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June 2017 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, July 11th
Darth Smurf X
Member
Plague Doctor
Member
You are skeptical and discerning and there isn't any shame in it. That's a good way to be and more people like you keeps company's marketing and PR honest. I have been burned by buying into hype in the past and I have my own threshold of what sounds like candy coated bull.
Sometimes the best thing companies can do is shut up and perform/produce. Too much talk with little to no noticeable impact is a recipe for alienating a consumer base.
DriftingSpirit
Member
And we appreciate you at 100%. Keep up the excellent work Matt.
DriftingSpirit
Member
Darth Smurf X
Member
I'm sure someone has stated this already, but I'd like to state it again. I don't think the XB1X is going to do that well this fall, based solely on pricepoint.
For $500:
XB1S, PS4, Switch (pick 2) —OR— XB1X
It'll definitely sell, mainly to Xbox fans who are looking to upgrade, but to the average consumer... the above math makes the unit much less enticing.
Also, I can't wait for Crash numbers. Bring on CTR!
For $500:
XB1S, PS4, Switch (pick 2) —OR— XB1X
It'll definitely sell, mainly to Xbox fans who are looking to upgrade, but to the average consumer... the above math makes the unit much less enticing.
Also, I can't wait for Crash numbers. Bring on CTR!
Obliterator
Member
If Crash places highly on the chart it will be incredibly impressive. This is a revenue based chart now so Crash already has a $20 price disadvantage compared to many games and it also had 2 days of tracking
Definitely would be a monumental achievement. From what we can glean from amazon monthly charts (the only, even if flawed, tool we have in terms of foreshadowing the true NPD results), Crash seems to have finished behind Horizon Zero Dawn and ARMS, though I am not at all sure that would translate to the general picture.
Miniature Kaiju
Member
lol
Please, no.
Maybe he'll joke that the game "came in crashing and took the lead" and that was "not only unexpected, but n.sane"
Humdinger
Member
Thank you, sir.
DriftingSpirit
Member
By highly on the chart, you thinking top 3?
I'd allow it!Maybe how joke that the game "came in crashing and took the lead" and that was "not only unexpected, but n.sane"
I can't say that I am not ever so slightly worried now lol.
ethomaz
Banned
We what? I prefer units in any case... in the Crash case is even more obvious because it is a $40 game vs $60 for most others.
Curious how CTR would work. Would Sony not want that title an exclusive by any means? Especially after the success of Crash or did Sony trade that away for a 1 year exclusive deal on this remake? Interesting.
Welfare
Member
Code:
[IMG]http://i3.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/001/225/710/cf9.jpg[/IMG]DriftingSpirit
Member
I thought Sony owned CTR.
Play anywhere is not supported by that many games outside of first party which is already small. Windows store is pathetic both in quality and popularity in comparison to Steam. MS is not going to conquer PC or even come close to doing to that with their current policy. Sony has more chance of succeeding at PC with their shitty service Now than MS does.
Mister Megative
Banned
Now and forever.
Bruno MB
Member
I have checked if there was any leak on a public forum and I found LTD data as of January 2003 for the original trilogy.
[PSX] Crash Bandicoot - 2,741,213
[PSX] Crash Bandicoot 2: Cortex Strikes Back - 3,100,190
[PSX] Crash Bandicoot 3: Warped - 3,006,691
[PSX] Crash Team Racing - 1,839,410
[PSX] Crash Bash - 1,066,727
I didn't remember they sold so well, North America was definitely the biggest market for the franchise. Well, now I am 100% sure that Crash Bandicoot N. Sane Trilogy was the best-selling game of the month (NPD Value Top 20 Chart).
Liabe Brave
Member
Totally irrelevant to a discussion of Nintendo's preparedness. Nintendo's problem is general availability, not regional apportioning. Microsoft shipped far more units in the immediate launch period, no matter where they were destined.
The pre-pricecut 3DS and the WiiU were failures, so planning to match them is, in fact, planning to fail. It's also germane that Switch didn't have that type of reception, so preparing for such was wrong and has left the market underserved.
Consumer reaction isn't wholly predictable, of course. But there are ways to measure it, however roughly. I'm sure Microsoft's radical changes of policy with Xbox One before launch weren't whim, but driven by social metrics and purchase-intent projection. Nintendo chose to reveal Switch without pricing or preorders (if I recall correctly), depriving themselves of direct data about interest. The full details were announced so near to launch that there wasn't any time to react to what turned out to be ample demand. This was all under Nintendo's control.
See above. Where they chose to launch is not the point. That Microsoft had millions more units ready, for any region, is the point.
How on earth is it "disingenuous" to take stock of consumer feeling when assessing how well a company is meeting market demand? A satisfied (or at least satisficed) customer base is the sole foundation from which good news for companies and their investors flows.
It may be helpful to expand what I'm asserting. I'm not saying Nintendo should've been perfectly prescient about the reaction to Switch. What I'm proposing is that they should've built a plan that could flexibly react to a wide range of demand; should've pursued advance data to peg their projections well; and should've trusted in the efficacy of their improved software development plan and ramped marketing spend.
DriftingSpirit
Member
Oh my. I thought UK was the biggest.
Looks like positive Xbox earnings news for FY17 Q4, from Matt Brown of WIndows Central:
"Gaming revenue increased $44 million or 3% (Higher rev from software and services, offset by lower rev from Xbox hardware)"
"Xbox software and services revenue increased 11%, primarily due to a higher volume of Xbox Live transactions."
"Xbox Live monthly active users grew 8% to 53 million"
"Gaming revenue increased $44 million or 3% (Higher rev from software and services, offset by lower rev from Xbox hardware)"
"Xbox software and services revenue increased 11%, primarily due to a higher volume of Xbox Live transactions."
"Xbox Live monthly active users grew 8% to 53 million"
Little Monser
Banned
wrestleman
Member
Welp, just got some PR from Activision:
DriftingSpirit
Member
Well, that answers the question of who was first in NPD too
Hope ARMS got no. 2 and did well too!
OfficerRaichu15
Member
Amazing for Crash
Matt you know if ARMS will get a statement?
Matt you know if ARMS will get a statement?
Chobel
Member
I guess it's not #1 on NPD?
Why it wouldn't?
OfficerRaichu15
Member
It could be...unless ARMS or Tekken beat it somehow.
OrbitalBeard
Member
DriftingSpirit
Member
Why do you think that? Because they didn't mention US?
OfficerRaichu15
Member
Just afraid it underperformed. Hopefully it didn't.
Yea I realized later in my haste to get my joke out there...worldwide is not NPD...
We will see soon tho.
Bitch Pudding
Member
#1 in terms of sales WW doesn't equal being #1 in terms of revenue in the US.
Hope it's #1 nevertheless.
KillerMan91
Member
Well Activision is also talking about sold copies. It could theoretically be best selling game in US for last month but still chart lower in NPD chart because that is revenue based.
Chobel
Member
Yep.
wrestleman
Member
I would imagine this places it pretty safely on the high end. Not personally expecting #1. Would love it though.
DriftingSpirit
Member
Of course. I would think this news makes it more likely to be number 1 rather than otherwise though.
I think prioritizing WW is the usual for companies if they have good news. It shows it is doing well all over the place.
Yeah because being #1 worldwide is worth less than being first in US.