Thanks for linking that article, I had never seen that. Very interesting indeed! Maybe we'll see another new IP at e3 from Garage.
So, between music composition/mixing/programming, the engineering team, and the core team of 40, we could assume the team is 60-80 people? That's not an entirely small team...and we havn't considered testing and club nintendo debug unit.
I doubt it will do well.
This is a game for:
- gamepad shooter fans
- that dont need blood
- that dont mind "kiddy" looks
- that dont need voicechat
- that own a Wii U
I hope it does well, but I doubt it.
No matter how well shooters gameplay feels natural to Nintendo's motion controllers, they have a history of failing on their recent consoles.
Remember Red Steel and The Conduit ?
PS: Can anyone help me find infos on the in-game rewards for each of the different Splatoon amiibos ? I can't find it online, and I need to know what to buy.
Also, will those rewards be exclusive or can they be unlocked even without the amiibos ?
Thanks !
not if mario maker or XBX get released this year
this. Population meeting this profile must not be large imo.
Nope this is easily going to outsell XBX and Mario Maker
I don't know though... is there a market of parents who want to buy something for their kids that is like shooty bang bang but isn't actually shooty bang bang? That's how I got my hands on lemmings paintball back in the day. But standards might've changed.
I am expecting slightly better sales than wonderful 101. So no, not a major new IP.
You both are correct, I believe. So, no. I don't think it'll be a "major" anything.It'll bomb.
Wow. That's a truly bold statement. There are a lot of people who play games that I work with that don't even know this is a thing.I expect above a 25% attach rate. It will sell better than some people here think.
I expect above a 25% attach rate. It will sell better than some people here think.
yeah, so there's plenty of posts from both sides to bookmark for future reference lmao
Nope this is easily going to outsell XBX and Mario Maker
yeah, so there's plenty of posts from both sides to bookmark for future reference lmao
also don't get the W101 comparisons, it should beat that game's LTD in both US and Japan first week
Nope this is easily going to outsell XBX and Mario Maker
The first three are draws, not deterrents, ie it's perfectly reasonable that someone will pick up the game because of those three.I doubt it will do well.
This is a game for:
- shooter fans
- that dont need blood
- that dont mind "kiddy" looks
- that dont need voicechat
- that own a Wii U
Yeah....this is wrong.
Let's not get crazy here
Wow. That's a truly bold statement. There are a lot of people who play games that I work with that don't even know this is a thing.
I expect above a 25% attach rate. It will sell better than some people here think.
Which could be interpreted as "selling as Pikmin 3", since that's about the attach rate Pikmin 3 got when it was released (relative to the user base back then). Now it's virtually impossible to obtain retail copies of Pikmin 3, so it's hard to know what that game could actually sell with the current user base.
And I really hope they show more things from Garage project in E3!
Metroid doesnt sell very well and Kid Icarus isn't a shooter. Also, Nintendo fans like local multiplayer, go back and read the Mario Party threads where they were trying to defend the lack of online play. You kind of paint a patronizing picture of Wii U gamers with this post that isn't accurate.Nintendo fans in general like shooters perfectly much, as evidenced by Metroid Prime and Kid Icarus. Not sure if they're on Wii U, but they exist. Nintendo fans like multiplayer, seeing how all the best selling Wii U games are multiplayer. Nintendo fans like cute characters. Nintendo fans like easy to play, hard to master, which this seems to be. The only main problems seem to be it being a new IP (which may not be too big of a problem if amiibos are an indicator) and the install base (expectations will be adjusted for this). This has a decent shot of doing well. Look to Devil's Third if you want another W101 bomb, not this.
I am expecting slightly better sales than wonderful 101. So no, not a major new IP.
It'll bomb.
It doesn't have Mario in it so I don't expect it to do very well.
It's on Wii U.
So no.
I honestly expect it to flop...
I hope that in wrong though
You mean the next major Nintendo bomba?
