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WSJ: Nintendo now to manufacture 16 million Switch consoles next FY, up from 8m

I'm actually surprised they are still talking to him. If I remember, he's the guy who mentioned that Nintendo should be concerned that Switch sold less than Vita on its second week in Japan.

Which is logical if I didn't keep track of Japanese sales until I joined the forum. Also I was proven right by the initial poster anyway.


So not that that convinced is over seems everyone's talking about genesis vs. Snes now.
 

jon bones

hot hot hanuman-on-man action
Came here for excitement about Nintendo beefing up and getting ready for a big push and got... I have no idea. What even is going on in here

I'm actually surprised they are still talking to him. If I remember, he's the guy who mentioned that Nintendo should be concerned that Switch sold less than Vita on its second week in Japan.

it's pretty great, i don't know what it is about console wars that makes internet kids lose their minds but it's always hilarious
 

Neoxon

Junior Member
Will we get a Direct before E3? EDIT:

I hope so, otherwise E3 would have to cover:

- Blowout for Mario
- Bigger Blowout for Splatoon (since it releases sooner for Mario)
- Announce Smash Port (I believe it exists)
- Announce Pokemon Stars (I definitely think this exists. Not sure if it's exclusive or cross gen though)
- Announce Mario Rabbids
- Maybe show FE W gameplay
- Likely show Xeno gameplay
- Likely talk about Zelda DLC
And that doesn't even include games that may be announced that be don't know about.


I mean, that's a lot of effin stuff.

Can one E3 cover all those games sufficiently??
If Pokémon Stars is an actual thing, TPC would likely reveal the game ahead of E3 to not share the spotlight with the other E3 Switch games. As for Splatoon 2, that's assuming that it doesn't drop in June (though to be fair, Nintendo could still spill on info if Splatoon 2 drops later in June).
 
Nintendo made the best open world game ever on Wii U specs. Kind of embarrassing for the rest of the industry.

I think we've reached the point where Nintendo's hardware is no longer limiting the kind of games they can make. They just won't be able to do individual, realistically animated chest hairs like Uncharted 4.

So far I've seen nothing to suggest that PS4 power isn't superfluous in terms of actual game design. MGSV was the most "next-gen" feeling game so far and it was on 360 as well.
 

D.Lo

Member
Motorola 6800 says otherwise
CPU yeah, but it was much more capable machine graphically and sonically, colours, sprites on screen, effects, sound channels and effects etc. I mean the Game Boy has a much more powerful CPU than the NES or Master System, but CPU isn't everything.

But 'power' isn't why the SNES won, it was Nintendo games, focused business plan, and Japanese developer support. Games and potential, nobody would ever have said "well Sega has all the games I want, but the SNES has more colours, so I'll get that instead" or vice versa "I really want Mario and Zelda but that Mega Drive CPU is better so I'm getting that".

Desirable hardware, good price for what you get, good games people want. That is the formula for success for a console. Power of the computer plays into all three, but it is always a balance.
 

Mory Dunz

Member
If Pokémon Stars is an actual thing, TPC would likely reveal the game ahead of E3 to not share the spotlight with the other E3 Switch games. As for Splatoon 2, that's assuming that it doesn't drop in June (though to be fair, Nintendo could still spill on info if Splatoon 2 drops later in June).

Splatoon 2 will definitely be after E3 imo. I think it may even be july or august. But I don't see Nintendo having Splatoon skip E3, especially after how E3 helped Splatoon 1.

As for pokemon, yeah TPC would be the one to announce it. But either way, you're going to be devoting a huge amount of time to covering and talking about it during E3 (unless TPC revealed it after E3 of course...)
 

Peléo

Member
Will we get a Direct before E3? EDIT:

I hope so, otherwise E3 would have to cover:

- Blowout for Mario
- Bigger Blowout for Splatoon (since it releases sooner for Mario)
- Announce Smash Port (I believe it exists)
- Announce Pokemon Stars (I definitely think this exists. Not sure if it's exclusive or cross gen though)
- Announce Mario Rabbids
- Maybe show FE W gameplay
- Likely show Xeno gameplay
- Likely talk about Zelda DLC
And that doesn't even include games that may be announced that be don't know about.


I mean, that's a lot of effin stuff.

Can one E3 cover all those games sufficiently??

Maybe not a full direct, but I am expecting a smaller one focused solely on ARMS. It launches before the E3 and is supposed to be the bridge between Mario Kart 8 and Splatoon 2. Hopefully, we will get something similar to the Fire Emblem Direct.
 

K.Jack

Knowledge is power, guard it well
I wish Nintendo would have the balls to make Pokemon Stars a Switch exclusive.

