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PlayStation 4 sales (sold-through) hit 30.2 million worldwide

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What do most people think the PS4 will end up at? Will it pass the PS1? Will it pass the GB/GBC combo? Will it pass the PS2?

Also the PS4 already sold ~1/3 of what the PS3 did in just over two years. that's impressive.

I see it doing maybe 90-100 million LTD. Should reach just about the PS1's figures imo

So, yes, it's very likely somewhere between 14-16 million but right now all we know is MAUs. Which is surely a much better business KPI than miles driven in Forza 6 btw.

I always thought number of zombies killed in Dead Rising was the de-facto measure of success in console launches

Nah. Since pre season ended it has defaulted to number of bullets fired in Halo 5.
 

RexNovis

Banned
No it wasn't. I made a post and people decided to focus on ONE sentence of it, instead of the rest of the post, which was about the lineup next year compared to this year.

But yeah, RexNovis seems to be really focused on this. Probably due to an earlier run-in we had, I guess.

Well when someone says something dumb people are gonna mention that it's dumb. I don't know how my responding to a post asking what they missed by citing the carnival of stupid that happened for three pages is being focused on you and I have no idea whatsoever what "earlier run-in" you are talking about. But if it makes you feel better to think that I'm targeting you instead of you just saying incredibly dumb things that people think are dumb sure you go right ahead.
 

Xando

Member
Didn't EA say they expect 50 million consoles until the end of the year?


Let's say PS4 get's to 34-35 million this year. That would mean XB1 would be at 15-16 million at the end of the year.

I wonder if the data EA had was outdated and PS4 sold more than they expected since 50 million seems to low when PS4 alone is 35 million this year.
 

Javin98

Banned
What do most people think the PS4 will end up at? Will it pass the PS1? Will it pass the GB/GBC combo? Will it pass the PS2?

Also the PS4 already sold ~1/3 of what the PS3 did in just over two years. that's impressive.
I still think the PS4 will sell 120 million at the very end of its life, so passing PS1 but behind PS2. It's still kinda hard to tell, honestly. Many of us are expecting 2016 to be the peak year for the PS4, but 2017 could also be a massive year. Or sales could drop off significantly. No one can really tell just yet.
 

RibMan

Member
Didn't EA say they expect 50 million consoles until the end of the year?


Let's say PS4 get's to 34-35 million this year. That would mean XB1 would be at 15-16 million at the end of the year.

I wonder if the data EA had was outdated and PS4 sold more than they expected since 50 million seems to low when PS4 alone is 35 million this year.

You raise an interesting point.

Do we know if the Xbox One has sold-through 13 million consoles?
 
Well when someone says something dumb people are gonna mention that it's dumb. I don't know how my responding to a post asking what they missed by citing the carnival of stupid that happened for three pages is being focused on you and I have no idea whatsoever what "earlier run-in" you are talking about. But if it makes you feel better to think that I'm targeting you instead of you just saying incredibly dumb things that people think are dumb sure you go right ahead.

Damn, Rex. Rough night?
 

Melchiah

Member
wii u, sure. xb1, i don't think so? like last gen saw the ps3 and 360 doing pretty comparable numbers while offering pretty much the same thing. now microsoft is doing maybe 40%-50% of what sony does in a year. it's a pretty huge decline from last gen that i don't think can be explained by the poor xb1 announcement in may. or maybe there were a lot of people who owned both a 360 and a ps3 and now they're choosing one or the other. that doesn't explain declines in software sales though.

i'd say this is more akin to the ps2 when it was basically the de facto video game platform of its time, although the xb1 is going to wind up doing a lot better than the original xbox. the problem is that the overall base seems a lot smaller now. it's good for sony though.

You don't think they made mistakes with the XBO, that resulted with lesser sales? The online DRM tactics they had in place, and the US-centric services, turned a lot of European customers away from the brand. The PS3 had none of those, although it was also more expensive and offered a lesser 3rd party experience, like the XBO. It was a sum of several screw ups, that lead to today's situation.
 