Of course not. I'll be amazed if it reaches 1 million.
I mean, did you expect Codename S.T.E.A.M. to be the next big Nintendo IP? The Wonderful 101?
I'm expecting Wonderful 101 levels of bomb.
I expect it to sell around the same as the wonderful 101. At very, very best pikmin 3. And that's me being optimistic. So no I don't think it will.
I'll be legit surprised if this game doesn't bomb. I guess we'd have to discuss what constitutes a bomb though considering the low user base. I should be clear though that the base isn't the reason I think it will bomb. I just don't think the game has a lot of appeal.
But yeah what is considered a bomb in sales for the wii u in terms of numbers.
we? What is neogaf, legion?
personally, no, I don't think so, but i wouldn't be shocked
I doubt it.
I'd be nice if it sold well because I allways like new Nintendo Ip's doing well.
But I don't see it appealing to that many people with it being a shooter focusing on online play on the WiiU. Even the Mario Kart online community got smaller after a few months (before the DLC), and that's was Mario Kart. Also, even kids that play online like basic online features like chat.
I have a WiiU and like it quite a bit, but I have no interest in Splatoon
I doubt it will do well.
This is a game for:
- shooter fans
- that dont need blood
- that dont mind "kiddy" looks
- that dont need voicechat
- that own a Wii U
Maybe about as well as wonderful 101
No it's going to flop. But it will be marketed by Nintendo as the next big one though.
I figure it's going to be a cult classic. Might not even sell enough to warrant a sequel.
Honestly I'm not even sure there is a market for Splatoon. A lot of young kids these days are already playing Call of Duty and talking all kinds of random shit online. I think Mario Kart and Smash are still so popular because you cant find anything as good elsewhere and I don't see Splatoon being able to pull away the younger generation from the already established shooters.
I could of course be horribly wrong but the market just seems so volatile these days.
A major IP that will unfortunately not sell well.
You might see an Inkling as a Assist Trophy in Smash 5
That's about it
I hope the game succeeds, but I'm betting it's gonna bomb. Shooter fans and cartoony squids splooging ink everywhere is something I would not fund if I were a businessman.
It looks awesome, but unfortunately I don't see it selling all that well. The Wii U market is just too small, it would need a pretty crazy attach rate for a new IP to warrant a sequel.
I think it'll be a one-and-done series.
Its totally going to flop. It doesnt have anything the mainstream audience want.
lol, no.
If it's any consolation, though, it will do better than Wonderful 101.
i expect it to bomb
Nah I expect it to be the next Wonderful 101
Majority of Nintendo fans will ignore it because Mario and co. ain't there
You can advertise something no one is really interested in as much as you want, people still won't buy it.
Personally I don't think so. I feel like they are coming a few years too late to the shooter game. I know that the game is somewhat unique from other shooters, but will it be a powerhouse to move consoles? I doubt it.
It will probably do average-ok first week sales, then disappear into the vortex of forgotten games hovering somewhere above its epicenter at Konami.
I'm not sure it will sell better than Bayonetta 2.
Really can't see it sadly.
Its not going to sell hardware. So its only whomever is playing wii-u now. There really is nothing else like it on the system so that will help. Pikman, Bayo and 101 is probably where is sits in sales. This month they really need to push the campaign part of this game or sales will be worse. Wii-u base is not multiplayer type in general. This really has the a good chance to tank. At best its a moderate success. The bar is pretty low.
I wish it was.
But I also wish to win the lottery.
I really do not see this doing well, but who knows, kids might go nuts over it.
It's going to bomb.
They're doing a Splatoon tour I think but I doubt it's going to do much for them. I'm going to wait for a price drop before picking it up.
I'm thinking it will be a light flop. Not terrible but it's not going to do all that well.
I think it'll bomb pretty hard. Not quite 101 bad, but close.
It's a Wii U game that doesn't have Mario, Zelda or Smash in the title. It could be the best game ever. It's still going to bomb. Best case scenario it becomes the Wii U's Tearaway.
