely received enough from MS to ensure they didn't take a bath on this title and will be able to make number 3.
 
People love to attack tomb Raider on here. Holy Crap lol its like the latest thing to attack the other side for lol. Total Shane about tomb Raider tho. Great game. That top ten tho. Think I'm growing up. I own fallout and halo


I guess the ps4 is deffo the third party champion this gen. I don't see a single ps4 exclusive in the top ten?
 

Mooreberg

Member
WiiU was pretty risky, everything looks foolish when it fails, I thought the wii was foolish cause it was barely more powerful when a GC. Still think it's foolish today cause it's made them miss a gen where third-party franchises took over.
Wii made perfect sense for the first three years when PS3 was priced out of the mainstream and Red Ring of Death could scare off your typical shoppers. Nintendo's problem is that they never adequately responded to mobile.

People who want games like GTA and COD are not turning to cheap or free or mobile knock offs to get those experiences. Most of the casual stuff that made Wii successful is now available on hardware that people already own, and at a fraction of the price. This was actually rather obvious in 2012, which makes the Wii U something of a question mark. It was not really designed to win over the fans of third party software either, so it is hard to tell what the aim was. Either way, the casual audience has been in Apple's and Google's pockets for quite some time now.
 

Game4life

Banned
I think is the "Jurassic World" effect. People that grew up during the mid 90's with a PS1 are now over 25, with families and the like. I think it would be in the best interest of a lot publisher with old IPs in their hands to make new use of them the best possible way, nostalgia is a hell of a drug.

Exactly. Before this gen I would have laughed at the possibility of an old school TR but now... I am not sure. Anything is possible.
 

Undead

Member
About TR, let's not forget they sold like 5 mln of the reboot but they earned almost nothing. Going exclusive was bad for the users, but was 99% good for their finances, they have market analysts for this. The deal will probably help making a third game, releasing on every console at the same time.
.


You realize this is published by Square Enix? the same company who were unimpressed by the low 3.4Mil sales of the first game, given the disastrous sales of this one and the clusterfuck of the exclusivity deal, what makes you think there will be a third?

The franchise was probably put out to die
 

Etnos

Banned
He makes charts about console sales based on data, and others based on predictions.

He now has a website.

Why he left? He is one of the few who actually know what the hell they talking about regardless sales data

Getting Tomb Raider once is out on PC, seems like a solid title by all accounts. To bad it gets flak because -zXConsoleWarXz- nonsense
 
Did they really try to go after the core market? I think the wiiu tablet was more in line with trying to attract there handheld market with the console market. It really wouldn't make sense for them to release a console with similar specs to last gen if they wanted to attract the core market, Nintendo isn't that stupid, they were banking on the tablet.

Yeah - they were banking on the tablet so hard, in fact, that they allowed it to drive the Wii U's price up way past the Wii's launch price. That's what doomed the console.

If the Wii U had launched at $200 as an HD Wii with Wiimotes instead of the gamepad it would be selling much better than it currently is (though still not particularly well: waggle's time is past). There's obviously still some cohort of the old Wii audience still lingering around, it's just that Nintendo isn't catering to them.
 

reKon

Banned
Is people serious when they hope every MS exclusive to bomb and say things like "Sony does art MS just wants money"?

They're all businesses, relax. If you don't like any of the three, they're not going to force you to buy their console (only pcmr do that! /s), just avoid it.
Their purpose is to make money, and they both do the same things to sell more hardware, software and subscriptions.

About TR, let's not forget they sold like 5 mln of the reboot but they earned almost nothing. Going exclusive was bad for the users, but was 99% good for their finances, they have market analysts for this. The deal will probably help making a third game, releasing on every console at the same time.

If you don't like this go with Nintendo, they barely do any 3rd party deal and they release a lot of damn good games anyway. Hopefully they cut the price of WiiU once they announce NX, but the Gamepad costs a lot to make afaik.

That said, launching in the same month with the annual COD, DICE FPS and, most of all, the long awaited Fallout 4 was a bad idea, but they probably planned it before Uncharted 4 was delayed.

Find these people and expose them in this thread
 
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