That would be supremely entertaining on so many levels, beside the fact that such a decision would sell every Switch they could produce.
 

maxcriden

Member
I'm fairly certain that the SNES was actually more powerful than the Genesis but your point is still right since that is not why it won the sales battle.

Correct. The SNES was more powerful.

Thanks, I totally had that wrong.

And thank you for clearing up the confusion above. I agree it will likely get some downgraded ports. One thing I'll give the switch is unlike the Wii it's not THAT far behind the other two. Which is good.

To clarify, what Jaded Alyx wrote is in line with what I was thinking when I said what I did. I should have also mentioned that aspect in my last reply, sorry. The Switch playing games you would normally find on a console rather than those on a 3DS, is part of what I meant. Anyway, I understand we see the situation differently, and you are entitled to your opinion of course. As you indicated, the proof of its success or failure will be in the pudding.
 
CPU yeah, but it was much more capable machine graphically and sonically, colours, sprites on screen, effects, sound channels and effects etc. I mean the Game Boy has a much more powerful CPU than the NES or Master System, but CPU isn't everything.

But 'power' isn't why the SNES won, it was Nintendo games, focused business plan, and Japanese developer support. Games and potential, nobody would ever have said "well Sega has all the games I want, but the SNES has more colours, so I'll get that instead" or vice versa "I really want Mario and Zelda but that Mega Drive CPU is better so I'm getting that".

Desirable hardware, good price for what you get, good games people want. That is the formula for success for a console. Power of the computer plays into all three, but it is always a balance.

A bit different in the u.s. and Europe though when the genesis was winning because of games until sega sloped up that u.s. lead.
 

Neoxon

Junior Member
Splatoon 2 will definitely be after E3 imo. I think it may even be july or august. But I don't see Nintendo having Splatoon skip E3, especially after how E3 helped Splatoon 1.

As for pokemon, yeah TPC would be the one to announce it. But either way, you're going to be devoting a huge amount of time to covering and talking about it during E3 (unless TPC revealed it after E3 of course...)
While you normally wouldn't be wrong, there's also the possibility of Smash 4 Deluxe being there as well as MvCI & SFV news (the latter two being ones that I'll likely be doing podcasts with Vesper on, mostly on the MvCI front).
 
Thanks, I totally had that wrong.



To clarify, what Jaded Alyx wrote is in line with what I was thinking when I said what I did. I should have also mentioned that aspect in my last reply, sorry. The Switch playing games you would normally find on a console rather than those on a 3DS, is part of what I meant. Anyway, I understand we see the situation differently, and you are entitled to your opinion of course. As you indicated, the proof of its success or failure will be in the pudding.

Absolutely. Too early to tell atm..
 
Here's hoping Nintendo's confidence is well-placed. It'll be an interesting year to watch here on in.
I also won't complain about any Directs before E3. ;o
 

Mory Dunz

Member
Peléo;232286762 said:
Maybe not a full direct, but I am expecting a smaller one focused solely on ARMS. It launches before the E3 and is supposed to be the bridge between Mario Kart 8 and Splatoon 2. Hopefully, we will get something similar to the Fire Emblem Direct.

Yeah, I believe ARMS will get a mini direct and PR.


I also think ARMs will launch like Splatoon 1, with free regular DLC.

So I think ARMs will have a presence at e3 because of that
 

maxcriden

Member
If Pokémon Stars is an actual thing, TPC would likely reveal the game ahead of E3 to not share the spotlight with the other E3 Switch games. As for Splatoon 2, that's assuming that it doesn't drop in June (though to be fair, Nintendo could still spill on info if Splatoon 2 drops later in June).

Splatoon 2 will definitely be after E3 imo. I think it may even be july or august. But I don't see Nintendo having Splatoon skip E3, especially after how E3 helped Splatoon 1.

As for pokemon, yeah TPC would be the one to announce it. But either way, you're going to be devoting a huge amount of time to covering and talking about it during E3 (unless TPC revealed it after E3 of course...)

I believe SPL2 has been deconfirmed for June. Nintendo originally said Summer release but since clarified it to H2. I don't have the link handy unfortunately but I remember it pretty distinctly. Obon is August 13-15 so it should be out by then.
 

Peléo

Member
Yeah, I believe ARMS will get a mini direct and PR.


I also think ARMs will launch like Splatoon 1, with free regular DLC.

So I think ARMs will have a presence at e3 because of that

Yes, I am also expecting some DLC characters or modes to be announced after the game releases. The E3 would be the perfect opportunity to do it.
 