Bgamer90

Banned
You don't think they made mistakes with the XBO, that resulted with lesser sales? The online DRM tactics they had in place, and the US-centric services, turned a lot of European customers away from the brand. The PS3 had none of those, although it was also more expensive and offered a lesser 3rd party experience, like the XBO. It was a sum of several screw ups, that lead to today's situation.

The Xbox One would probably be in the top spot in the U.S. and U.K. if the system had better PR before its launch.

But yeah, the gen was decided when we knew the Xbox One and PlayStation 4 would release at the same time. PlayStation has a lock on European audiences (as the PS3 showed) therefore greatly helping it in terms of worldwide sales.
 

AniHawk

Member
You don't think they made mistakes with the XBO, that resulted with lesser sales? The online DRM tactics they had in place, and the US-centric services, turned a lot of European customers away from the brand. The PS3 had none of those, although it was also more expensive and offered a lesser 3rd party experience, like the XBO. It was a sum of several screw ups, that lead to today's situation.

i don't think that the direction of their may 2013 reveal was so damaging when the system launched that it's still a factor. instead, i think there are fewer buyers of dedicated hardware this gen period. otherwise, i think ps4 sales would be a bit higher to better offset the place microsoft finds themselves in right now.
 

Kyoufu

Member
The Xbox One would probably be in the top spot in the U.S. and U.K. if the system had better PR before its launch.

But yeah, the gen was decided when we knew the Xbox One and PlayStation 4 would release at the same time. PlayStation has a lock on European audiences (as the PS3 showed) therefore greatly helping it in terms of worldwide sales.

It could have all the positive PR in the world but it would have still trailed behind because consumers will opt for the cheaper box.
 

AniHawk

Member
It could have all the positive PR in the world but it would have still trailed behind because consumers will opt for the cheaper box.

not just cheaper, but playing the same games with better performance. that sort of thing is a no-brainer, especially when the only other deciding factors are features and the important one (multiplayer) is the same across both.

this post sounds like i was paid by sony to type it, but i can assure you, they did not pay well.
 

Bgamer90

Banned
It could have all the positive PR in the world but it would have still trailed behind because consumers will opt for the cheaper box.

I disagree (see Wii U haha). Price definitely helps but it's never only about that.

I do feel that the PS4 would have still took the lead in the U.S. in 2014 due to its cheaper price but not by much (therefore causing MS to come back late 2014/early 2015).
 
The Xbox One would probably be in the top spot in the U.S. and U.K. if the system had better PR before its launch.

But yeah, the gen was decided when we knew the Xbox One and PlayStation 4 would release at the same time. PlayStation has a lock on European audiences (as the PS3 showed) therefore greatly helping it in terms of worldwide sales.

Lol this is bullshit. So long as the Xbone was more expensive and had inferior hardware it would have sold LESS than the PS4. Testament to this is the fact that even after NUMEROUS price-drops it continuously loses out the PS4 which is MORE expensive than the Xbone.
 

Bgamer90

Banned
Lol this is bullshit.

How exactly? The Xbox 360 did much better than the PS3 in the U.S. last gen (percentage gap FAR bigger than PS4 vs. Xbox One in U.S.) and I feel that many 360 owners would have still looked at the Xbox One positively if it didn't have such bad PR before it launched.

I definitely think MS would have still been forced to drop the price (since $500 is simply too much for a console to do well thoughout a gen and said so before this current gen started) but I think the system would have caught up in U.S. sometime this year instead of still being behind (though not by a whole lot).

So long as the Xbone was more expensive and had inferior hardware it would have sold LESS than the PS4.

Testament to this is the fact that even after NUMEROUS price-drops it continuously loses out the PS4 which is MORE expensive than the Xbone.

You saying this would mean that the Xbox One is in the position it's currently in due to simply price and specs which isn't true at all. The negativity before the system launched (which really didn't have much to do with its price) is still hurting the system to this day.
 

LosDaddie

Banned
Deserved success. I'm one of the X360 > PS4 games this gem (although I did own a PS3 last gen too) and I doubt I'll ever buy an X1.

Sony put out a superior product that was cheaper and focused on games. This gen was essentially over at launch.