At this point I'm in the camp that believes the game will bomb
I think sales wise it will do poorly.
It is not going to attract gamers from PS4/Xbone to get a WiiU to play this. There are WAY more games on those systems that are much more feature rich. Also it doesn't seem very competitive, and more "fun for everyone!" type of game.
I think there is a big deal for this game because its a first for a Nintendo IP to be a "shooter".
Considering how much of the Nintendo fanbase I've encountered over the years that loudly dismissed shooters and online play, I don't really expect it to do all that well, even among Nintendo's diehard crowd.
I predict a bomba, but I hope I'm wrong. Love the artstyle and the amiibos.
Also while the game looks good enough and appears to be fun, I think that it's not my thing. I'm probably not buying this or leaving it to the future.
It's launching on the Wii U...you honestly think it has a chance?
I doubt it. I reckon it'll hit a couple of hundred thousand tops, lifetime. The super-core Nintendo crowd keeping the Wii U on life support will make some noise about it, as they are now.
Nope. It'll get lukewarm sales at best and be forgotten about.
I think it'll be a total bust, but those couple of months the playerbase sticks around are going to be a pretty sweet ride down.
I don't think so. It doesn't seem to babe enough new about it to make it hit and its launching on Wii u this hampering the ability of it to find a large audience.
I feel this game is gonna bomb... don't want it too.. but just feel like it's gonna bomb.. badly.
I was going to type the same exact thing.
At this point the only games on the Wii U I see selling very well are Mario and Zelda games. That's about it.
It will bomb, its a multiplayer game with no voice chat...
no new IPs could ever hope to become major on the WiiU, even less so a game like Splatoon. 200k LT ww tops is my prediction, and that will already be considered a sort of success
I don't expect it to be a major IP. It will probably be niche. Doubt that a sequel will be made either.
A shooter that's geared towards a shooter audience that doesn't buy shooter games? Yep this will be a definite bomb.
W101 was marketed in the UK both on prime time tv and in print. Splatoon hasn't had anything here yet, not even in the likes of the specialist retailers.
I dunno how well it's being marketed in the US or other parts of Europe but I can easily see an enormous bomb in the UK.
Expecting it to bomb big time.
Splatoon probably won't sell very well, I just hope it is as awesome as some of the other underachieving Wii U games. Hopefully the upcoming direct will get people more interested. I hope Nintendo go into more detail about the single player, its looking kind of bland right now.
I think it's going to go the way of W101.
I don't want it to, but it seems like everyone "the hype is real!" on GAF it's like dooming a game early.
I hope not though, it looks cool.
I don't think it'll sell very well. The name "Splatoon" + sort of pictures of paintball just looks kind of shovelware or mini-game like at first glance. I just think it's a hard sell unless you really market it hard, and Nintendo won't.
It's releasing on the wii U which is basically dead at this point. Even on a successful console this looks like it would be a niche game but on the wii U is be pretty shocked if t wasn't.
Hoping that isn't the case but I don't like the games chances.
I'm expecting something beetween Wonderfull 101 and Pikmin 3 sales.
Nintendo is going to advertise it because they don't have anything else for middle of 2015.
small potatoes
I hope it does well, but I doubt it.
No matter how well shooters gameplay feels natural to Nintendo's motion controllers, they have a history of failing on their recent consoles.
Remember Red Steel and The Conduit ?
PS: Can anyone help me find infos on the in-game rewards for each of the different Splatoon amiibos ? I can't find it online, and I need to know what to buy.
Also, will those rewards be exclusive or can they be unlocked even without the amiibos ?
Thanks !
this. Population meeting this profile must not be large imo.
I don't know how long it will last. Might burn out quick from it, hopefully I'm wrong though.
Seems like a flop in the making.
I think it'll bomb as well. I don't see it doing well.
I don't.
No.
