Do not want to throw any of the leakers under a bus, so PM the post if you can, but is this the actual number? Last I read estimates were between 170K and 190K
You're right; I got October mixed up with September. Just used to getting numbers in these things.
But I do remember XBO pushing about 280k in September, almost sure of it.
1: You are using the wrong number for Xbox One in October. It sold much less than that.
2: Sales "pace" is meaningless in November because it is completely distorted by Black Friday and, in this case, the price change spike in the first week. You can't just work out an average and multiply.
3: I don't believe sales tripled extended for 2 weeks. Let's say the weekly sales in October were 45k. We'll ignore the effect the early announcement of the price drop for the time being. When they say sales tripled, I believe that was only in the very next week. So first week in November would be 135K. After that it would have settled to a lower, stable pre-BF sales rate. Added together it is enough to have outsold he PS4 month to date, but for all we know the second week sales of PS4 could have been higher than the second week sales of Xbox One in November.
4: None of this is very meaningful because a sub-50K sales advantage right now will mean nothing after Black Friday week where 90% of the sales will happen in November.
Well it was pure guesswork on my end, never said it was a pro job. But that looks awfully low for a 2nd place console in the beginning of the holiday season with a $50 price drop. Even if it kept that pace, you're saying it'll only sell 540k for November. That's Saturn tier. I think it's safe to say XBO has been trending ahead of the Saturn at the very least, even if it shares many other similarities w/ that system.
But if 90% of all sales are on BF as you say, I guess it works out better. W/ your weekly average, if it does 315k in the first three weeks and then 486k on BF, for a total of....801k. Your number's actually higher than mine.
I'll admit I was using the wrong numbers to base things off, but using your numbers and logic doesn't nullify my general guess at November sales. In fact, it enhances it.
Pricing your product at a high enough loss can be viewed as anti-competitive and in some cases illegal. Sega accused Sony of this back in the PS1 days.
Lol yeah, price fixing. Didn't know Sega went there; knew Atari did. I think in some fair cases it CAN be illegal however, b/c it basically destroys the element of fair competition, i.e letting the quality of the products speak for themselves. If you've got 10 million and your opponent has 10 billion, your opponent can theoretically give their product away and subsidize the cost. You can't afford to do that unless you're willing to go bankrupt. That's when the role of money becomes far too much.
Another way to see it is comparable to politics; there are...were, ethical reasons Super PACs didn't exist for a long time; it makes the campaign more about the bank and what financial connections you have than about the quality of your campaign. You can simply outspend the opponent into submission and defeat. The sinister side of capitalism.
