The Mad Draklor
Member
My prediction still has XBO>PS4, though I'm extremely unsure of my predictions....
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October 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes November 10th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
My prediction still has XBO>PS4, though I'm extremely unsure of my predictions....
Yeah, I agree. Titanfal indeed had much better marketing campaign.
TitanFall was available on other platforms too so there's really no comparison here.
The 8-Bit Raider
Member
Interesting indeed. I'm definitely looking forward to next week. I have a feeling this may be the last time an NPD will be this exciting until next gen as I fear that the results will be more predictable starting November... I hope I'm wrong about that.
Definitely.
Well even tho I still have PS4 over XBO I keep changing the overall gap between the 2 this month. Possible Halo 5 sales is causing me to keep it PS4 over XBO. That and that damn PS4 price cut....
Something already "went wrong".
lol at those post parodying Amirox. Those never get old :')
Does anyone know if xbox og outsold ps2 when halo launched?
Welfare
Member
It did when Halo 2 launched. OGBox was the best selling console in Nov+Dec 2004, but the PS2 was pretty close to it.
mejin
Member
And Halo 5 is no Halo 3.
CosmicQueso
Member
Going with an NPD avatar while posting in an NPD thread just in time for holiday when the thread is scrutinized the most by those cats?
And I thought these threads might be kind of boring this year.
Welcome, new thread member. GL HF
And I thought these threads might be kind of boring this year.
Welcome, new thread member. GL HF
And Xbox was still considerably more expensive at the time as well.
Obliterator
Member
Yeah that person is a little freaking me out.
I'm curious if thats someone actually from NPD or not
Shh... you want to get her trouble again?
CosmicQueso
Member
Even using the brand new NPD branding they just rolled out a few weeks ago...
ArkhamFantasy
Member
Is the winner of october likely to win nov/dec too?
BlackBuzzard
Banned
NPD ninjas are invading GAF! You already took aqua from us
Obliterator
Member
It's interesting.......to say the least.
DriftingSpirit
Member
Liabe Brave
Member
Not entirely. The intent is for the game to drive ecology buy-in, yes. But when the ecology itself is a less attractive place to be, even the best incentive won't have as much effect.
Basically, I'm saying Halo is still pulling its weight--best-selling first-party, biggest digital first week, big console bump--in a way that Fable or Splinter Cell aren't. Those are crumbled tentpoles. Halo is a giant trunk that can only do so much for a shrunken tent.
Primethius
Banned
Halo did massive numbers on the OG Xbox and the 360 during various points of that systems lifetime. I don't think we can ascribe the primary decline (upwards of 50% if the numbers turn out to be correct) to the ecosystem alone. I do think it's a contributing factor in an almost perfect storm of several other factors (franchise fatigue, poor reception for the past two titles, release date competition, genre competition, console ecosystem etc) but I don't think by itself it holds much merit.
Obliterator
Member
Halo doing 1.5 million (give or take a bit) is still a massive launch. I mean its a huge franchise still, its just not anywhere near what it was at its peak. With micro transactions etc. though I'm sure its highly profitable
Primethius
Banned
For sure. And aside from perhaps Gears, I don't really see an exclusive game launching to such massive numbers anytime soon.
And speaking of Gears, that franchise will really put to the test how much the console ecosystem (aka PS4's dominance) is playing on the decline of XB1 IPs like Halo.
Nah, it's Zhuge. Gotta be.
Welfare
Member
That's clearly George, not Aqua.
Hmm, you seem to get your data pretty easily from your posts. That and your username and avatar make me feel suspicious about your identity. I got my eyes on you.
Mikey Jr.
Member
I really do wonder how Halo 5 sold.
I will say, on twitch, it is doing EXTREMELY poorly. No joke, a week after it came out, not only was it out of the top 10, it was all the way down to like the 33rd game being played.
Even at launch, it only topped out at 22k people watching.
Not sure if that says anything or not.
I will say, on twitch, it is doing EXTREMELY poorly. No joke, a week after it came out, not only was it out of the top 10, it was all the way down to like the 33rd game being played.