What's kinda crazy to me is how this current gen still feels new to me, yet were 2yrs in. I thought I read where Sony wanted this gen to end a lot sooner than last gen. So maybe this is the halfway point.


I wouldn't call it being out of touch. It was more a reflection of the state of things back in 2012, before the new consoles were announced.

huh? How was NeoGAF out of teach?. Based on how 360 and PS3 were doing in 2012, everyone predicted Microsoft will again nail it in next gen given the money and how Sony as a company itself was struggling in every division.

No one saw it coming how Microsoft manage to fuck up. It was next level disaster. Bigger than RROD tbh. This is what I love about this industry. Anything can happen. I very much looking forward to next cycle. Whenever it happens.

Back then, no one knew that Microsoft would royally fuck up the Xbox One as much as they did. I could see the PS4 still being in first place but you think the gap would be this big had the Xbox One matched the PS4 in both price and hardware and with none of the bad rap?

People do that a lot in GAF, but it's just reacting to what you currently know.

A few months before the PS4 came out, people thought it was going to be as strong as high-end PC's of the time.

I bet a few people now think it's going to sell more than the PS2 did due to this thread. It's all about reacting to the current news and not really thinking in the long term.


Nailed it. GAF being "SonyGAF" isn't just some new concept. I heard about It before I ever tried to join here years ago. NPD threads early last gen were so incredibly fun because of how most of GAF leans.
 

Melchiah

Member
The Xbox One would probably be in the top spot in the U.S. and U.K. if the system had better PR before its launch.

But yeah, the gen was decided when we knew the Xbox One and PlayStation 4 would release at the same time. PlayStation has a lock on European audiences (as the PS3 showed) therefore greatly helping it in terms of worldwide sales.

Not to mention, that the unfortunate news from their perspective spread like wildfire in the web, through social networks and other outlets that weren't there when the last gen systems launched.

It didn't help, that they blamed the consumers for not understanding their vision, and gave the impression they weren't willing to give up on the idea. I think many took that also as an implication, that they might try to reintroduce their original plan later on, if there's an opportunity (ie. a larger userbase) for it. Much like they aren't willing to give up on the parity clause, as it served them well in the 360 days, and will do so in the future if they ever reach the same status again.



i don't think that the direction of their may 2013 reveal was so damaging when the system launched that it's still a factor. instead, i think there are fewer buyers of dedicated hardware this gen period. otherwise, i think ps4 sales would be a bit higher to better offset the place microsoft finds themselves in right now.

I think it's still a factor, just like it was for the PS3 in NA during its first years. They may have made an U-turn, but the people already went another way, and their friends and their friends followed them. It's the snowball effect, that also made the PS2 as popular as it was.



Talking about vindictive, weren't you one of the guys that necroed one of Crackdown 3 tech threads when MS released a tech demo on Gamescom? xD

Talk about the pot calling the kettle black.
 
The PS4 has been kicking ass for a while now and rightfully so if you ask me. It has a nice lineup of games, multi-platform games usually run at 1080p and Sony made some brilliant marketing decisions since its announcement. Although I do miss the days where Sony, Microsoft and Nintendo all had consoles out on the market at or around the same time, it feels as if back then there was more competition and therefore more creative diversity and must-own exclusives per-platform. Let's hope the NX can spice things up again soon.
 

Hydrargyrus

Member
I'm really amazed of how low is the gap between shipped and sold consoles with PS4.
Seems like they are selling all that go to the stores, like they would had started selling a month ago
 

Game Guru

Member
i don't think that the direction of their may 2013 reveal was so damaging when the system launched that it's still a factor. instead, i think there are fewer buyers of dedicated hardware this gen period. otherwise, i think ps4 sales would be a bit higher to better offset the place microsoft finds themselves in right now.