Mory Dunz

Member
I believe SPL2 has been deconfirmed for June. Nintendo originally said Summer release but since clarified it to H2. I don't have the link handy unfortunately but I remember it pretty distinctly. Obon is August 13-15 so it should be out by then.

August was my OG prediction back in Feb so that's cool. With ARMs in the last weeks of May
 
Which is logical if I didn't keep track of Japanese sales until I joined the forum. Also I was proven right by the initial poster anyway.

You weren't proven right. The only thing that is proven about the Japanese sales so far is that it is entirely sold out and is selling through whatever is placed on shelves. Just because it sold fewer units than the Vita did in its second week does not mean that it couldn't have sold more if the stock was available to do so.

With Monster Hunter being hinted at for Switch, Nintendo has the possibility of having an all time great holiday season in Japan. If the stars align they have:

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (will have legs)
Splatoon 2 (will have tentacles)
Super Mario Odyssey
Dragon Quest XI
Pokemon Stars
Monster Hunter XX Switch
 

ggx2ac

Member
Planning and committing to mean different things.

They could be planning 16 million, but only committing to 1.5 million per month 2 months in advance say. So no its not clear.

Anyway, consoles selling is good for the industry, it all needs to be higher

Okay​, then contact a Nintendo rep to find out.

No one here is going to be able to give you the facts.
 

Neoxon

Junior Member
You weren't proven right. The only thing that is proven about the Japanese sales so far is that it is entirely sold out and is selling through whatever is placed on shelves. Just because it sold fewer units than the Vita did in its second week does not mean that it couldn't have sold more if the stock was available to do so.

With Monster Hunter being hinted at for Switch, Nintendo has the possibility of having an all time great holiday season in Japan. If the stars align they have:

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (will have legs)
Splatoon 2 (will have tentacles)
Super Mario Odyssey
Dragon Quest XI
Pokemon Stars
Monster Hunter XX Switch
What about Smash?
 
You weren't proven right. The only thing that is proven about the Japanese sales so far is that it is entirely sold out and is selling through whatever is placed on shelves. Just because it sold fewer units than the Vita did in its second week does not mean that it couldn't have sold more if the stock was available to do so.

With Monster Hunter being hinted at for Switch, Nintendo has the possibility of having an all time great holiday season in Japan. If the stars align they have:

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (will have legs)
Splatoon 2 (will have tentacles)
Super Mario Odyssey
Dragon Quest XI
Pokemon Stars
Monster Hunter XX Switch

And once again I never brought up the Vita in this thread. A guy attacked me on an old post that had nothing to do with my first comment, and that post was in a different thread.
 
You weren't proven right. The only thing that is proven about the Japanese sales so far is that it is entirely sold out and is selling through whatever is placed on shelves. Just because it sold fewer units than the Vita did in its second week does not mean that it couldn't have sold more if the stock was available to do so.

With Monster Hunter being hinted at for Switch, Nintendo has the possibility of having an all time great holiday season in Japan. If the stars align they have:

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (will have legs)
Splatoon 2 (will have tentacles)
Super Mario Odyssey
Dragon Quest XI
Pokemon Stars
Monster Hunter XX Switch

In terms of big exclusive SW nintendo has an incredible line-up for its first year. The only issue is that between that it's just extended periods of nothing. Hopefully E3 fleshes out the SW line-up with some more small to medium sized SW and gives us a glimpse of the future of the switch. It's great to have plenty of big games like that but i don't think you can rely on that alone.
 

Hilarion

Member
The psx and ps2 were stronger than the Saturn, dreamcast, 3do, and jaguar, and in some areas stronger than the n64.

The switch is $300 than machines out its class and is barely more powerful than the Wii u and not THAT far off from the Vita, though it is obviously stronger.

Don't forget Nintendo for most of this time has been promoting the switch as a console, not a portable.

I know this is an old post, but the idea that the Switch isn't that much more powerful than a Vita is laughable. It literally has 8 times more RAM and a GPU over 7 times stronger. There's a full generational gap between Vita and Switch.
 
Ok cool, just wanted to make sure. I had heard about a melting issue with the tempered-glass ones related I think to the glue, but as long as it will be permanently intact once you do the few hour dry I hope that will be good to go. The dock gets pretty warm so I will be hoping it goes well for you, if you happen to think of it please let me know how it does end up going as I have one of the same protectors but am waiting to apply it till I get more sourced info on the melting issue. Thanks man.

Sure no problem if I remember I will PM you but it will still take 1-2 weeks till I get one most likely. As far as I heard only the non-glass ones had severe issues with the glue but I'll see.
 

timshundo

Member
man I remember when I cared that much about not being wrong on the internet...

