Hello, NeoGAF forums. This is my first post on the NeoGAF, and I thought I'd kick it off by participating in this "NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions" game:
[PS4] 420K
[XB1] 360K
[3DS] 100K
[WIU] 80K
With my prediction I expect moderate, yet disappointing gains for U.S. Console Hardware on Thursday's data release.
October 2014 was weak for Microsoft's Xbox One, so the launch of the Halo 5: Guardians software SKU will likely more than double last year's sales, given how 2012's Halo 4 had a dramatic effect on Xbox 360 sales (270.2K in October 2012 bumped up to 1258.5K for November 2012)
However, from reports from this NeoGAF topic it appears that the U.S. Physical Retail launch of Halo 5: Guardians will suffer steep declines from the previous iteration (perhaps compensated by an increase in digital and non-USA sales?), so the overall effect on Xbox One sales will be far more negligible than its predecessor.
Sony's PlayStation 4 has a $50 price cut, but I believe that year-over-year growth will be tempered because it is offset by cooling demand for the product.
I expect Nintendo's Wii U to remain virtually unchanged from its September performance, as their 'Mario Maker' SKU continues to draw a niche but steady crowd to the system.
I hope that these video game consoles defy my expectations as the industry always benefits when both consoles succeed.