You assume that people put off by the XB1's original DRM scheme would have went to PS4 because of that when they very well could've chosen to instead become PC Gamers. Maybe these people were okay with going all-digital and only disliked the DRM because it required online. Not everyone has a stable enough connection to always be online even if they have a stable enough connection to download a game from Steam. Even my connection flakes out from time to time and I have a ton of Steam games.
 

azertydu91

Hard to Kill
You assume that people put off by the XB1's original DRM scheme would have went to PS4 because of that when they very well could've chosen to instead become PC Gamers. Maybe these people were okay with going all-digital and only disliked the DRM because it required online. Not everyone has a stable enough connection to always be online even if they have a stable enough connection to download a game from Steam. Even my connection flakes out from time to time and I have a ton of Steam games.

I have one question sorry if it's a bit off topic but I do game on pc but mostly through GOG is it possible to play your steam games even without internet access?
 

Steroyd

Member
The PS4 has been kicking ass for a while now and rightfully so if you ask me. It has a nice lineup of games, multi-platform games usually run at 1080p and Sony made some brilliant marketing decisions since its announcement. Although I do miss the days where Sony, Microsoft and Nintendo all had consoles out on the market at or around the same time, it feels as if back then there was more competition and therefore more creative diversity and must-own exclusives per-platform. Let's hope the NX can spice things up again soon.

It's either there were never days like that or that's always been the case, PS2 came out a year before Xbox and GC, Xbox 360 came out a year before both PS3 and Wii, and Wii U came out 1 year before PS4 and XBONE.

The difference between back in the day and today is that MS worked hard to try and establish a new brand and Nintendo had genuine 3rd party support.
 

Rebel Leader

THE POWER OF BUTTERSCOTCH BOTTOMS
i don't think that the direction of their may 2013 reveal was so damaging when the system launched that it's still a factor. instead, i think there are fewer buyers of dedicated hardware this gen period. otherwise, i think ps4 sales would be a bit higher to better offset the place microsoft finds themselves in right now.

I still hear people at my walmart not buying the xbox one because it requires you to always be connected.


Yes it has been years but the stigma stays.
 

Game Guru

Member
I have one question sorry if it's a bit off topic but I do game on pc but mostly through GOG is it possible to play your steam games even without internet access?

You can play Steam games offline, and it doesn't require you to sign in daily like the pre-180 Xbox One did. Naturally, you can't use any online feature while offline of course, but Steam games can be played offline.
 

azertydu91

Hard to Kill
You can play Steam games offline, and it doesn't require you to sign in daily like the pre-180 Xbox One did. Naturally, you can't use any online feature while offline of course, but Steam games can be played offline.

Okay thank you that closes my off the topic question.
 
Im going through some PS4 reveal articles, alot of people were making a big deal out of the fact that Sony didnt show what the PS4 looked like at the reveal. Man that really came back to haunt Sony didnt it?

People are way to reactionary, just let things play out.
 

benny_a

extra source of jiggaflops
i don't think that the direction of their may 2013 reveal was so damaging when the system launched that it's still a factor.
I disagree.

I lay out in this thread why this always-on association was very bad for first impressions: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=535344

I think time has proven me right with the GameStop reports of people still repeating these elements as a reason to not go with the Xbone.
 

Melchiah

Member
Im going through some PS4 reveal articles, alot of people were making a big deal out of the fact that Sony didnt show what the PS4 looked like at the reveal. Man that really came back to haunt Sony didnt it?

People are way to reactionary, just let things play out.

That always puzzled me, as the look of the system is the least important thing to me, eventhough it's nice to have a stylish system on the shelf.
 

FinalD

Member
Not sure if already posted or even interesting (it's only about a small market) but at least this is somewhat relevant: market survey shows PS4 is most popular next-gen console in The Netherlands

40% of all households has one or more gaming consoles, of which:
13% has a PS4
5% has an Xbox One
5% has a Wii U

60% Wii
29% PS3
21% X360

I'm no researcher, but if we can use these percentages for the whole country:
About 7.5 million households in The Netherlands
3 million with consoles
390k PS4
150k Xbox One
150k Wii U

1800k Wii
870k PS3
630k X360

Again: not official numbers, just extrapolation(?)

The article also mentions 25% of Wii owners still use it weekly (average 3 hours a week) and 90% of PS4 owners use it weekly (10 hours average). Also, without exact numbers, PS3 and PS4 are both used more than Xbox One and X360.
 
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