Even at launch, it only topped out at 22k people watching.
Not sure if that says anything or not.
Welfare
Member
Real test will be HCS viewership. If it does shit then, well...
Maybe when 343 adds in Forge and more gametypes/maps, more people will stream/watch.
Would NPD numbers be done this early?
The Mad Draklor
Member
Hmm, you seem to get your data pretty easily from your posts. That and your username and avatar make me feel suspicious about your identity. I got my eyes on you.
But his name is George. What can possibly go wrong?
Hmmm... I really have no idea, but if I had to guess I would say yes.
My reasoning being that they provide reports with far more than just listing out the numbers right? Those guys gotta get the data at least a couple of work days before to actually analyze and type out very detailed and professional reports on the data. I don't think it's something they could just do Tuesday morning or anything like that.
George is just a name to cover up his/her true identity. Tomorrow I could have an alt. account by the name of Ryan96 and you guys wouldn't even know it was me.But his name is George. What can possibly go wrong?
No.
DAT MARIO MAKER LEGS!
It outsold PS2 in April, August, September, November and December 2004.
This was really incredible, it sold only 13% less than PS2 that year.
4,606,000 VS 4,023,000
Even if XB1 will win October, PS4 will easy win November and December.
spatenfloot
Member
I think that is what he wants people to believe.
Obliterator
Member
There is an accurate range in this thread. Or at least it should be
Welcome to GAF! Just wanted to say I appreciate your well explained analysis and I agree on most every accounts. The only point with which I disagree is the "cooling demand for PS4" as the recent Q4 shipment numbers show growth over last year with an incredible 4 million shipped. Now you clarified with this statement:
I would argue that the reason September was much less impressive than last year is that we didn't have any new exciting AAA ups to drive sales like the OG Destiny did. The Taken King was big but Destiny's popularity has taken a heavy hit since its original release thanks to their handling post release content so it marks sense that it wasn't pushing as many console sales. This year we will see e the incredibly popular bundles releasing in November and that will likely lead to record sales for the console in that month. Now that also may decrease October sales a bit only to then see a huge burst of sales this month (November). Anyways, always nice to see promising new members join the discussion. Look forward to your continued presence in SalesGAF.
StrongBlackVine
Banned
Not cool even if it is joke.
PS4 sales fell on Q3 calendar year in US, still Sony shipped 0.7m more WW.
It's possible that sales are up in others markets, but maybe shipments are bigger in preparation for the last quarter of the year. I suppose that Uncharted bundle was shipped in september.
It's not her.
Well, to be fair, Sony was gearing up for the price drop, so it was smart to ship more units to avoid shortages. Still, makes me wonder how the shipment numbers are higher than expected in Q2 and Q3 2015 when the US is slightly down YoY. Europe and emerging markets must be huge for the PS4.
StrongBlackVine
Banned
Well we already the US isn't even half of PS4's market. Close to a third maybe.
The Mad Draklor
Member
I think Asia has become a big factor for the PS4's sales. There was a graph somewhere that showed that the PS4 was outpacing the PS3 and even the PS2 in Asia, I believe.
Yeah, I edited my post addressing that. "Overshipped" could imply channel stuffing and I think isn't exactly the case.
Yeah, I use the US as a third of the PS4's global sales in my estimations and so far it seems quite accurate.
Well, not in my country, at least, although I already know more people who own a PS4 than those who own a PS3 here. But yeah, overall, I would say Asia is a big deal for the PS4, aside from Japan. I know it's typically a joke, but I wonder how well the PS4 is doing in China. Also, the Middle East is quite a big market for the PS4.
PS4 is doing great in virtually all markets, this doesn't mean that sales on Asia in the last quarter are up YoY.
GravityInsanity
Member
Any word on whose winning October? I haven't been in this thread lately.
3rdamention
Member
Lol, it's kinda humorous...But I have noticed a lot of new members lately...Did they recently accept a bunch of new members? Seems like a lot are in the sales threads lately, or it's simply a lot of junior members..I want to think in the past it seems we get some new friends around the holidays...