It has Saturday morning cartoon charm. Maybe 'Ubisoft appealing to children' charm. Based on what I've seen it doesn't have Nintendo charm, not nearly.
Game won't break 500k worldwide.
Would bet my Wii U along all my Wii U games it will.
I don't.
Nintendo is incapable of creating and maintaining new mega-IPs, for the possible exception of Wii Sports. Wii Fit? Dead. Nintendogs/cats? Dead. Brain Age? Dead. They reserve their AAA efforts and resources on old mascots, then they wonder why those are the only games that sell.
Splatoon doesn't even have a good local co-op feature. 1vs1? WTF. Nintendo is suffering from some sort of identity crisis this generation. On one hand, they want to resurrect the local/family multiplayer experience, but on the other hand they're pushing new IPs that don't bring such experiences to households.
Hard to give birth to a new major IP on Wii U, it's a private circle for best selling titles. If we see the characters in Smash, though.. there could be a chance. Personally, I don't think so.
I honestly expect it to do about as well as the W101, inside the Nintendo bubble it may seem like the next big thing though...
Seeing as how i'm not Japanese nor "in the know" of said market, i was unaware of this...
Advertising can only get you that far when the game that you're advertising doesn't cater to the general masses.
I'm not "having fun" here, i'm only answering to the question in the OP... i don't see it becoming Nintendo's next big franchise at all, maybe it's next Pikmin perhaps?...
The idea is cool and all, but no way this will be considered a hit sales wise.
I honestly think it is going to be underwhelming. At Christmas this year, for kids who already have a PS4/X1, Wii Us may sell (especially if Zelda is on the horizon). But the problem is there is too much out there to pick up with it (MK8, Tropical Freeze, NSMBU, SM3DW, Smash), so it is likely to get grazed over on the shelf for other games by new console purchasers. I just don't see it taking off. I'm not a fan of these type of things, either, so I know I'm out on it. I imagine many others won't drop the cash for it, either. Especially with Witcher recently and Batman coming in a couple weeks.
I expect this to bomb and bomb hard.
no 4 player split screen killed it for me.
Of all the things that Nintendo could do to get back in the game, a third person shooter isn't it, no matter how creative it is.
Splatoon looks really fun (I kinda regret refusing to play it at E3), and would be great if it was a major success, but I kinda doubt it. Among other reasons, I hear the single player mode is like 3 hours long. No bueno.
The game is going to be the industries first Tsar Bomba
Prepare yourself for disappointment
It would have a greater chance to become a long-running IP if Nintendo released it on the 3DS instead or simultaneously.
With the Wii U, there is a greater chance that something like Splatoon will just be a one-off on a failure of a console.
I'm expecting it to be considered a sales flop after ~3 months.
I'll just hang onto these, you know, just in case.I really want it to do well but I don't think it has a chance. Maybe if it was released on 3DS as well.
Metroid doesnt sell very well and Kid Icarus isn't a shooter. Also, Nintendo fans like local multiplayer, go back and read the Mario Party threads where they were trying to defend the lack of online play. You kind of paint a patronizing picture of Wii U gamers with this post that isn't accurate.
I don't think Nintendo would allow for that. It's either playable Inkling or nothing. In fact, I can almost guarantee that the Inkling will either be DLC for Smash 4 or a newcomer for Smash 5.You might see an Inkling as a Assist Trophy in Smash 5
That's about it
lol...Nintendo fans like local multiplayer, go back and read the Mario Party threads where they were trying to defend the lack of online play. You kind of paint a patronizing picture of Wii U gamers with this post that isn't accurate.
I bet Splatoon sells more copies than The Order: 1886 and Sunset Overdrive by the end of 2015.
That's so stupid lol, lots of lesser Nintendo series get ATs. That would be annoying if they forced that in a potential Smash 5.I don't think Nintendo would allow for that. It's either playable Inkling or nothing. In fact, I can almost guarantee that the Inkling will either be DLC for Smash 4 or a newcomer for Smash 5.