"by that logic", "strawman", "contradicting" why can't this magic happen irl?
 
Nintendo needs to have the first year stacked. The plan worked out well for NES, SNES, and Wii. Even though those systems slowed down, a strong start ensured that they didn't fail.

Those of you talking about 2018 releases really aren't thinking this through. They can't spread themselves thin like they did with WiiU. It took 2 to 3 years for that console to get some of its biggest games, and it was all too little too late.

The third party support really has to pick up, and there is a chance it will ramp up with a loaded holiday lineup.
 

Crayon

Member
Nintendo made the best open world game ever on Wii U specs. Kind of embarrassing for the rest of the industry.

I think we've reached the point where Nintendo's hardware is no longer limiting the kind of games they can make. They just won't be able to do individual, realistically animated chest hairs like Uncharted 4.

So far I've seen nothing to suggest that PS4 power isn't superfluous in terms of actual game design. MGSV was the most "next-gen" feeling game so far and it was on 360 as well.

I'll cosign on this. I could call the power essentially superfluous. The new design of the system is very beneficial for other reasons but in terms of what our games can do there is almost no appreciable difference.
 
I remember when I cared that much about not being wrong on the internet...

"by that logic", "strawman", "contradicting" why can't this magic happen irl?
god can you imagine being in a restaurant or something listening to this thread in real life

like, what would multi-quoting sounds like
 

TLZ

Banned
Just because it sold fewer units than the Vita did in its second week does not mean that it couldn't have sold more if the stock was available to do so.

This could be said about many other system launches as well. That's why it is too early to tell anything now, whether success or failure. We will need to wait at least a year, I'd say about two years to really have a much better idea.
 

MoonFrog

Member
Glad Nintendo is looking more bullish on the system. They need to be confident and inspire confidence that, yes, the Switch is going to succeed.

The system needs to keep selling, yes, but the ceiling on that is tied up in what developers put on the system and what they put on the system is tied up in both how well it sells and how well they believe it is going to sell at a time when they are making decisions about games, especially early on when the actual sales aren't there.

It'll be interesting to watch if the hybrid model is indeed acceptable both in Japan and in the West. I'm mostly curious about the former, because Switch succeeding (or failing) in Japan means so much more for the Japanese domestic market and software industry than it means for the western market. I really hope Nintendo convinced Japan to be bullish on Switch and that it can be pushed to 15-20 million there over its lifetime. That is where Nintendo can most obviously be competitive for software.

It'll be interesting to see what is announced and isn't announced later in 2017 and what the 2018 picture looks like. I could see it easily being a mostly Nintendo driven year, but I hope there are early signs of extensive 3DS support and/or PS4/Vita multiplatform support coming. If there aren't signs of strong Japanese support coming for 2018 holiday+ by mid-2018 or so, I think the Switch will be having a tough future, even if Zelda/Splatoon/Kart/Mario drive it to modest success.
 
This could be said about many other system launches as well. That's why it is too early to tell anything now, whether success or failure. We will need to wait at least a year, I'd say about two years to really have a much better idea.

Nah, I'd say we'll have a pretty good idea by the end of this year.
 

Shengar

Member
Multiplayer on the go is not the main appeal, it's one of many. I don't get why people keep saying stuff like this, a handheld only Switch wouldn't be a replacement for the main Switch, just like how the 2DS was not a replacement for the 3DS, it was just a cheaper entry point with the primary target being kids. Switch is a premium product and it makes sense to have a more entry level SKU that allows people who are just interested in playing the games to get into the ecosystem and then they could sell a dock for the handheld focused SKU as an upgrade path.
It's overestimation on my part to say multiplayer on the go being its main appeal. However I still stand that such feature is a strong appeal of the Switch. It's very different from 3DS's 3D where it rarely comes into people consideration when they buy 3DS. The 3D is so half-baked that it dotesn't work most of the time. N3DS, 3DS subsequent hardware revision have better 3D but most people view as a bonus and view its better specs, battery, and screen as its main appeal.

Take the 3D out of 3DS you have functional hardware that could play 3DS with barely any problem. Take Joycon out of Switch, and you already rob some games local multiplayer features. Not to mention that game like 1-2 Switch (I bet there will be more game like however) will ceased to function unless you have additional Joycons unit.

The cheaper SKU that Nintendo can make without taking out the joycons is dockless Switch unit. But the dock is already cheap as fuck and I doubt its exclusion can contribute to price cut considerably.
 
This could be said about many other system launches as well. That's why it is too early to tell anything now, whether success or failure. We will need to wait at least a year, I'd say about two years to really have a much better idea.

In Japan in particular, very few consoles have been completely sold out at launch, which is why I mentioned that.
 
Well I imagine they have to replace those warranty return consoles somehow...😂



Kidding. But i do have one of those non working left joycons and im considering an exchange.
 
Before this, had we even heard of the original 8 million target?

First full April-March worldwide shipments for a few previous big sellers:

Wii: 18.61m
GBA: 17.09m
3DS: 13.52m
DS: 11.46m
JStein0222 said:
Was the inital 8 million there just to be there to make sure it wasn't a complete bust? Were they always planning to up the number?
On its own, 8 million makes enough sense as a starting point. About dab in the center of what 3DS and Wii U first full year shipments were.
flipswitch said:
So what's Nintendo doing right this time that it didn't do with the Wii U?
"Play the same home console quality games at home or anywhere!" is a better selling point than "Play the same home console quality games at home or a dozen feet away in the home!"
TLZ said:
Also didn't the Wii u sell like 3 million in about 2 months?
It shipped about that many at least, but considering how few were shipped in the following months I doubt they all sold that quickly.
WiiU_WW

Frankfurter said:
Has PS4 ever hit 16m in a single year?
April 2015 - March 2016 was about 17.7m.
4Tran said:
I suspect that Nintendo will wait a couple of years before releasing a big revision.
Based on past history of revisions and that they normally don't launch those during peak holiday times, along with 3DS still being supported in 2018, I'm guessing early 2019.
AndrewDean84xX said:
Slightly off topic, but is there an excuse for Pokemon game on the switch to still make the pokemon sound like they did on the gameboy?
Same reason Dragon Quest still uses some NES sounds. That's just what those things have become expected to sound like.
Diprosalic said:
it was a bad gag because it's rumoured to be called Pokemon Stars
Lexxism said:
It's a code name :p
Code name schmode name. Pokémon Stars / Poké Monstars is the coolest name the franchise has seen in ages.
Peltz said:
I still think they should stick to one model to avoid muddying the Switch concept.
Switch is such an open concept it'd be a shame to not see different versions catering to different needs. And we've just seen that with 3DS anyway. Regular version, large version, dumb cheap unfoldable 2D version coexisting.
OrbitalBeard said:
It's pretty safe to say they aren't just basing this production ramp-up on the first two weeks of sales and nothing else.
massucci said:
? And what else? They have a time machine?
I presume watching reaction to the Switch over the last 6 months has affected projections. They said as much, but only in the context of how many might ship through the end of March.
TheGorby said:
You think that tablet shares the same portability as the last few Nintendo, atari, Bandai, Sony, and snk portables over the years?
I think New 3DS XL is far less portable than GB Micro too.
 
Nintendo made the best open world game ever on Wii U specs. Kind of embarrassing for the rest of the industry.

I think we've reached the point where Nintendo's hardware is no longer limiting the kind of games they can make. They just won't be able to do individual, realistically animated chest hairs like Uncharted 4.

So far I've seen nothing to suggest that PS4 power isn't superfluous in terms of actual game design. MGSV was the most "next-gen" feeling game so far and it was on 360 as well.

Does the the Switch still need to be justified of its existence? "Nintendo's hardware is no longer limiting of what kinds of games it can make..... it just can't do chest hairs." *clears throat* You should broaden your horizons if you think the only "next-gen feeling game" is MGSV.

I think the game with the best open ever, as you claim, looks great and can't wait to play it. Still waiting on one of these 16 million to be in my hands.

I wonder what prompted them to double production. It was already on par to beating the wiiu. What happened?
 
Nintendo made the best open world game ever on Wii U specs. Kind of embarrassing for the rest of the industry.

I think we've reached the point where Nintendo's hardware is no longer limiting the kind of games they can make. They just won't be able to do individual, realistically animated chest hairs like Uncharted 4.

So far I've seen nothing to suggest that PS4 power isn't superfluous in terms of actual game design. MGSV was the most "next-gen" feeling game so far and it was on 360 as well.
So true, which is why Switch having a modern feature set and being much, much more powerful than Wii U is a great sign for current gen games coming out.
Just started BOTW on Wii U and it's amazing, and the visuals are amazing too. Those materials, and that grass...
 
See you in like 2021 then
It's the usual song and dance.

"I'll buy it for $300 bucks if it's bundled with $130 worth of games/peripherals" (which is kind of ludicrous in itself) will turn into "I'll buy it for 250 bucks with Mario and Zelda + a set of joy cons" when the former offer happens.
 
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